SCP-3940 — SCP-3940 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3940 Neutralized ~ medium confidence

SCP-3940

Expected annual

$262K

One-time setup

$13.8M

Annual recurring

$175K

Personnel

One-time historical/contingency costs dominate (site work, reserves, neutralization contingency and historical payouts), while ongoing neutralized-state operations are modest archival/monitoring expenses.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.8M

Containment Neutralization Operation $5.5M

[#26] One-time cost if an active neutralization/termination operation is attempted (special ops, R&D, escalation management).

Historical Payouts Total $2.8M

[#25] Cumulative historical family compensations / payouts (aggregate historical estimate).

Facilities $1.9M

[#1, #2] Reinforced containment vault (#1) and site hardening/retrofitting of affected site(s) (#2). Estimates assume construction/retrofit to modern standards for a single primary site.

Insurance Reserve Establishment $1.1M

[#16] Establishment of insurance / liability reserve funds (one-time seed for lawsuits/leak risk).

Equipment $840K

[#5, #6, #21, #22, #23, #13] Acquisition and installation of high-speed photographic systems (#5), wide-area acoustic/seismic sensor zones (#6), specialty test-manufacturing / ballistic range setup (#21), hardened communications kit (#22), initial IT/data archival/server setup (#23), and secure evidence storage fitout (#13).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K

[#7] Forensic and materials analysis lab upgrades (SEM, mass spec access, cryo-EM arrangements) for initial capability buildout.

Containment Research Contingency Fund $550K

[#24] Fast-reaction R&D / rapid procurement reserve (one-time seed reserve).

Public Safety Reserve $550K

[#30] One-time contingent social-stability / public-safety mitigation reserve.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $175K/yr

Staff Wages $120K/yr

[#27] Minimal residual monitoring/watch team (small 2–4 person detail) and associated wages for neutralized-state maintenance.

Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr

[#12, #16, #17, #29] Ongoing minimal legal retainer and PR/legacy management for FOIA/press inquiries and long-term recordkeeping; major cover-up budgets are episodic and not present in baseline.

Research And Monitoring $15K/yr

[#7, #9, #10, #20, #23] Archival monitoring, occasional archival/genealogical research of historical targets (#20), minimal research access/contract testing and IT operations; larger research program (#10) is not funded in neutralized baseline.

Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr

[#7, #8, #21] Low-level consumables for occasional sample handling, minor testing supplies; autopsies (#8) are per-incident and set to zero expectancy in baseline.

Government Liaison $5K/yr

[#29] Small retainer / liaison expenditure to handle rare classified briefings or inquiries.

Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr

[#1, #2, #13] Ongoing upkeep for vault/site assets and secure evidence storage climate-control / basic maintenance.

Logistics And Transport $1K/yr

[#15] Minimal baseline secure transit / trivial travel for archival checks.

Comms Maintenance $1K/yr

[#22] Minimal upkeep for hardened/secure emergency communications in archival mode.

Dedicated Security Staff $0/yr

[#3] Dedicated 24/7 rapid-response security teams are not maintained in neutralized baseline (estimate set to 0).

Special Incident Response Unit $0/yr

[#4] Mobile incident response unit costs are not active under neutralized baseline (estimate set to 0).

High Speed Photography Maintenance $0/yr

[#5] Maintenance/calibration for high-speed capture systems is not incurred at scale in baseline (set to 0).

Sensor Network Monitoring $0/yr

[#6] Wide-area acoustic/seismic zone monitoring costs are set to 0 in neutralized baseline.

Forensic Consumables Per Year $0/yr

[#7, #8] Recurring forensic/contract testing consumables and per-incident autopsy budgets are set to 0 in baseline (no active incidents expected).

Prediction And Tracking $0/yr

[#11] Active field surveillance / POI tracking not funded in neutralized baseline (estimate 0).

Incident Scene Repairs Per Year $0/yr

[#14] Structural remediation/repairs are per-incident; baseline assumes none and is set to 0.

Transportation Services $0/yr

[#15] Helicopter/armored transport usage is episodic; baseline set to 0.

Training And Drills $0/yr

[#18] Large-scale medical/security drills are not maintained in neutralized baseline (estimate 0).

Psychosocial Support $0/yr

[#19] Ongoing counseling/hazard-pay programs are not actively funded at scale in baseline (estimate 0).

Data And Cyber Operations $0/yr

[#23] Full-scale secure archival IT operations would be higher if active; baseline assumes minimal costs (0) beyond what's in research_and_monitoring.

Containment Research Contingency Replenish $0/yr

[#24] Contingency fund replenishment is episodic; baseline set to 0.

Emergency Drills $0/yr

[#28] Emergency evacuation rehearsals are not actively funded in neutralized baseline (estimate 0).

Public Safety Reserve Replenish $0/yr

[#30] Replenishment of public-safety reserve is episodic; baseline set to 0.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $175K/yr

94.5% probability / year

Neutralized-state, uneventful year with only archival monitoring and minimal watch-team overhead.

no detected activity periodic archival checks

🚨 Sporadic Incident $1.1M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$930K vs baseline

Isolated arrow incident or discovery requiring limited response (forensic autopsy, scene remediation, rapid deployment).

single detected strike local scene remediation limited SIRU deployment

🚨 Major Breach Reactivation Attempt $8.2M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$8.1M vs baseline

Significant reactivation or decision to attempt active neutralization leading to major one-time expenditures.

decision to neutralize/reactivate containment multi-site strikes / high-profile exposure

👥 Personnel 3 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#27, #3] Small residual watch-team for archival monitoring; dedicated 24/7 rapid-response teams are not maintained in baseline.
Administrative Staff	1	[#23, #27] Administrative/records support for archival IT and monitoring duties.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates use midpoints of broad ranges in analyst notes; many costs are historically sunk or contingency in nature and the Neutralized classification reduces operational clarity, producing moderate confidence.

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