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SCP-4003 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4003
Expected annual
$5.3M
One-time setup
$12.8M
Annual recurring
$5.2M
Personnel
37
Initial capital and land control dominate one-time costs (~$12.75M), while ongoing personnel (security + scientific staff) and research/monitoring drive recurring expenses (~$5.205M/yr). Major cost drivers are land/site establishment, specialized scientific programs (Department of Temporal Anomalies), and 24/7 security/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.8M
Facilities $5.2M
[#1, #2, #3] Land control/purchase and Provisional Site-1200 build-out plus perimeter construction (fencing, gates, access) per notes #1–#3.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.7M
[#9, #12, #13, #14, #15, #25, #27] Local conservation/prep lab equipment (#9: $200k), initial imaging/3D/CT campaign (#12: $600k), large-specimen preparation & mounting (#13: $600k), forensic osteology/human remains analysis (#14: $130k), Dept. of Temporal Anomalies seed funding (#15: $2,000k), artifact-specific conservation projects (#25: $100k), archival/database buildout (#27: $100k).
Equipment $1.0M
[#4, #7, #21] Site surveillance install (#4: $250k), heavy excavation equipment purchase (#7: $500k), and vehicles/transport fleet purchase (#21: $250k).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#29] Emergency contingency / rapid response reserve fund recommended as a one-time lump sum (#29: $1,000k).
Decommissioning And Restoration $1.0M
[#32] Decommissioning / long-term closure reserve for remediation, teardown, and land restoration (#32: $1,000k).
Initial Transport And Crating $300K
[#10] Specimen packaging, crate fabrication and secure transport for initial shipments (#10: $300k).
Amnestic Program $200K
[#16] Initial hypnosuggestive / amnestic operations and medical support startup/training/supplies (#16: $200k).
Legal Setup And Initial Redaction $200K
[#17] Initial cover-up/legal operations and archival redaction setup and travel (#17: $200k).
Front Organization Setup $50K
[#18] Front organization (Southern Canadian Paleontologists) registration and initial setup (#18: $50k).
Environmental Compliance Setup $50K
[#24] Waste management / environmental compliance one-time setup costs (#24: $50k).
Medical Setup $20K
[#23] Field medical kit / Medevac contract equipment initial cost (#23: $20k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#5, #6, #30] Security personnel and associated costs (#5: $1,040k/yr), specialized scientific staff payroll (#6: $1,510k/yr), ongoing monitoring/site maintenance staffing (#30: $60k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $1.3M/yr
[#11, #12, #15, #27] Site-11 incremental storage & intensive care allocation (#11: $100k/yr), ongoing lab analyses (#12: $150k/yr), Dept. of Temporal Anomalies ongoing research (#15: $1,000k/yr), archival/database maintenance (#27: $25k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $575K/yr
[#17, #18, #20, #28, #31] Ongoing legal/archival monitoring and redaction (#17: $25k/yr), front organization annual ops (#18: $150k/yr), community relations/hush money & permits (#20: $100k/yr), PR/misinformation efforts (#28: $100k/yr), insurance/indemnity/legal reserve (#31: $200k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $290K/yr
[#8, #9, #26] Heavy equipment rental/maintenance and field consumables (#8: $100k/yr), conservation consumables (#9: $40k/yr), seasonal field campaign operational costs (#26: $150k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $155K/yr
[#4, #22, #24] Site surveillance maintenance (#4: $75k/yr), utilities & power (#22: $60k/yr), ongoing environmental/waste compliance (#24: $20k/yr).
Amnestic Operations $150K/yr
[#16] Ongoing hypnosuggestive / amnestic operations, medical monitoring and amnestic supplies (#16: $150k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $110K/yr
[#19, #21] Museum donation/loan coordination and per-donation handling (#19: $50k/yr), vehicle fuel/maintenance for fleet (#21: $60k/yr).
Medical And Medevac $40K/yr
[#23] Medevac contract retainer and medical support operations (#23: $40k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.2M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year without major incidents; regular excavation, research, security, and cover operations proceed as planned.
no breach routine research and transport standard staffing and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or leak (unauthorized civilian entry, small media exposure, single-specimen damage) triggering modest emergency response, additional legal/PR, amnestic operations and repairs.
unauthorized perimeter breach small media leak equipment failure during season
🚨 Major Breach $7.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant exposure or containment failure (large-scale media/public exposure, major specimen loss/damage, protracted litigation) requiring major emergency rentals, legal settlements, large-scale PR and long-term remediation.
large public exposure mass specimen damage or loss major litigation or whistleblower campaign
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#5] 24/7 security rotations and supervisors as described (~4 guards/shift × 3 shifts + 2 supervisors ≈ 14 FTE).
Research Scientist 10 [#6, #15] Senior specialists (archaeologists/paleontologists/geologists) per note (#6: 10senior specialists).
Field Technician 8 [#6, #8, #26] Field techs for excavation, equipment operation and seasonal campaigns (8 techs referenced in #6).
Conservator / Cataloger / Admin 3 [#6, #9, #25] Conservators and cataloging/admin support (budgeted separately in #6 and conservation projects #25).
Groundskeeper / Maintenance Contractor 2 [#30] Ongoing monitoring & site maintenance staffing (groundskeepers/seasonal contractors).
Administrative Staff / Data Manager 0 [] Administrative/database costs are budgeted in archival/database infrastructure (#27) as capital and maintenance rather than additional full-time hires.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are explicitly estimated in analyst notes (medium confidence in aggregates), but uncertainties remain around shared capital with Site-11, legal/cover-up variability, and research scaling which could materially change costs.
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