SCP-3851 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3851
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$3.2M
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
12
Initial capital/setup costs are approximately $3.16M largely driven by land control, civil storm-drain work, ROV/sonar and contingency reserves. Annual operating costs are about $1.34M/year, driven by security staffing, research personnel, liability reserves and contracted emergency/forensic services.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2, #7] Land acquisition/easement (~$800,000), perimeter fencing/gates (~$90,000), storm-drain civil works (~$250,000).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#25] Major-incident contingency reserve (~$500,000 recommended one-time reserve).
Equipment $470K
[#3, #7, #12, #21] Perimeter intrusion/CCTV package (~$75,000), pump/control hardware (~$20,000), sonar/ROV & retrieval hardware (~$350,000), on-site data/server hardware (~$25,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $405K
[#9, #11, #23, #24] Weather station and sensors (~$15,000), research instrumentation and lab setup (~$250,000), initial environmental baseline study (~$40,000), specialized shore coring/platforms (~$100,000).
Community Compensation $400K
[#18] Contingency for neighbor buyouts/easements/compensation (~$400,000).
Public Relations And Legal Setup $100K
[#17] Initial PR/legal/cover-story setup and municipal coordination (~$100,000).
Vehicles And Trailers $80K
[#20] Pickup, utility trailer, possible ATV purchase (~$80,000).
Admin Initial Vetting $20K
[#27] Initial HR/background checks and vetting setup (~$20,000).
Psychological Screening Initial $20K
[#16] Baseline psychological screening for staff (~$20,000).
Ppe Initial Stock $15K
[#14] Initial hazmat suits, gloves, body bags, decon supplies and rescue gear (~$15,000).
Training Program Development $10K
[#22] Initial development of training/drill programs (~$10,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $792K/yr
[#4, #5, #10] 24/7 security staffing (~6 guards incl benefits = $337,500), site manager and maintenance (~$130,000), research team salaries and allocations (~$325,000).
Liability Reserve $125K/yr
[#19] Annual legal/liability reserve funding (~$125,000/yr).
Emergency Response Retainer $75K/yr
[#15] Contracted EMT/paramedic retainer or on-call emergency services (~$75,000/yr).
Replacement Reserve $75K/yr
[#26] Annual replacement/depreciation reserve for pumps, cameras, ROV, vehicles (~$75,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $52K/yr
[#9, #11, #23, #24] Weather station maintenance (~$2,000/yr), environmental monitoring and testing (~$45,000/yr), sampling-rig/platform maintenance (~$5,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#6, #8] Routine grounds/fence maintenance and vegetation control (~$32,500), utilities (power for pumps/cameras/office and generator maintenance ~ $12,000).
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#12, #20] Crane/contract lift retainer for recoveries (~$20,000/yr) and vehicle fuel & maintenance (~$15,000/yr).
Forensic And Morgue Contracts $31K/yr
[#13] Forensic/morgue contract retainer (~$30,000/yr) + expected per-retrieval incident average (~$1,000/yr expected).
Administrative Overhead $30K/yr
[#27] Ongoing administrative support (HR, payroll, permits, compliance) (~$30,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#17] Ongoing PR/municipal coordination and legal maintenance (~$20,000/yr).
Audit Compliance $18K/yr
[#28] Annual audit, compliance reporting and containment reviews (~$17,500/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $16K/yr
[#14, #29] PPE replacements (~$5,000/yr) and minor consumables/operational supplies (~$10,000/yr).
Training And Drills $11K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training and drills (~$11,000/yr).
Data Storage And Comms $10K/yr
[#21] Cloud retention/storage, secure comms and maintenance (~$10,000/yr).
Psychological Support $8K/yr
[#16] Ongoing counseling, monitoring and training for staff (~$7,500/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major recovery incidents or legal exposures.
routine monitoring scheduled maintenance regular research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Single retrieval event requiring overtime, contracted recovery and additional forensic work.
single corpse retrieval overtime and extra lab analysis
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous recoveries or large-scale recovery requiring heavy equipment, extended contracts, PR/legal actions and community payouts.
multiple recovered corpses extreme weather causing infrastructure damage significant public exposure/legal claims
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Six full-time on-site guards for continuous coverage as specified.
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#5] Full-time site manager for permits, liaison and reporting.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#5, #6] Full-time maintenance/grounds technician for fence, pumps and vegetation control.
Research Scientist 2 [#10, #11] Two field scientists dedicated to anomalous research and monitoring.
Research Technician 1 [#10, #11, #24] Part-time/onsite technician supporting instrumentation, sampling and ROV operations.
Administrative Staff 1 [#27] Administrative support for payroll, background checks and permits (site-level FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item notes provide a clear structure, but many items have wide local-market ranges (land, buyouts, heavy-recovery contracting) and choice between purchase vs lease or in-house vs contracted services affects totals; this yields medium confidence.
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