SCP-394 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-394
Expected annual
$771K
One-time setup
$746K
Annual recurring
$738K
Personnel
3
Initial one-time containment and instrumentation costs are moderate (~$745.5k) driven by research-grade analysis equipment and geospatial/LIDAR procurement. Annual recurring costs (~$738.1k/yr baseline) are dominated by sustained research/forensic analysis, tracking campaigns, medical/contingency reserves, and staff wages.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $746K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#13] In-house chemical analysis instrumentation (GC-MS/mass spec) one-time acquisition
Geospatial Equipment $175K
[#22] One-time LIDAR / mobile remote-sensing hardware purchase
Replacement R D $150K
[#19] One-time R&D/replication effort to synthesize/replicate anomalous candles (capital R&D)
Equipment $57K
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #8, #10, #11, #12] Secure locker, micro-climate initial install, CCTV/IT integration, intrusion detection, fire suppression equipment, atmospheric instruments, gas/particulate monitors, thermal/high-speed recording (aggregated one-time equipment costs)
Transport Vehicle $42K
[#23] Secure transport vehicle (armored/secured van) one-time purchase
Facilities $15K
[#9] Ventilated testing pad/fencing/signage and related site construction (one-time)
Sop Development $6K
[#26] SOP development and initial documentation one-time cost
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $738K/yr
Research And Monitoring $180K/yr
[#13, #14] Annual chemical analysis outsourcing/in-house running costs and forensic/histology analysis workload
Staff Wages $155K/yr
[#5, #6] Research scientist salary (oversight), security guard salary, plus pro-rated admin overhead included
Risk Reserve $100K/yr
[#27] Internal contingency/reserve fund for accidental deaths, site damage, and claims
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#24, #25] Permitting, liaison with authorities, and small/medium cover-story / PR/legal contingency budget
Geospatial Analysis $60K/yr
[#22] Satellite tasking, GIS analysis staffing, and remote-sensing data processing annual budget
Medical Contracts $30K/yr
[#7] Paramedic/medic on-call retainer and contract standby fees
Medical Treatment $30K/yr
[#16] Expected annual budget for acute hospitalization, rehabilitation, and follow-up care for non-fatal exposures
Tracking Campaigns $25K/yr
[#21] Baseline small drone/multi-day campaign budget for occasional plume-tracking efforts
D Class Program $20K/yr
[#15] Recruitment, stipends, pre-screening, and administrative lifecycle costs for expendable subjects
Animal Testing $20K/yr
[#20] Animal model procurement and facility/protocol costs if substituting animal tissue for human tests
Hazardous Waste $15K/yr
[#18] Biohazard pickup, incineration, and remains disposal recurring costs
Staff Turnover $15K/yr
[#30] Recruiting/training lost staff and productivity replacement costs
Psychological Services $10K/yr
[#17] Psych screening, counseling, and follow-up for users and staff
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#29, #19] PPE, cleaning supplies, batteries, replacement non-anomalous candles / basic replication consumables
Training Drills $5K/yr
[#26] Annual drills, refresher training, and spotter/firewatch exercises
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #9, #11] Micro-climate electricity & maintenance, CCTV/storage retention, sensor maintenance, fire-equipment recertification, testing-area upkeep, gas monitor calibration
Archive Management $2K/yr
[#28] Long-term archival, inventory management and conservation treatments for remaining stock
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#23] Per-move/transport fuel and driver/escort incidental costs (baseline annual)
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $738K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, maintenance, and modest tracking efforts but no major incidents.
scheduled experiments routine analysis small drone campaigns
🚨 Minor Incident $788K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single accidental fatality, visible smoke plume reported publicly, or localized containment incident requiring emergency response and legal/PR action.
single accidental death public sighting of smoke plume localized fire requiring emergency medical treatment
🚨 Major Tracking Campaign $1.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Extended, multi-month effort to locate the vapor column destination using long-endurance drones, manned aircraft, heavy satellite tasking, and large field teams.
extended tracking operation multiple field campaigns manned aircraft/satellite tasking
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#13, #14] Oversees experiments, analysis, and research (salary included in staff_wages)
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#6] On-site security/spotter for use and escorted transport (salary included in staff_wages)
Administrative Staff 1 [#5] HR/admin oversight for Level-3 authorization and recordkeeping (pro-rated administrative cost included in staff_wages)
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for almost every cost driver, enabling reasonable mid-point estimates; however large volatility in tracking, R&D, and incident contingencies introduces uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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