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SCP-3729 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3729
Expected annual
$3.4M
One-time setup
$7.1M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time setup and reserves are estimated at $7,066,000, with recurring operations ~ $3,257,400/year; main drivers are staff wages, D-class screening and per-test operating costs, amnestic program, and contingency/reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.1M
Large Scale Screening $5.0M
[#20] Contingency one-time program to screen very large populations if fit D-Class are rare (program-level cost; example scale chosen as a mid-sized contingency).
Containment Incident Reserve $1.0M
[#16] One-time recommended minimum containment breach / incident response reserve (recommendation: ~$1,000,000 minimum).
Facilities $348K
[#1, #11, #15] Containment-cell retrofitting (#1), secure off-site storage initial setup (#11), and site/security perimeter upgrades (#15) aggregated into facilities construction/installation costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $318K
[#9, #13, #14] Initial research instrumentation and lab buildout (#9), initial SOP development and documentation (#13), and initial physical conservation/restoration work for the wooden frame (#14).
Equipment $200K
[#2, #3, #4] Automated sunrise-control/access systems (#2), hardened recording & tamper-evidence system initial purchase/installation (#3), and environmental monitoring suite hardware (#4).
Recommended Contingency Reserve $200K
[#25] Recommended contingency reserve (10–25% of first-year budget); here modeled as a one-time reserved contingency.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Staff Wages $900K/yr
[#5] Dedicated containment and on-call personnel salaries (portions of Site Director/security chief, 2 full-time security officers, 1 containment technician, 1 research lead, part-time ethics and medical officers), benefits/overhead included.
Administrative Overhead $543K/yr
[#24] Site administrative overhead allocation (modeled at ~20% of direct recurring costs to cover utilities, HR, accounting, and site-level security burden).
Research And Monitoring $510K/yr
[#10, #18, #22] Forensic/document-integrity team and specialists (#10), social-network impact investigations/monitoring/quarantine program (#18), and continuous archival/audit processes to detect slow edits (#22).
Per Test Operations $360K/yr
[#19, #7, #6] Amortized per-test operating costs (D-Class procurement/isolation, staff overtime, consumables, monitoring, post-test treatments). Modeled as ~30,000 per test × 12 tests/year as a baseline testing tempo.
Amnestic Program $300K/yr
[#8] Ongoing amnestic/memetic countermeasure program budget including treatments, follow-up care, development and stock of compounds, and specialist staff.
D Class Screening $200K/yr
[#6] Annual D-Class recruitment, legal procurement, and psychological screening program (variable by acceptance rate; baseline modeled here as a modest active screening program).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#17, #23] Legal & public-affairs retainer, rapid-response funds, and insurance/indemnity liaison costs (#17, #23).
Ethics And Oversight $80K/yr
[#12] Psychology/ethics oversight and review board support, external reviewers and administrative support costs.
Supplies And Consumables $65K/yr
[#3, #9] Consumables and replacement media for tamper-evidence and archival systems (#3), plus research consumables and expendables (#9).
Facilities Maintenance $54K/yr
[#4, #11, #14, #15] Ongoing maintenance/calibration for environmental monitoring (#4), off-site storage rotation/courier (#11), conservation/pest control maintenance for wooden frame (#14), and security/perimeter maintenance (#15).
Incident Response Standing Budget $50K/yr
[#21] Standing annual budget for hazardous-analysis, quarantine, and secure disposal of anomalously created matter; contractors and specialized handling.
Training And Sop $25K/yr
[#13] Ongoing staff training, SOP updates, and drills to reduce human error.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#7, #11] Courier/transportation and logistics for D-Class movement and off-site archival transfers (#7, #11).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with regular testing tempo, no major incidents or large-scale screening programs.
regular_testing no_breach standard_screening_yield
🚨 Minor Incident $3.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or a small exposure requiring targeted amnestics, legal response, and incident cleanup.
localized_document_edit_detected small_public_exposure limited amnestic_deployment
🚨 Major Breach $5.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or widespread document/behavioral edits requiring mass amnestics, large-scale legal/PR, contractor remediation, and extended investigations.
widespread_document_alteration multiple_public_exposures secondary_anomalous_events
🚨 Large Scale Screening $8.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Programmatic decision to launch very large D-Class screening campaign because eligible subjects are rare; results in one-year surge of screening costs.
insufficient_fit_d-class extended_screening_campaign policy_decision_to_scale_up
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#5] Portion of Site Director time allocated to oversight and approvals.
Security Chief / Senior Security 1 [#5] Portion of security chief time for interlocks, alarms and access control oversight.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] Two full-time security officers for containment perimeter, transfers, and on-site posts.
Containment Technician 1 [#5] Full-time containment technician responsible for cell maintenance and test support.
Research Scientist 1 [#5, #9] Full-time research lead (psych/phys) coordinating experiments and analysis.
Document Forensics Specialist 3 [#10] Forensic/digital archival team (2–4 specialists modeled as 3 FTEs).
Medical Officer 1 [#5, #8] Part-time/allocated medical officer for amnestic administration, follow-up, and medical oversight.
Ethics Representative 1 [#5, #12] Part-time ethics rep for approvals and oversight.
Administrative Staff 1 [#5, #11] Administrative support for D-Class accounting, logistics, and record custody.
📋 Confidence Notes
Ranges in the analyst notes are wide and many costs (screening yield, testing tempo, and contingency events) are scenario-dependent; core staffing and equipment estimates are reasonably well-specified but program-level contingencies carry uncertainty, hence medium confidence.
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