SCP-3809 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3809
Expected annual
$12.8M
One-time setup
$225.2M
Annual recurring
$8.6M
Personnel
25
Initial one-time capital (including a contingency spacecraft mission) drives costs into the hundreds of millions (total one-time ≈ $225.2M); ongoing operations and retainers (SOC, research staff, emergency retainer, tracking/monitoring) drive annual recurring costs of ≈ $8.595M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $225.2M
Contingency Space Mission $200.0M
[#22] Contingency retrieval/neutralization spacecraft mission planning and execution (conservative mid-range mission estimate).
Legal Reserve Indemnity $10.0M
[#23] One-time legal reserve / indemnity fund for covert payments, settlements, or purchase of control rights.
Dedicated Tracking Build $8.0M
[#1] One-time build/commissioning of modest dedicated optical + radar tracking capability (optical telescopes, radar integration, commissioning).
Offensive Cyber Acquisition $2.0M
[#14] Purchase of zero-days, exploit procurement, and dev-team retainer for offensive cyber capabilities.
Equipment $1.8M
[#4, #6] SOC hardware and forensic appliances (#4) and on-prem HPC / primary storage hardware (#6).
Facilities $1.2M
[#2, #18] Ground-station build and secure ops room / physical-security/TEMPEST/EMP retrofit structural work (antenna, hardened control room, retrofit).
Telecom Interception Integration $1.0M
[#8] Engineering integration, covert deployments or implants, custom IMSI-catcher/SS7/VoIP backdoors and related procurement/engineering.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K
[#12] Lab instrumentation and testbed setup for anomalous propulsion & compute research.
Pr Cover Production $200K
[#16] One-time production/distribution of cover-story material and initial outreach campaign to law enforcement/media.
Amnesticization Equipment And Training $100K
[#11] Amnestic kits, memetic-safe containment rooms and training program setup for medics/agents.
Financial Forensics Setup $50K
[#25] One-time setup for forensic accounting tooling, bank relationships and emergency freeze capability.
Personnel Wellbeing Setup $50K
[#29] One-time build of training program and initial wellbeing/ethics oversight materials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.6M/yr
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#3, #5, #13] Personnel costs (AIC surveillance teams, SOC analysts, research scientists) including benefits and on-call coverage.
Emergency Response Retainer $2.0M/yr
[#28] Top-tier crisis response and tactical retainer to guarantee immediate availability in large incidents.
Dedicated Tracking Ops $500K/yr
[#1] Ongoing ops costs if dedicated radar/optical capability is commissioned (power, maintenance, staffing).
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#10, #30] Incident amnesticization operations (medical/supplies/aftercare) and ongoing personnel wellbeing services/training refreshers.
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#16, #17, #24] Ongoing PR/cover-story upkeep, corporate liaison and legal retainer costs.
Satellite Tracking Lease $300K/yr
[#1] Lease of commercial SSA feeds and telescope time for baseline orbital tracking.
Soc Tooling And Feeds $300K/yr
[#5] SOC tooling/subscriptions, threat intel feeds, forensic cloud storage and maintenance.
Incident Amnesticization Operations $300K/yr
[#10] Field deployments for witness suppression/amnesticization (team deployments, medical care, travel, aftercare).
Facilities Maintenance $275K/yr
[#19, #20] Ground facility security recurring costs (guards/contracts/maintenance) and energy/utilities for datacenter/antennas.
Telecom Monitoring And Liaison $250K/yr
[#9] Ongoing telecom interception maintenance, provider fees, legal liaison and tech upkeep.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#7] Ongoing storage/compute power, cooling and archival for research simulation runtime and data retention.
Media Monitoring Team $200K/yr
[#27] Real-time media/social monitoring and social-engineering response generation team costs.
Offensive Cyber Ops Recurring $150K/yr
[#15] Ongoing red-team exercises, patching, exploit testing and contractor retainers.
Financial Forensics Ongoing $150K/yr
[#26] Ongoing forensic accounting monitoring, bank liaisons, and retainer costs for transaction recovery.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#21] Travel, rapid-response logistics and small vehicle/charter retainer for field teams.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.6M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with containment via monitoring, SOC, legal/PR and suppression operations.
steady_orbital_behavior no_large_breaches monitoring_and_suppression_sufficient
🚨 Minor Incident $9.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring increased field deployments, legal action, and SOC surge.
localized_public_exposure unauthorized_telecom_manipulation small-scale financial activity
🚨 Contingency Retrieval Mission $208.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Decision to launch a retrieval/neutralization mission (high one-time cost) to remove or disable the satellite.
uncontainable_activity large-scale_financial_or_infrastructure_threat public_exposure_forcing_direct_action
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
AIC / Field Agent 9 [#3] 24/7 surveillance AICs (6 field AICs + 3 analysts/liaisons) to maintain continuous watch and rapid response.
Cybersecurity Analyst / SOC 8 [#5] SOC analysts to staff 24/7 operations ingesting telemetry, logs, and running incident playbooks.
Research Scientist 8 [#12, #13] Orbital physicists, electrical engineers, and AI researchers assigned to the anomalous propulsion & compute program.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable midpoints for many categories, but wide variances exist (e.g., satellite retrieval mission, zero-day market) and several costs are jurisdiction-dependent or optional; therefore confidence is medium.
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