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SCP-3787 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-3787
Expected annual
$19.4M
One-time setup
$28.6M
Annual recurring
$18.4M
Personnel
90
Estimated one-time capital and setup costs are large due to extensive R&D and memetic-lab establishment (~$28.6M). Recurring annual operations are dominated by staff wages, ongoing R&D, disposal/response logistics, and indemnities, totaling roughly $18.4M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $28.6M
Vaccine R And D Initial $11.0M
[#33] Initial capital for long-term pharmaceutical-style R&D infrastructure aimed at vaccines/antidotes (high uncertainty, multi-year program).
Memetic Lab Setup $5.5M
[#16] Establishment of memetic-capable laboratory and infrastructure for SCP-3787-ε countermeasure research, clearance and specialized containment.
Escalation Contingency $2.8M
[#26] Standby capacity for mass-culling/sterilization infrastructure (mobile abattoirs, surgical teams) and related contingency hardware.
Equipment $2.3M
[#2, #7, #8, #9, #28] Mobile equine containment units, initial dispersal/delivery fleet, GPS collars purchase, camera-trap network hardware, and transportation capital (trucks/ATVs).
Facilities $2.0M
[#1, #3] Regional field offices (4 hubs) and one medium quarantine barn/paddock construction; includes fencing, storage, isolation stalls, drainage and waste treatment.
Hormone Production Setup $1.8M
[#5] GMP-compliant synthesis line setup / contract synthesis validation, QC and initial batch qualification for hormonal agent 762988-16-7.
Reproduction R And D Initial $1.8M
[#15] Initial capital for reproductive biology R&D (animal trials, long-term study setup, ethical oversight) to study/slow accelerated gestation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#4] Secure veterinary pathology lab upgrades (diagnostics, necropsy, BSL-2 enhancements, microscopy, PCR, cold chain).
Env Studies $550K
[#27] Initial environmental impact studies on non-target exposure to dispersal and ecological mitigation planning.
Data Systems Setup $300K
[#24] Encrypted databases, air-gapped backups, memetic-safe archives and secure comms initial setup.
Biosecurity Setup $125K
[#18] Initial PPE, decon lines, respirator procurement and setup of biosecurity/decontamination systems.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.4M/yr
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#10, #11, #22] Salaries for field veterinarians/biologists/technicians (~30 staff), security/containment teams (~40 guards/MTF operatives), and embedded industry/cover personnel (~20 agents).
Research And Monitoring $2.6M/yr
[#6, #9, #15, #16, #27, #32] Ongoing hormone production runs, satellite imagery subscriptions and monitoring, continued reproductive R&D grants, memetic countermeasure research, environmental monitoring, and long-term herd census.
Logistics And Transport $2.5M/yr
[#12, #29, #13, #19, #7, #8] Emergency aerial support (helicopter hours), fuel and fleet operations, drone operational replacement/maintenance, carcass disposal/rendering contracts during outbreaks, dispersal hardware maintenance, and GPS/comms replacements.
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#21, #23] Legal/regulatory liaison and cover operations, plus public misinformation/media management and PR campaign costs.
Vaccine R And D $1.5M/yr
[#33] Ongoing multi-year pharmaceutical R&D budget for vaccine/antidote development and trials.
Indemnities $1.1M/yr
[#25] Insurance, indemnity payments and rancher compensation funds for seizures, covert treatments, and cooperation.
Supplies And Consumables $665K/yr
[#14, #18, #20] Laboratory reagents and diagnostics, annual PPE/consumables, and feed/treatment supplies for held animals.
Public Health Coordination $550K/yr
[#31] Contingency coordination with public health for potential human exposure events and mass-treatment support.
Escalation Activation Reserve $500K/yr
[#26] Annual reserve to fund rapid activation of mass-culling/sterilization campaigns (activation costs highly variable).
Ethics And Audit $175K/yr
[#30] Ongoing ethical review panels, internal compliance officers and audits.
Data Systems Maintenance $125K/yr
[#24] Annual maintenance and secure-communications subscriptions for memetic-safe archives and databases.
Training $60K/yr
[#17] Annual specialized training program for memetic exposure mitigation and handling aggressive/cannibalistic horses.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.4M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major outbreaks or escalations; routine monitoring, production, and containment operations only.
stable containment no major outbreak routine R&D and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $20.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or spike in anomalous births/aggression requiring surge response, extra disposals, overtime and targeted dispersal campaigns.
localized herd outbreak clustered memetic exposure increased carcass disposal needs
🚨 Major Breach $33.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or rapid geographic spread triggering mass-response: activation of escalation infrastructure, large indemnities, emergency vaccine/R&D scale-up and heavy PR cover-up.
widespread population spread mass mortality or visible events political exposure requiring cover operations
👥 Personnel 90 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Veterinarian 30 [#10] Field veterinarians, wildlife biologists and technicians performing capture, treatment, monitoring and necropsies (30 FTE used in wage estimate).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#11] Armed security and containment teams for roundups, facility security and operations (40 guards/operatives used in wage estimate).
Embedded Agent / Industry Personnel 20 [#22] Foundation personnel embedded in equine industry roles (breeders/vets/BLM liaisons) used for covert operations and distribution (20 agents).
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide input ranges, unknown geographic/epidemiological spread, memetic hazard uncertainty, and multi-year R&D make estimates highly uncertain; many items (memetic lab, vaccine R&D, escalation activation) could swing costs by multiples.
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