SCP-4127 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4127
Expected annual
$177K
One-time setup
$220K
Annual recurring
$176K
Personnel
2.25
Initial one-time setup and contingency budgeting (vault, IT/legal retainer, and emergency funds) drive upfront costs (~$220k), while recurring annual expenses are dominated by security and archival staffing plus monitoring (~$176k/yr). Main drivers are dedicated security staffing, archival support, and contingency/reserve funds for retrieval/incidents.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $220K
Contingency Fund Reserve $125K
[#18] Emergency response & remediation fund (one-time appropriation).
Buyback Contingency Reserve $55K
[#23] Buy-back/retrieval contingency for reacquiring the coin if it appears publicly.
Equipment $13K
[#2, #3, #4, #15, #20] Tamper-evident capsule, CCTV/cameras & sensors installation, alarm/access control, secure transfer case, and initial IT hardening hardware/software.
Legal Retainer Initial $12K
[#16a] Initial legal retainer and documentation for custody/cover arrangements.
Facilities $8K
[#1, #5] Safe installation and modest climate-control/closet-level controller/insulation.
Personnel Vetting Initial $3K
[#8] Enhanced background checks and initial screenings for ~5 personnel.
Training Initial $2K
[#10] Initial chain-of-custody and handling training session and materials.
Appraisal And Conservation Assessment $1K
[#11] Professional numismatic/conservation assessment and photography.
Documentation Digitization $1K
[#24] High-quality scans, photos, metadata entry, and secure formatting.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $176K/yr
Staff Wages $150K/yr
[#7, #21] Security staffing allocation (~2 guards) and partial archival/research support FTE.
Research And Monitoring $10K/yr
[#9, #22, #25] Psych/behavioral monitoring retainer, PR/market monitoring and small buy-back reserve, and averaged conservation inspection costs.
Cover Story And Legal $4K/yr
[#16b] Ongoing legal/cover maintenance and retainer fees.
Administrative Overhead $4K/yr
[#6, #17] Two-person rule administrative overhead, audit hours, committee reviews, and recordkeeping.
Insurance Allocation $3K/yr
[#19] Internal insurance/legal reserve allocation for loss/liability.
It Security Maintenance $2K/yr
[#20] Ongoing IT/security patching, endpoint protection, and audits.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#15] Annual reserve for secure courier/transport per-move costs (budgeted as an annual allocation).
Personnel Vetting Renewals $1K/yr
[#8] Periodic renewals of background checks and financial/behavioral screening.
Secure Offsite Backup $650/yr
[#3, #12] Encrypted off-site backup and cloud archival for CCTV, logs, and incident reports.
Supplies And Consumables $500/yr
[#14] Gloves, archival sleeves, evidence tags, replacement tamper seals.
Facilities Maintenance $300/yr
[#13] Incremental HVAC/energy share for conservation and monitoring equipment.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $176K/yr
97.5% probability / year
Normal year with no unauthorized use or major incidents; routine monitoring, staffing, and upkeep.
no incidents routine audits scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $201K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Localized unauthorized handling attempt or small discovery event requiring investigation, limited legal/PR response, and short-term mitigation.
unauthorized access attempt small-scale leak or forum mention minor misuse without widespread exposure
🚨 Major Retrieval $296K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
Coin surfaces publicly or is in private hands, requiring covert retrieval/buy-back, extended legal action, and expanded containment response.
public listing/auction credible civilian report theft followed by public exposure
👥 Personnel 2.25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Two full-time equivalent security staff allocated (shared coverage), budgeted into staff_wages.
Archival/Research Support (FTE) 0.25 [#21] Partial FTE (0.1–0.3 FTE) for archival documentation and FOIA/records management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges are well-documented for mundane items (security, IT, legal) but contingency sizing and scenario probabilities are inherently subjective given the anomalous nature; thus medium confidence.
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