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SCP-4021 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4021
Expected annual
$201K
One-time setup
$848K
Annual recurring
$158K
Personnel
1
Estimated one-time setup, neutralization and contingency costs total approximately $848,000 driven primarily by greenhouse construction, neutralization operations, specialist engagements and contingency reserves. Baseline recurring costs are modest (~$158,250/yr) and are driven by archival/urn custody, minimal monitoring, insurance, and small ongoing administrative oversight.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $848K
Facilities $400K
[#1] Size-1 anomaly greenhouse construction and hardening (midpoint of $200k–$600k).
Neutralization Operation $88K
[#13] Mobilize hazardous incinerator, permits, specialized personnel and post-burn sampling for neutralization event.
Contingency Fund Establish $75K
[#22] Establishment of contingency & emergency response fund/reserve.
Equipment $64K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #15, #17] Grow lights/HVAC integration (#2), misting/distiller installation (#3), growing beds/substrates (#4), CCTV/tamper sensors initial (#5), safe/vault purchase for urn (#15), initial hardened IT/archive storage (#17).
Public Relations One Time $50K
[#27] One-time PR / incident mitigation budget in case neutralization becomes public.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $40K
[#23] Laboratory and analytical capital (microscopes, bench-top instruments, sequencing-capable equipment as needed).
Specialist Initial $40K
[#12] Initial contracted specialist fees (linguists, ethologists, botanists) engagement.
Cover Story Initial $40K
[#19] Initial cover-story/legal/permit manipulation and upfront clandestine costs.
Decon For Repurpose $18K
[#16] Decontamination and certification for repurposing greenhouse space after neutralization or contamination.
Waste Disposal $14K
[#14] Hazardous/biological waste disposal, ash handling, chain-of-custody and special treatment.
Psychological Review Initial $12K
[#21] Initial ethical/psychological review and external oversight board fees.
Training Initial $9K
[#20] Initial SOP creation, staff training and drills setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $158K/yr
Staff Wages $60K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Minimal ongoing oversight staffing for neutralized state (part-time Project Head/oversight). Full active-containment staffing costs are modeled as scenario deltas.
Insurance And Liability $30K/yr
[#18] Insurance, liability reserves and worker's compensation reserves for staff and facility in neutralized/archival posture.
Opportunity Cost $20K/yr
[#25] Opportunity cost / lost lab space value (conservative baseline estimate for archival usage).
Medical And Occupational Health $12K/yr
[#9] Medical screening, biomonitoring and mental-health support for personnel interacting with anomalous material (baseline cadence).
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #10, #24] Energy/maintenance for environmental systems (#2), distilled water/filters (#3), soil replacement/substrates (#4), CCTV storage/maintenance (#5), PPE and decontamination consumables (#10), seeds/fertilizers/enrichment (#24).
Contingency Replenish $10K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment / availability funding for emergency response as used.
Research And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#11, #12, #17, #21, #26] Minimal ongoing analytical testing and monitoring of retained sample/archival records, occasional contracted specialist work and oversight in the neutralized state.
Training And Sops $5K/yr
[#20] Recurring refresher training, SOP updates and drills.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#1] Routine maintenance, HVAC servicing and minor repairs for retained containment space or storage area.
Cover Story And Legal $2K/yr
[#19] Ongoing small cover/maintenance costs for legal/cover-story upkeep.
Secure Storage Urn Custodial $600/yr
[#15] Custodial/monitoring fees and integrity checks for retained ashes/urn.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $158K/yr
93.0% probability / year
Neutralized-year steady-state: retained ashes in secure custody, archival recordkeeping, occasional monitoring and minimal oversight.
neutralized_state urn_custody archival_monitoring
🚨 Active Containment $937K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$778K vs baseline
Revival or reactivation requiring full-size active containment program (hardened greenhouse, full staff, continuous testing and security).
SCP_revival increased_birth_rate containment_upgrade
🚨 Neutralization Event $352K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$194K vs baseline
One-off emergency neutralization/incineration event with specialized teams, permits, PR response and site decontamination.
unexpected_revival environmental_detection policy_decision
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Project Head / Executive Staff 1 [#6] One part-time/oversight Project Head retained for archival oversight and authorization; full active-containment staffing modeled in scenario deltas rather than baseline.
📋 Confidence Notes
Intermediate confidence: many line items have analyst-provided ranges and the object's neutralized status reduces near-term recurring spending, but probabilities for revival/neutralization events and staffing scale are uncertain.
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