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SCP-3749 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3749
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$6.0M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
20
Estimated one-time startup capital of $5,975,000 with annual operating costs of $3,158,000; main drivers are secure vacuum-rated vault construction, specialized remote handling and research infrastructure, staff wages, and insurance/reserve funding.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.0M
Facilities $2.0M
[#1, #13, #17, #26] Construction or retrofit of a vacuum-rated vault with airlock and structural supports; additional vaults for -B through -D; quarantine module setup and redundant isolation vault.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.4M
[#9, #11, #24] Sterilization infrastructure (VHP/autoclave/shower), high-resolution/vacuum-compatible imaging systems, and initial capital for a focused multi-year research program and lab buildout.
Equipment $1.0M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #19] Purchase of hermetic case, electromagnet hardware & controllers, vacuum pumps and gauges, backup power hardware, environmental monitoring hardware, remote manipulators, and transport case/vehicle modifications.
Insurance Reserve $1.0M
[#20] Initial funded reserve/insurance policy to cover liabilities and unexpected events.
Bsl5 Suits $300K
[#8] Purchase of 4 BSL-5 / advanced suits and spare components (recommended 4–8 suits).
Legal And Cover Setup $150K
[#18] Initial legal, classification, PR and cover-story setup costs.
Initial Training $50K
[#22] Initial BSL-5-specific training, drills, credentialing and compliance setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#14, #15, #16] Salaries for containment technicians, security guards (3-shift coverage), research scientists and supporting engineers/medical/admin staff.
Research And Monitoring $495K/yr
[#11, #12, #24, #25] Ongoing calibration/maintenance for imaging, outsourced SEM/TEM access and per-project fees, ongoing long-term R&D program funding, and periodic specialized materials/wear studies.
Public Safety Reserve $200K/yr
[#29] Annual allocation to a contingency fund for public-safety/field-deployment responses.
Supplies And Consumables $160K/yr
[#10, #23, #30, #8] Microbiological consumables (sterilants, filters), general lab disposables, misc spares (O-rings, seals), and PPE consumables for suits.
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#27] Administrative staff, secure records management, classified network fees and vetting expenses.
Facilities Maintenance $120K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #13, #26] Maintenance and service contracts for electromagnet/power systems, vacuum pumps, backup generator servicing, environmental sensors, and spare monitoring for additional/redundant vaults.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal retainer, PR/cover-story maintenance and liaison costs.
Insurance Premium $100K/yr
[#20] Annual insurance premiums / replenishment of contingency fund.
Breach Response Readiness $50K/yr
[#17] Ongoing quarantine readiness, drills, emergency supplies, medical monitoring and rapid response team preparedness.
Robotics Maintenance $30K/yr
[#7] Maintenance, calibration and spare parts for remote manipulators/robotic insertion tools.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#19] Per-move operational costs for secure, vacuum-capable transport, crew, and escorts averaged annually.
Waste Management $20K/yr
[#21] Contracted biohazard waste disposal and compliance-related disposal costs.
Training And Compliance $20K/yr
[#22] Recurring training refreshers, audits and compliance certification costs.
Psychological Support $20K/yr
[#28] Medical surveillance and mental health services for staff.
Electromagnet Operation $8K/yr
[#3] Electricity and minor operating costs for continuous electromagnet draw (2–10 kW typical).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, maintenance, research and staff costs, no major incidents.
routine maintenance scheduled research activities no containment incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized failure (short power outage, vacuum leak, pump failure) requiring emergency repair, temporary shutdown and minor remediation.
short grid outage vacuum pump failure electromagnet control glitch
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Prolonged loss of containment (extended power/loss of vacuum or case failure) requiring large-scale remediation, replacement of infrastructure, legal response and public-safety expenditures.
prolonged generator failure structural damage to vault/case human exposure / public contamination
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [@#15] 24/7 armed guard coverage across multiple shifts (3-shift rotation).
Research Scientist 4 [@#16] Senior and mid-level scientists for materials, microbiology and containment R&D.
Technician / Operator 3 [@#14] Trained technicians for day-to-day vacuum, magnet and remote-handling operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [@#3, #4, #5] Electrical/mechanical staff for electromagnet, vacuum and backup power maintenance.
Administrative Staff 1 [@#27, #18] Program admin, records and liaison for legal/cover-story coordination.
Medical Officer 1 [@#17, #28] Medical surveillance, decontamination oversight and staff health monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and plausible ranges but many items have wide ranges (especially for SEM purchase vs outsourcing, contingency reserves, and staffing scale). Estimates use mid-range selections and assumptions about outsourcing vs purchase; uncertainty remains.
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