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SCP-4108 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-4108
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$4.7M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
14
One-time setup estimated at approximately $4.7M for a reinforced, climate-controlled greenhouse, manipulators and lab buildout; main annual drivers are staff wages, facilities maintenance and energy (~$2.12M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.7M
Facilities $2.3M
[#1, #5, #6, #7] Reinforced greenhouse shell (foundation, alloy coating, sealed roofing/airlocks), rails/installation, reinforced planting sockets/removable planting modules, climate/security-rated glazing and roofing.
Equipment $1.4M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #8, #9, #10] HVAC/chillers purchase, automated UV lighting and fertigation hardware, rail-mounted remote manipulators/gantry install, specialized transport carts, monitoring/sensor network install, UPS/generator equipment, walk-in freezer/frozen storage.
Insurance Reserve $550K
[#24] One-time catastrophic incident / insurance reserve set-aside.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $425K
[#11] Laboratory buildout and scientific instruments: high-speed cameras, force plates, sequencers, soil analyzers, specimen prep and testing rigs.
Training And Sop Development $35K
[#25] Initial SOP development, simulation training setup and clearance processing overheads.
Archive Digitization $30K
[#22] One-time digitization/cataloging of archaeological records and initial archival integration.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15] Salaries for researchers (Level-3 ×2, Level-4 ×1), greenhouse technicians (3 FTE assumed), automation/robotic technicians (2), and security staff (6 guards) for continuous coverage.
Facilities Maintenance $319K/yr
[#2, #4, #10, #19] Annual maintenance and service contracts for HVAC/chillers, manipulator calibration/repairs, freezer maintenance, and structural/alloy/glazing mid-life repairs.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#8, #11, #21, #22] Monitoring/data storage, lab consumables/calibration, active research program (pollination/experiments) and ongoing archival/curation costs.
Cover Story And Legal $112K/yr
[#23] Legal counsel, NDAs, classified-program liaison and PR contingency budgets.
Energy Costs $95K/yr
[#18] Electricity for continuous HVAC, lighting, manipulators and monitoring systems.
Supplies And Consumables $62K/yr
[#3, #16, #17] Fertilizers, soil mixes, pest control, paint for trunk markings, UV lamp bulbs, filters and routine spare parts for manipulators.
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#20] Secure transfers between Site-104 and Site-76 (assumes ~4 transfers/year at mid-range per-transfer cost).
Insurance Contingency Budget $50K/yr
[#24] Annual contingency budget for smaller incident responses and deductible coverage.
Power Fuel And Tests $30K/yr
[#9] Generator fuel contracts, UPS tests and routine power redundancy testing.
Administrative Overheads $30K/yr
[#28] IT, facility management, procurement and small administrative supplies.
Environmental Safety And Waste Disposal $18K/yr
[#27] Waste disposal, permits and third-party hazardous waste contractor costs.
Training And Clearance $15K/yr
[#25] Annual refresher training, SOP updates and clearance processing.
Decommissioning Per Specimen $14K/yr
[#26] Handling, transport and analysis of fossilized specimens; assumes low event rate averaged across years.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Routine operational year with scheduled maintenance and no major incidents.
normal_operation scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure (e.g., manipulator or HVAC failure) requiring repair/replacement and overtime; short-term operational impacts.
manipulator_failure HVAC_outage monitoring_system_loss
🚨 Major Breach $3.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Containment breach or transport accident causing significant infrastructure damage, specimen loss and legal/cleanup costs requiring rebuild or major remediation.
breach_during_transfer catastrophic_HVAC_failure major_security_incident
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-3/Level-4) 3 [#12] 2 × Level-3 botanists/ecophysiologists and 1 × Level-4 researcher for approvals and program oversight.
Greenhouse Technician / Horticultural Assistant 3 [#13] 3 FTEs for daily plant care, manipulator assistance and routine maintenance (midpoint of 2–4).
Engineer / Maintenance (Automation Technician) 2 [#14] 2 technicians for manipulators, control systems, HVAC and on-call repairs (1–2 range assumed toward upper reliability).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#15] 24/7 coverage estimated at 6 guards (within 4–8 range) to support access control and transfer escorts.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst provided detailed line-item ranges and containment requirements, allowing midpoint-based estimates; site-specific factors (energy rates, local labor, existing infrastructure) still introduce variance.
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