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SCP-3912 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3912
Expected annual
$363K
One-time setup
$407K
Annual recurring
$350K
Personnel
2.75
Initial one-time containment and equipment setup is modest (~$407k total one-time in this estimate, dominated by contingency/reserve and optional program seed funding). Annual baseline operations are ~$350k/yr driven mainly by dedicated research staff, security overhead, and recurring specialised testing/rental fees.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $407K
Contingency Reserve $250K
[#27] Containment-failure insurance / emergency reserve (one-time reserve fund).
Equipment $97K
[#2, #3, #7, #8, #9, #10, #13] Initial purchase of sensors/CCTV ($2k), photographic gear and spare filters, high-speed/multi-spectral/imaging purchase, non-destructive analysis fees and destructive-testing contingency (if authorized), synthetic proxy hardware.
Cover Story Initial $20K
[#20] Initial legal/cover-story setup, reimbursements and classification legal fees (one-time).
Protocol Development $15K
[#6] Controlled-access testing protocol development, approvals and SOP drafting (staff time across departments).
Vetting And Clearance $12K
[#4] One-time background investigations and clearance administration (estimated ~$3k/person × 4 authorized personnel).
Facilities $7K
[#1, #23] Secure evidence locker, tamper-evident case, soft-foam packaging, access logging hardware and secondary lockbox/emergency kit.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6K
[#11] Biological/medical safety infrastructure one-time items: PPE, sharps containers, initial biohazard setup.
Long Term Research Program $0
[#26] Optional multi-year program (not funded in baseline). Costed instead in 'research_scaleup' scenario when enacted.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $350K/yr
Staff Wages $230K/yr
[#15, #5] Salaries and allocated security staffing overhead: dedicated research staff (materials scientist, RA, safety officer) and pro-rated site security allocation.
Executive Oversight $30K/yr
[#25] Senior staff time, O5/O4 briefings and strategic oversight budget (pro-rated).
High Speed Rental And Core Fees $20K/yr
[#8] Per-test rental / core-facility access fees for high-speed / thermal / multi-spectral instrumentation (assumes occasional rentals/tests per year).
Red Team Audits And Cybersecurity $15K/yr
[#22] Annual red-team audits, staff-misuse checks, and cybersecurity for records and access systems.
Mtf Deployment Reserve Per Year $10K/yr
[#19] Annual reserve allocation for potential small domestic recovery/response deployments (keeps budget available short-notice).
Psychological Screening And Monitoring $10K/yr
[#16] Pre/post-test psychological screening, counseling budget and periodic monitoring for operators.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#11, #13, #14] PPE consumables, synthetic-proxy replacement materials, and baseline hazardous/biohazard waste disposal.
Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr
[#20] Ongoing cover maintenance, small legal fees and public-relations monitoring.
Data Management $5K/yr
[#3, #17] Secure encrypted storage, backup, and retention for high-resolution imagery, logs, and medical/test records.
Medical Standby Fund $5K/yr
[#12] Occasional on-call medical standby / per-test clinician oversight fund (not full FTE allocation).
Ethics Review Fund $5K/yr
[#21] Administrative cost for convening review boards and oversight hearings per year (assumes occasional reviews).
Training And Proficiency $5K/yr
[#24] Operator training, refreshers, and proficiency maintenance for Level-2 authorizations.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#18] Allocated annual budget for secure local transfers and courier security (per-transfer costs reserved separately in contingencies/scenarios).
Clearance Admin $1K/yr
[#4] Recurring administration and periodic re-checks for authorized personnel (~$350/person/yr × 4).
Facilities Maintenance $200/yr
[#2] Sensor and small locker hardware maintenance, low-power sensor upkeep and alarm linkage upkeep.
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $350K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine testing and containment; no major incidents or program scale-up.
routine testing scheduled audits no breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $370K/yr
4.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small contamination, accidental release during testing, or limited evidence mishandling requiring extra cleanup and audits.
biohazard cleanup forensic re-testing short-term security surge
🚨 Mtf Deployment $550K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Domestic field recovery or weaponization-response requiring MTF deployment and crisis PR/legal actions.
field recovery weaponized use containment compromise
🚨 Research Scaleup $700K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Decision to enact a multi-year active research/exploitation program with initial capital purchases and expanded staffing.
program approval scale-up purchases expanded testing regimen
👥 Personnel 2.75 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Materials Scientist 1.0 Primary materials scientist / photographic specialist allocated (0.5–1.0 FTE in notes; rounded to 1.0 FTE for baseline staffing).
Research Assistant 0.5 Research assistant / lab tech (0.5 FTE allocated to SCP-3912 work).
Safety Officer 0.25 Pro-rated safety officer/time for biosafety and testing oversight (0.25 FTE).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1.0 Allocated portion of site security coverage / response team cost (fractional cost represented as 1.0 allocated headcount equivalent for budgeting).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line-item ranges for many categories, allowing a bounded estimate, but multiple optional/contingent items (destructive testing, long-term program, MTF deployments) and assumptions about staffing allocations reduce certainty.
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