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SCP-4118 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4118
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
10
Initial capital outlay is moderate (~$1.1M) driven by a custom multi‑biome containment suite, life-support and security/equipment. Recurring annual costs are substantial (~$2.66M/yr) primarily due to MTF operations, market‑suppression/cyber efforts, site staff wages and a recommended contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $520K
[#1, #14, #26] Containment cell construction (#1), backup quarantine/overflow modules (#14) and long‑term storage shelving/climate controls (#26).
Equipment $368K
[#2, #3, #6, #10, #11, #15, #18, #21, #22] HVAC/UPS installation (#2), aquatic life‑support install (#3), security infrastructure (#6), initial PPE kit (#10), lethal removal tooling (#11), observation/monitoring hardware (#15), inventory/tagging hardware & software (#18), secure transport crates (#21), market suppression platform tooling (#22).
Legal Pr Initial $100K
[#24] Initial legal/PR cover‑up and takedown campaign setup.
Forensic Investigation One Time $60K
[#25] Initial forensic origin tracing / supply‑chain investigation contract costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $42K
[#4, #16] Specialized plant procurement/greenhouse & irrigation initial setup (#4) and initial laboratory access/equipment for polymer/materials testing (#16).
Sop Development Initial $12K
[#19] SOP development and initial staff training to prevent imprinting/accidental incidents.
Lethal Training $3K
[#11] Initial training for lethal removal & disposal tooling and humane termination procedures.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Mtf Operations $900K/yr
[#23] Field MTF Kappa‑7 monitoring, interdiction, vehicles, surveillance and operational costs.
Staff Wages $718K/yr
[#5, #7, #8, #9, #29] Horticulturist/technician (#5), onsite security guards (#7), core research team/handlers (#8), contracted veterinary/exotics consultant (#9), administrative support (~0.5–1.0 FTE) (#29).
Contingency Reserve $498K/yr
[#30] Reserved fund contribution for large‑scale outbreaks, emergency mass disposal, public exposure responses or additional MTF mobilization.
Market Suppression And Cyber Ops $185K/yr
[#22] Web monitoring, takedown operations, analysts and undercover purchase budgets (Romagnoli‑Bitler protocol).
Cover Story And Legal $95K/yr
[#24, #28] Ongoing legal/PR retainers and cover‑story operations (#24) plus insurance/compliance/permits (#28).
Research And Monitoring $92K/yr
[#15, #16, #18, #25] Data storage/analysis and behavior monitoring (#15), recurring laboratory analysis/testing projects (#16), inventory/tracking admin support (#18), ongoing forensic/follow‑up investigations (#25).
Supplies And Consumables $42K/yr
[#3, #4, #10, #17, #26, #27] Aquatic system maintenance/consumables (#3), horticulture consumables (#4), PPE replacements (#10), research consumables/feed/toys (#17), storage recurring costs (#26), environmental/microplastics testing (small consumables) (#27).
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#2, #14] HVAC/environmental utilities and emergency fuel/electricity (#2) and maintenance for backup/overflow modules (#14).
Hazardous Disposal Contracts $30K/yr
[#12] Contracted anomalous waste transport, incineration and permits for disposed instances and caches.
Population Control Program $30K/yr
[#13] Monitoring, scheduled culling operations, staff time and associated disposals.
Medical Care $20K/yr
[#20] Onsite medical readiness, routine treatment for bites/lacerations and incident response baseline.
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#21] Secure transport operations and crate maintenance for transfers (#21).
Sop Training Recurring $5K/yr
[#19] Ongoing refresher courses, cold‑desk simulations and behavioral training to prevent imprinting or provocation.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, research and suppression; no major reproduction events or public exposures.
steady population no mass reproductive surge regular MTF/market suppression operations
🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident such as unexpected reproduction surge requiring targeted mass disposal or a single large hazardous disposal event and short‑term MTF surge.
single large disposal event short MTF mobilization overtime and temporary contracts
🚨 Major Outbreak $4.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline
Uncontrolled reproductive outbreak or public exposure requiring prolonged mass disposal, full public exposure mitigation, and large‑scale MTF operations.
runaway reproduction public discovery/exposure extended MTF & legal/PR campaign
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 3 [#7] Onsite guards controlling access and enforcing schedules.
Research Scientist 1 [#8] Lead researcher overseeing experiments and protocols.
Research Technician 2 [#8] Research techs supporting experiments, husbandry and recordkeeping.
Horticulturist / Technician 1 [#5] Dedicated horticulture staff maintaining plant species and irrigation.
Animal Behaviorist / Exotics Specialist 1 [#8] Specialist advising on behavior, imprinting and experiments.
Veterinary / Exotic Consultant 1 [#9] Contracted or part‑time vet for medical/exotic advice and incident response.
Administrative Staff 1 [#29] Admin support for logs, visitor scheduling, cataloging and compliance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are well described with ranges (construction, equipment, staffing) enabling reasonable estimates; uncertainty remains due to unpredictable reproduction dynamics, disposal event scale and political/public exposure risk which drive large cost swings.
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