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SCP-3843 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-3843
Expected annual
$23.5M
One-time setup
$1.0B
Annual recurring
$21.6M
Personnel
16
Initial one-time set-up is dominated by a large emergency market-manipulation reserve and research/build-out costs (~$1.003B one-time); ongoing yearly operations are driven by covert industry access, legal/cover budgets, embedded asset operations, logistics, and staffing (~$21.6M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0B
Market Manipulation Reserve $1.0B
[#24] Historical/emergency market-crash option reserve (single-use catastrophic containment action; order-of-magnitude estimate).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#2, #9, #15, #30] One-time software development efforts (initial dev phase), testing instrumentation initial purchases, controlled infection chamber apparatus, and one-time research equipment purchases.
Developer Acquisition $1.0M
[#28] One-off acquisition / buyout / IP purchase cost (representative midpoint for targeted studio/IP acquisitions).
Equipment $845K
[#1, #17, #19, #25] ASA server/hosting hardware (incl. redundancy/GPU), large-scale scanning hardware, armored vehicle purchase, and archive hardware/air-gapped storage initial build.
Facilities $600K
[#8, #12, #13] One-time build costs for sealed D-Class testing chamber(s), dedicated mortuary/incinerator facility, and per-vault secure storage construction.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.6M/yr
Insurance And Risk Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#23] Annual allocation to off-book reserves / liability fund for unforeseen liabilities, compensations, and strategic acquisitions.
Cover Story And Legal $4.2M/yr
[#5, #21, #28] Covert contracts/payments to platform holders/manufacturers, legal/PR and cover operation budgets, and recurring developer relations / silence/royalty payments.
Embedded Assets Operations $4.0M/yr
[#4] Recurring costs to maintain covert Foundation elements and assets inside game manufacturers (salaries, cover, bribes, operational support).
Logistics And Transport $2.3M/yr
[#18, #19, #6, #7] Field sweep team travel and operations, vehicle operations, expected annual budget for physical recalls (pull-and-replace), and digital-distribution remediation events.
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#3, #11, #16] Salaries for continuous forum/web monitoring analysts, dedicated medical team salaries, and forensic reverse-engineering/code-analysis team salaries.
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#1, #2, #17, #30, #15, #10, #14] ASA hosting & model updates, automated detection software maintenance, ongoing storefront scanning, multi-year research grants, controlled-infection operational testing costs, D-Class testing program marginal costs, and sacrificial/new-instance procurement program.
Rapid Response Fund $1.5M/yr
[#22] Standby contingency budget for rapid-response breach team (quarantine, mass amnestic deployment, emergency product pulls).
Public Health Mitigation $500K/yr
[#29] Budget for large-scale amnestic distribution, healthcare payments, and casualty mitigation in case of civilian casualties/exposure.
Supplies And Consumables $231K/yr
[#9, #12, #20] Testing consumables/PPE/replacements, contracted mortuary/disposal per-item spend, and recurring amnestic administrations (drug + overhead).
Medical Incident Response $200K/yr
[#11] Per-incident emergency medical readiness and average annual emergency care costs (ICU, surgeries, autopsies) beyond salaried medical staff.
Facilities Maintenance $135K/yr
[#13, #25, #26] Vault operations/maintenance, archive operations, and utility/HVAC/backup power upkeep.
Training And Compliance $40K/yr
[#27] Recurring staff training, SOP development, and compliance exercises/safety drills.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.6M/yr
72.9% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: routine monitoring, maintenance, periodic testing, and standard containment operations.
no_major_exposures routine_testing_and_remediation
🚨 Minor Incident $23.6M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized retail or indie-title exposure requiring targeted recalls, extra field sweeps, medical responses, and PR/legal work.
limited_physical_retail_infection small_number_of_civilian_casualties
🚨 Major Recall $41.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Platform-level or large retail distribution infection requiring mass recalls, replacement production, broad remediation, and heavy legal/cover operations.
platform_level_infection hundreds_of_thousands_or_millions_of_units_affected
🚨 Catastrophic Market Crash $1.0B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Historical-style emergency: deliberately induce market collapse and conduct extreme containment actions (single-use emergency operation).
widespread_public_exposure mass_casualties_or_uncontainable_spread
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Analyst / Moderator 5 [#3] Continuous forum/web monitoring and triage (24/7 coverage; 3–6 FTE range; modeled here as 5 FTE).
Forensic Software Engineer / Reverse-Engineer 6 [#16] Code analysis and reverse-engineering team (4–8 engineers; modeled here as 6).
Medical Officer / Emergency Team 5 [#11] Dedicated on-call medical staff (EMT, trauma surgeon, psychiatrist, nurses) to support testing and emergency response.
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide ranges on nearly every line item, dependency on infection scope, unknown incidence rates, and anomalous behaviors produce high uncertainty. Large one-off emergency options (market manipulation) are order-of-magnitude estimates only.
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