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SCP-3978 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3978
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
12
Initial capital costs are moderate-to-high (~$2.28M) driven by bespoke Protocol BATAKIN development, secure data infrastructure, and a seeded contingency reserve; recurring annual costs are driven by staffed 24/7 medical/security coverage, ongoing Protocol BATAKIN support, and intelligence operations (~$2.13M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $875K
[#6] Protocol BATAKIN development/purchase (custom engineering, signal-processing servers, integration).
Insurance Reserve Seed $500K
[#22] One-time seed for internal insurance/contingency reserve for anomalous incidents.
Secure Data Storage $250K
[#7] Hardened air-gapped/compartmentalized server cluster, encrypted vault and physical secure hosting initial buildout.
Equipment $248K
[#2, #3, #4, #18] Medical/hardware install: hospital bed + restraint system, clinical EEG hardware & installation, infusion pumps (primary + spares), UPS/generator sizing and installation.
Initial Clearance $228K
[#11] Initial specialized staff vetting & clearance costs (estimate scaled to ~12 staff with top-tier clearance).
Facilities $125K
[#1] Secure humanoid containment cell construction / modification (reinforced bed, decontaminable surfaces, sealed window, secondary air-handling).
Classified Comms Setup $30K
[#26] Classified communications hardware & setup (hardware tokens, initial guarded-courier packaging setup).
Emergency Response Equipment $25K
[#17] Mobile restraint units, sedative crash kits, ambulance/evac contracts (one-time purchase of mobile equipment).
Advanced Imaging Procurement $0
[#24] Advanced neuroimaging procurement (in-house MRI/fMRI) not purchased up-front; external sessions used instead.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Salaries and benefits for on-site staff: cleared intelligence analysts (~3 FTE), on-site medical staff/neurotechs (~3 FTE), security officers/MTF agents (~6 FTE) for 24/7 coverage.
Research And Monitoring $325K/yr
[#6, #7, #23, #24] Ongoing Protocol BATAKIN engineering/support, secure server sysadmin/storage/audits, archival/cold storage integrity checks, and occasional external imaging sessions.
Covert Intel Operations $200K/yr
[#16] Ongoing covert monitoring of GRU Division 'P' and foreign activity (OSINT/SIGINT/HUMINT buys) at a measured intensity.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#15] Legal retainer, redaction and cover-story creation, FOIA handling, and diplomatic/legal incident response.
Facilities Maintenance $73K/yr
[#18, #19, #21] UPS/generator fuel & testing, utilities/HVAC increment, and routine physical maintenance/calibration contracts.
Supplies And Consumables $66K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #13, #14] Replacement straps/pads, EEG disposables, IV/infusion consumables, PPE, laundering and biohazard disposal, and secure transcription/printing consumables.
Insurance And Contingency $60K/yr
[#22] Annual premium equivalents / contingency fund replenishment for anomalous incidents.
Mental Health Care $50K/yr
[#20] Long-term psychiatry oversight, medication management, neurocognitive assessments.
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#17, #26] Annual costs for drills/exercises, ambulance/evac contracts, and guarded courier operational costs.
Pharmacological Stockpile $40K/yr
[#5] Ongoing costs for antipsychotics, sedatives, anesthesia-support meds, auditing and controlled-substance logistics.
Counterintelligence Monitoring $30K/yr
[#11] Ongoing specialized vetting/continuous counterintelligence monitoring for personnel with access.
Training $25K/yr
[#12] Annual training, memetic/multimodal safety briefings, Protocol BATAKIN certification refreshers.
Staff Psychological Support $25K/yr
[#25] Psychological screening, counseling, burnout prevention, EAP access for staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing containment, medical care, Protocol BATAKIN operation, and intelligence handling.
steady operation no breach routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment/medical incident or localized sabotage requiring emergency response, overtime, temporary relocation, and limited equipment replacement.
acute medical emergency targeted sabotage short investigation
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Serious infiltration, insider-assisted assassination or major data exfiltration requiring extensive investigation, containment upgrades, replacement of key hardware, legal/liaison escalation, and intelligence operations ramp-up.
insider compromise coordinated foreign operation data breach / asset loss
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#10] 24/7 access control and guarding with cleared personnel (6 FTE for 3-shift coverage).
Research Scientist / Intelligence Analyst 3 [#8] Cleared analysts / liaisons reviewing Protocol BATAKIN output (2–4; modeled as 3 FTE).
Medical Officer / Neurotech / Nurse 3 [#9] On-site medical staff / neurotechs for continuous care, IV management, EEG monitoring (3 FTE minimum for 24/7).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based directly on analyst ranges and reasonable midpoints; key uncertainties include Protocol BATAKIN development scope, intensity of ongoing intelligence operations, and possible one-off containment upgrades, so confidence is medium.
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