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SCP-3784 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3784
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
13
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $1,190,000 driven mainly by facility construction (sealed chamber, vault upgrades) and equipment; recurring annual costs are approximately $1,935,000 driven by personnel wages, legal/insurance reserves, research, and contingency funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $702K
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #7] Reinforced vault upgrade, hermetically sealed testing chamber, installation of automatic fire-suppression system, HVAC/environmental control installation, and installation/integration of UPS/generator infrastructure (mid-range estimates aggregated).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $270K
[#16, #23, #25, #28] Protocol and SOP development costs, initial planning/modeling, and a decommissioning/destruction R&D contingency reserve (one-time planning/R&D/contingency expenditures).
Equipment $218K
[#5, #6, #8, #10, #17] Medical/sleep-lab monitoring equipment (EEG/polysomnography), video/thermal/environmental sensors, transfer container and courier vehicle + protocol development, initial PPE purchase, and initial secure storage hardware/server purchase (aggregated midpoints).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $840K/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Ongoing salaries and benefits for security guards (shift coverage), containment technicians and research scientists (sleep specialist/anomalous-item specialist), and on-call medical coverage (aggregated mid-range staffing costs).
Insurance And Liability Reserve $250K/yr
[#21] Self-insurance / reserve funds for property and liability exposure given likely commercial exclusions; annual set-aside to cover high-cost anomalies.
Ethical Compensation Reserve $200K/yr
[#26] Annual reserve for compensation, long-term care, or settlements for harmed subjects/third parties (budgeted as risk reserve).
Research And Monitoring $170K/yr
[#17, #18] Ongoing secure data storage/compute/archival costs and allocated research budget for experiments, pathology, and analysis (licenses, compute, analyst time).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#19, #20] Legal/compliance/ethics oversight budgets and an annual PR/response contingency for exposure events or litigation (mid-range aggregated).
Contingency Property Damage Reserve $100K/yr
[#22] Annual expected reserve to cover smoke damage, repairs, and replacement of monitoring equipment from incidental fires.
Administrative Overhead $75K/yr
[#27] Pro-rated site-level overhead (HR, procurement, utilities, IT support) attributable to SCP-3784 operations.
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#8, #14] Vehicle/transfer maintenance and operation, courier procedures, and per-subject recruitment/transportation/hazard-pay costs based on baseline testing frequency.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#3, #4, #7, #22] Annual maintenance/service contracts and expected recharge/inspection costs for fire-suppression, HVAC/filter replacement, generator/fuel maintenance, and routine facility upkeep; excludes large incident repairs (see contingency).
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#5, #10, #15, #16] Per-test disposables (EEG electrodes, bedding, medical disposables), PPE replacement/consumables, and per-test sleep induction drug costs (baseline test tempo assumed).
On Site Fire Response $15K/yr
[#9] Contracted standby fire response and specialized drill participation costs (baseline uses contracted standby rather than a dedicated on-site fire crew).
Training And Drills $15K/yr
[#23] Recurring training, SOP refreshers, and joint drills with response partners.
Long Term Storage And Monitoring $15K/yr
[#24] Minimal ongoing costs to maintain the object in vault dormancy, periodic inspections, and environmental checks if testing tempo is reduced.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with baseline testing tempo (~10 tests/year), contracted fire-standby, mid-range research program, and no major incidents.
routine_tests no major incidents standard research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment-related fire or equipment failure requiring localized repairs, suppression recharge, overtime, and modest PR/legal work.
localized fire suppression discharge minor equipment damage
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant fire or containment failure causing structural damage, large equipment replacement, hospitalizations, and lengthy operational downtime.
major uncontrolled fire structural damage multiple injuries
🚨 Political Exposure $3.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Public exposure or leaked incident leading to major legal action, large settlements, intensive PR campaign, and possible regulatory oversight requiring remedial work.
public incident media exposure regulatory/legal action
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#11] Shift coverage estimate (2–4 guards per shift across 3 shifts).
Containment Technician 2 [#12] Operational staff to run tests and maintain chamber.
Research Scientist 2 [#12, #18] Sleep specialist and anomalous-item researcher supporting experiments and analysis.
Medical Officer 1 [#13] On-call medical/ER coverage and oversight for tests; psychiatric referrals arranged as needed.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing mid-range aggregation; however significant uncertainty remains around testing tempo, frequency of suppression discharges/incidents, and choices (dedicated fire crew vs. contracted standby, volunteer vs. incarcerated subjects), so estimates carry moderate uncertainty.
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