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SCP-4122 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4122
Expected annual
$122K
One-time setup
$172K
Annual recurring
$119K
Personnel
3
Initial one-time containment, basic equipment and limited investigation are modest (~$172k OTM), while ongoing annual costs are dominated by legal/cover reserves and administrative/security overhead (~$119k/yr). Main drivers are contingency/legal reserves, incident-readiness, and personnel/admin approvals.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $172K
Containment Upgrade $100K
[#19] Fund to upgrade containment if escalation is required (dedicated lab / specialized infrastructure).
Legal One Time $20K
[#13] Initial one-off legal/cover-up payout for discrete incidents (distinct from recurring reserve).
Field Investigation $20K
[#14] Cost to investigate claimed origin property (travel, on-site survey, forensic work).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#12] Contingency measurement / test rig funding (basic rig to moderate instrumentation; testing normally prohibited but fund held).
Equipment $7K
[#2, #3, #8] Access-control hardware ($2k–$8k range), CCTV/tamper sensors ($1k–$3k), and initial stock of tamper seals ($200–$500).
Facilities $5K
[#1] Standard small safe or safe-deposit style cell purchase/custom install (mid-range estimate assumed).
Amnestic One Time $3K
[#9] One-time amnestic treatment / medical admin cost for existing recoverees (if applicable).
Vetting Setup $2K
[#17] Initial personnel vetting / background checks for authorized staff (one-time component).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $119K/yr
Cover Story And Legal $85K/yr
[#9, #13, #18, #20] Ongoing reserves for amnestics/witness management, legal/PR/cover operations, liability contingency maintenance, and forensic/financial misuse investigations (large variance driven by risk tolerance).
Staff Wages $18K/yr
[#4, #5, #17] Marginal allocation for site security coverage ($10k–$25k midpoint), Level‑4 approval time admin overhead (~$800–$1,200/yr), and ongoing vetting/training (~$500–$5,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#10, #11] MCT readiness/training funding (~$5k–$15k/yr) plus expected per-move/rapid-response transport costs averaged per year.
Research And Monitoring $3K/yr
[#6, #15] Inventory audits/inspections (~$480–$2,000/yr) plus documentation/IT security and classified record-keeping ($500–$5,000/yr).
Security Systems Maintenance $950/yr
[#2, #3] Recurring software, monitoring, and maintenance for access control and CCTV (card-reader auth, audit logs, storage).
Supplies And Consumables $625/yr
[#7, #8, #16] PPE, evidence bags, consumables ($100–$500/yr), tamper seal replacements ($50–$200/yr), and incremental utilities (~$50–$300/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $119K/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled audits, minimal moves, and maintenance of reserves.
no incidents routine audits no relocations
🚨 Minor Incident $139K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small exposure or misuse requiring MCT deployment, a few amnestic treatments, limited legal payouts and investigation.
localized exposure single civilian contact small-scale misuse (e.g., limited duplication event)
🚨 Major Breach $469K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Public exposure or significant misuse requiring heavy legal defense, large containment upgrade, extended MTF operations and compensation.
public leak/exposure large-scale financial misuse legal/investigative escalation
🚨 Dedicated Guard $164K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$45K vs baseline
Decision to assign a dedicated 24/7 guard (instead of marginal allocation), increasing personnel costs substantially.
policy change increased risk site security reallocation
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Level-4 Personnel / Senior Approver 2 Two Level-4 signatories required for access; cost is pro-rated approval-time included in staff_wages.
Site Technician / Auditor 1 Performs scheduled inventory audits and maintenance; represented as a marginal allocation in recurring staff costs.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0 No dedicated guard in baseline; security cost is a marginal allocation of existing site security (dedicated guard appears only in dedicated_guard scenario).
📋 Confidence Notes
Baseline containment hardware and monitoring costs are well-defined; however the largest cost drivers are discretionary contingency reserves, legal/cover payouts and escalation scenarios with wide ranges, producing moderate confidence in the aggregated estimate.
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