SCP-3799 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3799
Expected annual
$10.1M
One-time setup
$27.8M
Annual recurring
$10.0M
Personnel
18
One-time capital of approximately $27.8M for Arctic site construction, hardened containment, and specialized hardware; recurring annual costs are approximately $9.96M driven mainly by staff wages, airborne operations, security, research, logistics and high-security IT/communications.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $27.8M
Facilities $15.0M
[#1] Remote Arctic containment facility construction (Site-799): living quarters, heated labs, SCIF, vaults, helipad/dock, power plant, waste treatment, heavy insulation and snow-load design.
Decommissioning Reserve $5.0M
[#25] Reserve fund for controlled decommissioning or emergency hardening/escalation (Project Midwinter/resume or major upgrade scenarios).
Maritime Assets Purchase $2.0M
[#8] One-time purchase option for ice-capable/seasonal patrol boats or small vessels (alternative to pure-charter model).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#1, #14] Initial lab buildout and SCIF fit-out, classified workstations and secure databases, initial scientific instruments for non-invasive scanning and document analysis.
Sensor Installation $1.0M
[#6] Ground-based long-range radar, ADS-B receivers, optical/IR cameras, LIDAR and passive RF sensor installation; includes satellite-capability lease setup costs (installation portion).
Insurance Reserved Capital $1.0M
[#21] One-time reserved capital for self-insurance/large contingent liabilities (equipment loss, environmental fines).
Hardened Containment Hardware And Vaults $600K
[#2] Secure safes, Faraday cages, biometric/O5-access controls, EMP/ICE protection and evidence storage hardware.
High Security It Hardware $400K
[#15] Hardened communications hardware, air-gapped O5 workstations, encrypted comms equipment (initial capital costs).
Long Range Instrumentation Purchase $375K
[#23] One-time procurement of advanced remote sensors (high-resolution camera arrays, remote spectroscopy baseline; specialized detectors reserved as scale-up).
Generators And Spares $350K
[#10] On-site generator units, spares and initial installation for diesel power plant.
Drone Procurement $300K
[#7] Long-endurance UAV procurement, spare sensors and batteries (one-time procurement cost).
Cold Equipment Purchase $200K
[#12] Snowmobiles, ATVs adapted for ice, cold-rated PPE and lifting/de-icing gear (initial procurement).
Legal Pr Setup Initial $125K
[#17] Initial legal/PR cover-story setup, front-company creation, permits and initial diplomatic coordination costs.
Environmental Spill Reserve $125K
[#11] One-time reserved contingency for spill remediation and initial environmental contingency supplies.
Printers And Incineration $50K
[#18] Secure printers, shredders/incineration equipment for classified-document destruction (one-time purchase).
Amnestic Initial Stockpile $35K
[#16] Initial stockpile of amnestic pharmaceuticals and training for administration (one-time buildout).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.0M/yr
Airborne Operations $2.0M/yr
[#5] Helicopter medevac/rapid-response/rotation capability (budget for 1–2 helicopters, maintenance, hangar, pilots and insurance; baseline charter/operation).
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#3] Base on ~18 FTEs (scientists, techs, security, medics, pilots, site manager) with Arctic premiums (25–75% hazard pay) — total compensation, allowances and benefits.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#14] Ongoing research staff, classified analysis, non-invasive experiments, secure databases and support techs for anomalous-study work.
Security Detail $900K/yr
[#4] Armed perimeter guards, QRF, cold-weather body armor, weapons, ammunition, training and retention premiums for 8–12 guards.
Maritime Patrols Ops $800K/yr
[#8] Charter/operations of small patrol boats or seasonal ice-capable vessel support for exclusion-zone enforcement and resupply.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#9] Regular rotation/resupply flights and sea shipments (monthly/biweekly cadence options), charter costs, fuel surcharges and freight for remote operations.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#17] Annual legal/PR expenses, diplomatic coordination, covert payments or front-company operation costs to maintain cover story.
Seasonal Costs $300K/yr
[#24] Pre-winter provisioning, storm readiness, increased fuel and seasonal charter costs concentrated ahead of winter months.
Fuel And Power $275K/yr
[#10] Diesel fuel deliveries, generator maintenance and power-plant consumables for heating and electricity at remote site.
Rotations And Allowances $260K/yr
[#19] Personnel rotation travel allowances, evacuation and emergency leave provisioning for remote-post staffing.
Sensor Operations $250K/yr
[#6] Operations, maintenance and satellite-data leases for fixed radar/optical/IR/ADS-B sensor network.
Medical And Medevac $250K/yr
[#13] Medical supplies, trauma readiness, medevac contract provisioning and casualty insurance.
High Security It Ops $200K/yr
[#15] Satellite bandwidth, encrypted links, cybersecurity operations, classified comms fees and maintenance.
Insurance Provisioning $200K/yr
[#21] Annual provisioning toward insurance, liability reserves and contingency funds for equipment/transport losses and legal exposure.
Classified Document Ops $165K/yr
[#18] Annual staff and processes for redaction, secure printing, archival management and destruction of classified recovered documents.
Info Security Incident Response $150K/yr
[#22] Annual costs for response to leaks, re-amnestic campaigns, legal defense and public misinformation mitigation.
Environmental Compliance $125K/yr
[#11] Environmental monitoring, permits, reporting and annual remediation provisioning.
Amnestic Restock $125K/yr
[#16] Ongoing procurement of amnestics, administration training, secure storage and disposal costs.
Long Range Instrumentation Ops $125K/yr
[#23] Maintenance, calibration and operations of long-range science instrumentation and advanced remote sensors.
Drone Ops $100K/yr
[#7] UAV operations, maintenance, spare batteries and sensor replacements.
Training And Exercises $95K/yr
[#20] Regular breach drills, medical emergency exercises, amnestic deployment training and off-site specialized training travel.
Cold Equipment Maintenance $40K/yr
[#12] Maintenance and periodic replacement of snowmobiles, ATVs, PPE and de-icing gear.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.0M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with standard rotations, routine research, maintained perimeter and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_resupply no_security_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $10.5M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring targeted repairs, additional amnestic deployments, short-term surge staffing and limited medevac.
localized_cognitohazard_spread equipment_failure intruder_contact
🚨 Major Breach $15.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or mass exposure requiring evacuation, major repairs/rebuild, expanded air/sea operations and large-scale amnestic/medical response.
mass_exposure structural_damage extended_evacuations
🚨 Political Exposure $11.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Discovery or diplomatic incident requiring substantial legal/PR spending, covert payments, expanded cover operations and possible rerouting of supply chains.
civilian_leak airspace_dispute government_scrutiny
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#3, #14] Senior researchers and cleared analysts assigned to SCP-3799 study and document review.
Technician 3 [#3, #12] Lab and field technicians supporting sensors, drones, generators and cold-weather equipment.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#3, #4] Armed perimeter and quick-reaction personnel with Arctic training and rotations.
Medical Officer 1 [#3, #13] On-site medic and medical oversight for cognitohazard casualties and routine care.
Pilot / Logistics 2 [#3, #5, #9] Pilots for helicopter/Twin Otter operations and logistics staff managing rotations and resupply.
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#3, #17] Site manager responsible for operations, coordination with higher Foundation/cover-story channels.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoints from wide analyst ranges and include judgment calls about procurement vs. charter models, helicopter usage, and reserve levels. Arctic logistics and secrecy level introduce material uncertainty.
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