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SCP-3822 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-3822
Expected annual
$1.1B
One-time setup
$12.5B
Annual recurring
$966.0M
Personnel
163
Estimated one-time setup and capital costs are approximately $12.54 billion, dominated by lunar infrastructure, spacecraft/boarding craft development, and contingency/decommission reserves; recurring operations are roughly $966 million per year driven by lunar logistics, launch/resupply and ongoing station staffing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.5B
Decommission Shutdown $10.0B
[#28] Long-shot planetary/engineering decommission/shutdown contingency (speculative; low-end of given order-of-magnitude).
Equipment $1.1B
[#3, #7, #8, #13, #22, #25] Initial boarding team training & kit (#3), SAMD2/entry scanners procurement (#7), secure comms hardware (ground station/satellite kit counted here) (#8), specialized boarding/interdiction spacecraft fleet design & build (#13), IT/recordkeeping one-time procurement (#22), surface transport fleet purchase (#25).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $610.0M
[#6, #14, #27] BSL-3/4 high-containment lab build & equip (#6), initial interdisciplinary research program seed budget (#14), specialist anomalous-physics instrumentation and test platforms (#27).
Facilities $600.0M
[#4, #9, #11, #12, #16, #18, #24] Quarantine cell construction (#4), lunar base major hardware/upgrades (#9), solar farm deployment chosen for Moon power (#11), physical security infrastructure (#12), long-term detention facility construction (#16), Earth biohazard facility and lunar waste solution (#18), Earth station grid/backup upgrades (#24).
Disaster Reserve $100.0M
[#23] One-time disaster contingency/reserve fund set-aside.
Monitoring Other Planet Mission $100.0M
[#30] Occasional mission hardware or single remote-support mission for monitoring other registered-planet stations.
Countermeasure Stockpile $50.0M
[#17] Medical countermeasures stockpile (vaccines/antivirals, diagnostics, ventilators) initial procurement.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $966.0M/yr
Logistics And Transport $720.5M/yr
[#9, #10, #13, #15, #25, #30] Lunar base operations/resupply (#9), Moon–Earth launch & resupply cadence (#10), boarding/interdiction craft operations (#13), eviction/processing logistics (#15), vehicle maintenance portion of surface fleet (#25), minimal monitoring missions/remote support cadence (#30).
Research And Monitoring $115.0M/yr
[#6, #14, #27] Ongoing high-containment lab staffing & reagents and research experiments (#6), sustained research program funding (#14), recurring ops for specialist instrumentation (#27).
Facilities Maintenance $28.5M/yr
[#4, #11, #12, #22, #24] Quarantine utilities/cleaning (#4), lunar/on-site power operations & maintenance (#11), physical security systems upkeep and security techs (#12), IT/ground-station operations maintenance (#22), Earth-station utilities & backup fuel (#24).
Cover Story And Legal $28.0M/yr
[#19, #20, #29] Legal, policy, OPSEC expenditures (#19), public affairs/rumor control (#20), miscellaneous administrative/clearance overheads (#29).
Staff Wages $26.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #5, #16, #25] Dedicated security salaries (Earth) (#1) and (Lunar) (#2), quarantine/medical staff wages (#5), operating staffing for long-term detention (#16), driver staffing portion for transport fleet (#25).
Supplies And Consumables $14.0M/yr
[#5, #17, #21] Medical PPE & supplies (#5), stockpile replenishment/consumables (#17), psychological/social services program operating expenditures (#21).
Comms Ops $10.0M/yr
[#8] Communications network operations, satellite leases, telemetry bandwidth and secure comms ops.
Reserve Replenish $10.0M/yr
[#23] Replenishment / maintenance of contingency/disaster reserve as incidents draw funds.
Tactical Ops $6.0M/yr
[#3] Recurring training, replacement kit, ammo, and travel for stationary tactical support / rapid response teams (STF Terra-1 specialized units).
Personnel Healthcare $5.0M/yr
[#26] Ongoing occupational healthcare, monitoring, retirement/indemnity programs for staff exposed to anomalous cases.
Biohazard Ops $2.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing biohazard waste processing and decontamination operations (Earth-side); lunar recurring handling accounted in logistics.
Scanner Maintenance $500K/yr
[#7] Maintenance/calibration and spare parts for SAMD2 and entry-scanning units.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $966.0M/yr
84.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine arrivals and scheduled missions only.
scheduled lunar resupply routine processing of arrivals no containment breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0B/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak, small breach, or increased arrivals requiring surge quarantine and legal processing.
localized pathogen detection small-scale breach at station surge in arrivals requiring extra quarantine capacity
🚨 Major Breach $2.0B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Significant containment breach or interdiction requiring emergency boarding, major repairs and large-scale evacuations.
boarding/interdiction operation station breach/damage large-scale quarantine/treatment effort
🚨 Political Exposure $1.5B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Public exposure or international incident raising legal/PR costs and settlements but not catastrophic infrastructure loss.
leak/coverage of interdictions litigation or diplomatic incidents major misinformation events
🚨 Decommission Attempt $21.0B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$20.0B vs baseline
Decision/operation to attempt disabling or decommissioning SCP-3822, requiring planetary-scale engineering and weapons/emitters.
policy decision to forcibly disable the railway large-scale engineering/weapon deployment multi-national coordinated operations
👥 Personnel 163 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 90 [#1, #2] Combined Earth (50) and Lunar (40) dedicated security personnel as specified in notes #1 and #2; wages included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 20 [#5] Quarantine/medical staff (doctors, nurses, med techs) noted in #5; wages included in staff_wages.
Prison Guard / Detention Staff 30 [#16] Long-term detention facility operating staff estimated from recurring incarceration operating costs; wages included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff 10 [#19, #29] Legal, policy, admin and contract management staff supporting concealment and operations; portion of admin wages included in staff_wages.
Driver / Transport 5 [#25] Drivers and transport operators for patient/detainee movement; driver wage portion included in staff_wages.
Security Technician / Maintenance 8 [#12] Maintenance and security-technical staff for facility systems and EMP/hardening upkeep; costs reflected in facilities_maintenance and staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty from wide analyst ranges, speculative options (decommission, lunar reactor, spacecraft fleet), unknown arrival rates and IPF policy choices; many major capital items are order-of-magnitude estimates.
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