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SCP-3938 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3938
Expected annual
$656K
One-time setup
$538K
Annual recurring
$643K
Personnel
4
One-time setup roughly $538,036 (primarily containment retrofit, rapid-response vehicle, initial R&D/contingency and equipment). Recurring annual costs roughly $642,850 driven mainly by staff wages, administrative overhead, contingency replenishment and ongoing R&D/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $538K
Program Escalation Reserve $200K
[#24] Program-level escalation reserve for speculative exotic temporal/remote scenarios (minimum prudent reserve per analyst note).
Facilities $59K
[#1, #17, #18, #22] Containment chamber modification (fireproofing, reinforced door, spark-resistant ventilation) and small chamber soundproofing plus archival/spare-storage setup and associated structural work; selected mid-range estimates for retrofit and archival setup.
Rapid Response Vehicle $55K
[#8] Purchase and outfitting of 1-ton van/flatbed and emergency gear for retrieval operations (vehicle + outfitting).
Advanced Contingency Rd $50K
[#13] One-time allocation for basic advanced contingency R&D (protocols and simulated testing); modest baseline R&D rather than full program-scale effort.
Incident Contingency Reserve Initial $50K
[#16] Initial contingency reserve for emergency response, lawsuits, large medical costs or expensive retrieval operations (lower-end seed reserve).
Equipment $42K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #21] Fire-suppression hardware and upgraded exhaust, custom tamper-proof bike rack & anchors, GPS/tamper-resistant tracker installation, CCTV/audio hardware and initial secure telemetry/comms hardware; aggregated mid-range hardware estimates.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $25K
[#12] Research-grade instrumentation for travel/testing (IMUs, redundant GPS loggers, spectrometers, high-speed cameras) for initial experimental setup.
Amnestics Stockpile Initial $20K
[#15] Initial stockpile and training for amnestic pharmaceuticals and memetic countermeasures.
Sop Development And Initial Training $15K
[#20] Initial SOP development and initial training/drills for containment and rider protocols.
Clearance Processing One Time $12K
[#19] One-time clearance/background processing costs for interacting personnel (estimated per-staff processing for initial cohort).
Historical Sunk Costs $8K
[#23] Sunk/recovery costs recorded for transparency (purchase ~$36 + MTF deployment/transport ~$8,000).
Ppe Initial $2K
[#10] Initial PPE kit (helmets, FR coveralls, fire blankets, spare belts, battery kits).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $643K/yr
Staff Wages $340K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9] Salaries and benefits: 2containment technicians (shift coverage), 1 senior (Level-3) researcher (pro rata), part-time medic oversight and on-call/MTF standby pay aggregated into staff wage line.
Advanced Contingency Rd Staffing $50K/yr
[#13] Ongoing R&D / personnel allocation to develop time/space safety protocols if pursued (pro rata staffing for continued advanced work).
Program Escalation Ongoing Budget $50K/yr
[#24] Ongoing modest program-level budget in case exotic-testing activities are initiated (monitoring and small sustained R&D).
Administrative Overhead $50K/yr
[#25] Site overhead allocation (utilities, HR, accounting, facility management) apportioned to SCP-3938 containment.
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#14, #18] Routine cover-story maintenance, PR/legal contingency budget for public sightings and leaks; includes baseline legal contingency.
Medical Program $30K/yr
[#9, #15] Annual program costs for pre/post-ride medical/psychological evaluations and part-time medical oversight (program operating costs separate from medic salary in staff_wages).
Contingency Fund Replenishment $25K/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment to maintain incident contingency/reserve after any expenditures.
Research And Monitoring $10K/yr
[#5, #12] Ongoing data storage, telemetry management, experiment consumables and modest recurring research costs for testing and monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#8, #22] Rapid-response vehicle operational costs (fuel/maintenance) and amortized minor transfer/transport readiness budget.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#2] Ongoing inspection and service for suppression/ventilation systems, routine facility repairs and small maintenance for containment chamber.
Battery And Electronics Maintenance $7K/yr
[#11] Recurring spare parts, battery replacements for trackers, small electronics repairs and off-hours repair labor.
Training And Drills $6K/yr
[#20] Annual refresher training, SOP drills and memetic safety refreshers.
Amnestic Deployment Recurring $5K/yr
[#15] Annual budget for small-scale amnestic deployments and memetic countermeasure replenishment.
Communications And Network $4K/yr
[#4, #21] Satellite/data plan for GPS telemetry and secure encrypted network service/maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#10, #11] Recurring PPE replacements, cleaning and handling supplies; small consumable spare parts (tires, cables) not covered by technician labor.
Clearance Monitoring $3K/yr
[#19] Ongoing personnel monitoring and periodic reinvestigations for interacting staff.
Long Term Storage Transfer Fund $2K/yr
[#22] Amortized budget for occasional transfers/armored transport for long-term curation moves.
Archival Storage Maintenance $1K/yr
[#17] Climate control and cataloging costs for archival storage of original packaging and records.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $643K/yr
88.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and no major incidents or public exposure.
routine_operations no_incident standard_testing
🚨 Minor Incident $678K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$35K vs baseline
Small containment incident (localized flame event, minor equipment damage, single minor medical treatment and small PR/amnestic action).
localized_fire minor_injury_or_equipment_damage
🚨 Public Exposure $753K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$110K vs baseline
Visible public sighting/leak (flames/music audible or visible) requiring larger PR/legal response and multiple amnestic deployments.
audible_music_leak public_flame_sighting recording_or_media_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or large-scale incident (major fire, mass injuries, large public exposure or complex retrieval) requiring large deployment, repairs and legal/medical liabilities.
major_containment_failure large_public_incident multi-person_injuries
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician 2 [#6] Two FTEs (shift coverage, inspections, battery changes, hands-on maintenance) as specified in analyst notes.
Research Scientist 1 [#7, #12] Level-3+ researcher (0.5–1.0 FTE used here as 1.0 FTE) for testing, interviews and experiment planning.
Medical Officer 1 [#9, #15] Part-time medic/physician oversight consolidated as 1 headcount for on-site program medical responsibilities and post-ride care.
MTF On-Call / Security (contracted) 0 [#8] Rapid-response MTF/reserve personnel are contracted/on-call; costs included in staff_wages/on-call budget but not counted as permanent on-site headcount.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and cost ranges are well-specified in analyst notes (medium confidence), but many optional program-level escalations and sparse historical incident data produce wide variance; contingency/R&D choices drive most uncertainty.
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