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SCP-3774 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-3774
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$13.3M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
11
Estimated one-time neutralization and archival costs total approximately $13.33M, with ongoing annual costs of about $1.58M driven primarily by staff wages, surveillance & testing, legal/cover operations, and equipment/facility maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.5M
[#3] Sunk R&D program costs: genetic engineering, micro-transmitter integration, PI/postdoc/engineer program costs and trials (historical sunk cost).
Facilities $1.5M
[#1] Dedicated insectary/BSL retrofit or partial rebuild: negative-pressure rooms, sealed HVAC, airlocks, autoclave room, secure storage.
Opportunity Costs $1.0M
[#24] Program reallocation/severance and sunk-cost write-offs from discontinued covert research (administrative opportunity cost).
Equipment $875K
[#4] Capital equipment: sequencers, PCR, microscopes, microfabrication and RF testbeds; initial procurement.
Field Operations $525K
[#5] Field recall/termination campaigns: entomology teams, hazmat, travel, vehicles, insecticide, traps (localized→regional campaign midpoint).
Hvac And Monitoring Upgrade $138K
[#22] Replacement/upgrade of HVAC, perimeter sensors, particle monitors and RF filtering to prevent reintroduction.
Environmental Site Remediation $128K
[#20] Municipal-level remediation for contaminated breeding sites (draining, larvicide, community vector control) for a moderate area.
Decontamination $105K
[#12] Deep-cleaning and remediation of affected labs/workspaces including HVAC ductwork, furniture replacement and egg removal per facility.
Legal One Time $100K
[#15] Initial legal costs for records destruction, third-party negotiations, permits/fines and early litigation exposure containment.
Digital Forensics And Deletion $80K
[#7] Forensic teams and verifiable destruction/sanitization of backups, drives, third-party holdings (one-time program to locate+destroy backups).
Rf Monitoring Setup $80K
[#27] Initial RF/GPS sweep equipment and jamming protocol setup to detect/mitigate persistent transmitter emissions.
Secure Transport Setup $50K
[#14] Initial contracts/equipment for hazmat-certified couriers, chain-of-custody logistics and secure transfer capabilities.
Public Relations One Time $50K
[#16] One-time PR/cover-story setup costs for misinformation operations, media monitoring and patent suppression (initial campaign).
Initial Consumables And Ppe $42K
[#2] Initial stockpile purchase of disposable suits, respirators, insect-proof screens, traps, rearing cages and sterile supplies.
Biohazard Disposal $40K
[#6] Secure transport and incineration/autoclave disposal of specimens, contaminated equipment and PPE (one-time volume-dependent cost).
Ethics Review Boards $30K
[#17] Internal/external review board and oversight hearings documenting neutralization (one-time investigation/documentation costs).
Cold Vault Setup $28K
[#8] Setup of secure FARAD-acceptable offline vault(s): shielding, climate control, physical security for originals.
Hardware Sanitization $25K
[#19] Destruction/sanitization of physical blueprints, prototype transmitters and micro-camera hardware (shredding/incineration/e-waste handling).
Training And Sop $15K
[#23] SOP development and staff training on prohibition/enforcement for future vector research and identification.
Clinical Monitoring Initial $14K
[#18] Initial medical testing and treatment for identified exposed individuals (per-case midpoint applied to known exposed cohort).
Initial Counseling $5K
[#26] One-time counseling/debriefing costs for personnel directly involved in termination and archival review.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $800K/yr
[#13] Salaries for in-house team (researchers, technicians, security and engineer); example staffing budget for ongoing monitoring and archive guarding.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#15] Recurring legal counsel, compliance costs, ND enforcement and cover-story maintenance where required.
Research And Monitoring $140K/yr
[#11] Repeated genetic assays, targeted qPCR/NGS confirmation and laboratory consumables/staff time for verification of extinction.
Logistics And Transport $110K/yr
[#14] Recurring secure courier program, hazmat transfers and chain-of-custody shipping budget.
Insurance And Contingency $100K/yr
[#21] Annual insurance/indemnity premiums and contingency reserves for accidental releases or claims.
Equipment Maintenance $88K/yr
[#4] Maintenance contracts for sequencers, PCR, microscopes, microfabrication and RF testbeds.
Environmental Surveillance $69K/yr
[#10] Deployment and servicing of traps program (100-trap program midpoint) plus sample shipping; separate lab processing costs where applicable.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#1, #22] Ongoing maintenance of containment rooms, HVAC servicing, HEPA/chemical filter replacement and site upkeep.
Public Relations Annual $25K/yr
[#16] Ongoing PR/misinformation monitoring and limited outreach to manage external exposure risk.
Rf Monitoring Annual $20K/yr
[#27] Annual RF spectrum sweeps, monitoring and technician time to detect any persistent transmitter emissions.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#2] Annual replacement of disposable suits, respirators, traps, rearing consumables and sterile supplies.
Biohazard Disposal Annual $10K/yr
[#6] Ongoing contracted hazardous-waste disposal services for any periodic destruction of contaminated materials.
Long Term Record Maintenance $10K/yr
[#25] Administrative costs to maintain restricted records, chain-of-custody logs and audit-ready documentation over time.
Psychological Support Annual $5K/yr
[#26] Ongoing counseling and operational debrief support for staff involved in disturbing surveillance content.
Cold Vault Maintenance $3K/yr
[#8] Climate control, physical security and integrity checks for offline vault storage.
Clinical Monitoring Annual $2K/yr
[#18] Ongoing medical follow-up and testing for any monitored/exposed individuals.
Digital Archival Storage $1K/yr
[#9] Long-term cold storage and integrity checks for recorded video logs (example 5 TB scale).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year after neutralization: routine surveillance, archive maintenance, staff wages and minimal legal/insurance overhead.
routine_surveillance archival_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$810K vs baseline
Localized detection of residual/transgenic mosquitoes requiring focused field recall, targeted decontamination and legal/PR activity.
localized_escape_detection positive_environmental_qPCR
🚨 Major Breach $5.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Widespread environmental contamination or public exposure causing large-scale remediation, international field campaigns, heavy legal action and settlements.
widespread_breeding_sites_found media_exposure third-party_litigation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Senior Researcher 2 [#13] Senior researchers responsible for genetic/forensic oversight; salary midpoint applied.
Laboratory Technician 4 [#13] Technicians for sample processing, sequencing and routine surveillance assays.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#13] Guards for archive security, transport escorts and site perimeter security.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#13] Facilities/HVAC and RF systems maintenance and monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many costs are estimated from wide ranges (R&D sunk costs, field campaign scale, remediation scope) and depend on geographic spread; neutralized status reduces probability of incidents but uncertainty remains.
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