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SCP-4026 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4026
Expected annual
$346K
One-time setup
$665K
Annual recurring
$318K
Personnel
2
One-time setup and remediation (signage, cameras, audits, legal/PR) estimated at $665,000; ongoing annual operations (monitoring, counseling, maintenance, insurance, contingency) ~ $318,000, with major incidents able to raise costs into mid-six-figures to low seven-figures.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $665K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#1, #12] Verification/neutralization audit and initial structured research study (IRB/ethics, volunteer recruitment, safety protocols).
Facilities $160K
[#4, #18, #20] Signage, path/fence/barrier installation and coastal-engineering work including geotech survey, structural fixtures, and decommissioning/removal costs.
Equipment $135K
[#5, #6, #14, #15, #16, #19] Phone kiosk/CCTV/hardware, forensic evidence-storage hardware, IT/server setup, coastguard rescue equipment contributions, and vehicle purchase.
Legal And Permitting $50K
[#9] One-time legal/consultation fees and potential initial compensation/mitigation payments for land-use/permitting negotiations.
Cognitive Protocol Development $40K
[#13] Development of cognitive-hazard mitigation protocols, observer protocols and initial training materials.
Public Relations One Time $30K
[#10] Initial public-safety messaging/cover-story campaign or FOIA-prep / public-facing materials (innocuous campaign baseline).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $318K/yr
Staff Wages $165K/yr
[#7, #11] Monitoring/operator staffing (daytime coverage) and one funded mental-health counselor (salaries + standard benefits).
Contingency $41K/yr
[#21] Recommended contingency buffer (15% of baseline recurring subtotal) for surges, legal claims, or reinstatement expenses.
Research And Monitoring $20K/yr
[#2] Periodic site inspections/spot-checks (monthly/quarterly) and limited ongoing observational monitoring in a modest program.
Emergency Response $20K/yr
[#3] Annual expected costs for ambulance/police/coastguard call-outs and immediate medical/psych care for survivors (baseline low assuming neutralized status).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#9, #10] Ongoing PR/FOIA responses, liaison with local authorities and small annual legal/liaison costs.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#4, #18] Ongoing maintenance of signage, barriers, coastal fixture upkeep and rust/corrosion mitigation.
Insurance And Liability $10K/yr
[#17] Increased premiums and liability coverage for staff operating on-site and program activities.
Protocol Refresher Training $8K/yr
[#13] Recurring refresher training for responders/researchers on cognitive-hazard mitigation protocols.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#14, #19] Forensic consumables and small field supplies; minor recurring equipment consumables for evidence kits and fieldwork.
Cctv Maintenance And Storage $6K/yr
[#6, #14] Cloud/NVR storage, redundancy, and maintenance/power for camera systems; ongoing digital archiving costs.
Data Security And It Maintenance $6K/yr
[#15] Ongoing IT/cloud costs, encryption, backups, and periodic audits for sensitive records/footage.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#19] Vehicle fuel, short-term leases, permits, and routine field travel expenses.
Coastguard Training $3K/yr
[#16] Periodic training exercises and small equipment upkeep for cliff-rescue support when Foundation supplements local assets.
Hotline Service $2K/yr
[#5] Line/service contract costs if a public hotline is maintained (assumes partner orgs provide staffing; Foundation covers line/service).
Security Patrols $0/yr
[#8] Optional security patrols (24/7 patrols are possible but not included in baseline; cost suppressed to zero in baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $318K/yr
89.0% probability / year
Modest public-safety program with signage, occasional inspections, limited CCTV, hotline line service, one counselor, daytime monitoring, and maintenance.
no reactivation minimal public incidents local partner support
🚨 Minor Incident $388K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$70K vs baseline
A small cluster of reactivations or public incidents requiring elevated emergency response, extra PR/legal work, and short-term investigative activity.
localized reactivation media attention additional emergency deployments
🚨 Major Incident $1.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant public incident or evidence that neutralization failed, prompting rapid reinstatement of active containment (24/7 monitoring, security patrols, buyouts/legal actions, expanded research).
confirmed reactivation serious casualties legal/political pressure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $518K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Discovery that SCP-4026-1 (or residual effects) merit an extended research program and increased monitoring obligations.
new evidence scientific interest external funding shortfall
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operator / Surveillance Technician 1 [#7] Daytime monitoring desk coverage (1 FTE equivalent) included in staff_wages.
Mental Health Counselor 1 [#11] One funded counselor (casework/outreach) included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates combined from analyst ranges and midpoint selections; key uncertainties are reactivation probability (neutralized status), choice between partner-run vs Foundation-run hotline/staffing, and extent of secrecy/legal actions. Reasonable middle-ground confidence but several optional/contingent line items remain uncertain.
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