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SCP-3819 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3819
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$274K
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
9
Estimated initial one-time setup is modest (~$0.27M) for construction, secure storage and specialized equipment; recurring annual costs are substantial (~$1.65M/yr) driven primarily by security and research staff wages and a large contingency/incident-response reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $274K
Facilities $120K
[#1, #2] Locker retrofit and dedicated containment/test room construction (installation, observation glass, remote locks, restraint points).
Equipment $82K
[#3, #4, #10, #11, #16] Tamper/open sensors, surveillance cameras/NVR, purchase of lab-grade incinerator, LIMS initial hardware/setup, initial trauma kits.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#26] Scientific/forensic testing equipment and startup consumables (scanners, spectral analysis, forensics supplies).
Training And Program Setup $28K
[#8, #9] Psychological program initial setup and development of SOPs/training materials.
Personnel Vetting Initial $15K
[#7] Initial background checks and vetting for authorized personnel.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $550K/yr
[#5, #12] Security staffing (6 FTE guards) and research staffing (2–3 researchers / technical assistants) fully burdened salaries.
Contingency Fund $500K/yr
[#14] Reserved fund for incident response, legal settlements, cover operations, or large external liabilities.
Cover Story And Legal $110K/yr
[#13, #24] Legal & compliance counsel retainer and public relations / cover-story budget.
Biohazard Disposal Reserve $100K/yr
[#17] Contracted biohazard disposal and hazardous-waste hauling reserve for incidents producing remains or contamination.
Research And Monitoring $95K/yr
[#12, #19, #11] Ongoing research operational budget, record retention/archival fees, and LIMS maintenance/licensing.
Internal Investigations $62K/yr
[#15] Budget for forensic reviews, interviews, and retention of external investigators when needed.
Psychological Program $55K/yr
[#8] Ongoing counseling program, on-call clinicians, post-exposure mental-health care.
Personnel Insurance $50K/yr
[#18] Insurance premiums or self-insurance reserves for personnel/site liabilities and experimental risk.
Personnel Monitoring $20K/yr
[#7] Continuous behavioral monitoring, periodic polygraphs/psych screens for authorized staff.
Emergency Medical $20K/yr
[#16] Medevac contracts/on-call clinicians and medical response arrangements.
Admin And Training $16K/yr
[#6, #9] Administrative overhead for dual-authority procedure enforcement, annual training refreshers and SOP audits.
Audit And Compliance $15K/yr
[#21] Periodic third-party/internal audits to verify SOP compliance and sensor function.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#23, #26] Consumables for controlled tests and PPE, plus recurring forensic consumables.
Red Team Exercises $12K/yr
[#22] Regular scenario planning, red-team tests, and tabletop exercises to probe controls.
Ethical Oversight $12K/yr
[#27] Ethical oversight board administration and consultant fees for test approvals.
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#4, #25] Surveillance/storage maintenance and incremental utilities, climate control and janitorial for storage/test room.
Records Retention $10K/yr
[#19] Long-term secure archival of records, footage, and destruction receipts (cold storage/media refresh).
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#20] Secure internal/armored transfer procedures and transport cases.
Sensor Monitoring $200/yr
[#3] Ongoing monitoring/hosting fees for tamper & open sensor logging.
Incineration Contract $0/yr
[#10] Contracted incineration alternative noted but not budgeted (purchase option chosen).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
88.9% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, training, and monitoring only.
no unauthorized openings routine testing within policy no major personnel incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$218K vs baseline
Unauthorized opening or personnel attempting restricted trials leading to investigation, limited medical/cleanup costs and modest legal/PR response.
unauthorized opening small-scale self-harm or breach local investigation and media inquiry
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
A staff member progresses through trials causing multiple violent incidents or fatalities requiring major legal action, large-scale cleanup, and significant reputational response.
violent crime by staff multiple fatalities extensive forensic/cleanup operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $11.6M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Public exposure of multiple crimes or catastrophic incident requiring large-scale legal settlements, federal investigations, and long-term remediation.
public forensic disclosure federal investigation mass-casualty/major legal judgements
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Shift coverage around storage and during testing: 2guards/shift × 3 shifts = 6 FTE security officers.
Research Scientist 2 [#12] 1–3 qualified researchers to design and oversee controlled tests; budgeting assumes 2 research scientists.
Technical Assistant 1 [#12] Technical assistant / lab tech supporting controlled testing and evidence handling.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item capital and staffing estimates are reasonably well-defined; however large variance in human-risk exposure (contingency/incident costs) introduces substantial uncertainty, so overall confidence is medium.
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