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SCP-4189 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4189
Expected annual
$38.1M
One-time setup
$702.2M
Annual recurring
$36.1M
Personnel
50
Initial capital requirements are dominated by catastrophic-response reserves and large marine/ship assets (~$700M in one-time capital), while annual operations are driven by research staff, monitoring systems, vessels and legal/PR overhead (~$36M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $702.2M
Catastrophic Response Reserve $550.0M
[#25] Reserve for worst-case military-scale escalation (naval strike, large exclusion operations).
Facilities $60.1M
[#9, #10, #11, #14, #16, #26] Wet-lab retrofit, secure inland containment capital, salvage vessel purchase, support vessel purchase, decontamination facility setup and physical marine barriers (sunk/floating) aggregated.
Equipment $28.4M
[#2, #4, #6, #7, #9, #13, #17, #18, #28] Moored buoys & deployment, ROV/AUV fleets, torpedo stockpile, launch-platform retrofits, containment modules, hyperbaric chambers, secure comms hardening, drone retrofits, initial IT setup.
Insurance And Legal Reserve $27.5M
[#30] Insurance / contingency reserve for environmental catastrophe, vessel loss, settlements.
Environmental Contingency Fund $20.0M
[#21] Initial contingency fund for restoration/fines/negotiated settlements.
Legal And Covert Initial Contingency $15.0M
[#22] Initial covert operations / diplomatic contingency fund.
Personnel Health Fund $1.2M
[#29] One-time health fund / initial capital for long-term post-exposure monitoring and disability support.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $36.1M/yr
Research And Monitoring $9.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #19, #20, #28] Satellite imagery & analysis, sonar/moored-sensor servicing, ROV/AUV ops maintenance, ongoing multidisciplinary research program, crown-of-thorns management, and data processing/storage/modeling.
Cover Story And Legal $8.2M/yr
[#22, #23] Ongoing legal/diplomatic work, covert ops overhead, public-relations / tourism compensation and community management budgets.
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#12] Salaries for research staff, ROV pilots, dive teams, medics, data scientists and security (estimated 30–60 FTE; midpoint used).
Logistics And Transport $5.6M/yr
[#8, #9, #16, #27, #15] Vessel crewing/fuel/maintenance, contracted salvage operations, torpedo strike mission costs (per-mission budget averaged into annual), specimen transport missions and related logistics.
Facilities Maintenance $2.1M/yr
[#10, #11, #15, #26, #14] Wet-lab utilities/maintenance, secure inland containment operating costs, energy/pumping/HVAC, marine barrier upkeep, decon disposal processing.
Environmental Mitigation Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#21] Annual reserve for restoration, fines, negotiated settlements and environmental mitigation.
Intelligence And Enforcement $1.1M/yr
[#24] Monitoring/intercepting civilian vessels/drones, boarding teams and enforcement operations.
Program Management Overhead $650K/yr
[#32] Program director, admin, audits, compliance reporting and liaison overhead.
Diving Ops And Medical Support $400K/yr
[#13] Annual dive operations, hyperbaric medical staffing, maintenance and dive safety protocols.
Training And Drills $300K/yr
[#31] Doctrine development, analog ordnance training, cross-agency exercises and regular drills.
Personnel Healthcare And Monitoring $275K/yr
[#29] Ongoing healthcare, psychiatric support, neurological testing and post-exposure monitoring.
Retrofitted Unit Oversight $150K/yr
[#18] Ongoing oversight, training and inspections for retrofitted/regimented ROVs/REGGIE units.
Audits And Compliance $125K/yr
[#17] Annual audits, compliance checks and communications hardening inspections.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $36.1M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, maintenance, research and administration only.
routine monitoring and maintenance scheduled research and logistics
🚨 Minor Incident $41.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized breach or operational incident requiring targeted strike, salvage, legal/PR response and restoration.
single torpedo strike and salvage localized reef damage and recontainment
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $186.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Major spread or mobilization of SCP-4189 requiring large-scale military/containment response and major restoration/legal payouts.
rapid spatial expansion / mobility international incident requiring military-scale response
👥 Personnel 50 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 20 [#12, #19] Marine biologists, xenobiologists, geneticists, neurobiology researchers focused on SCP control and countermeasures.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#12, #24] Armed site and vessel security, boarding teams and enforcement against civilian interference.
ROV Pilot / Technician 6 [#4, #12, #5] Operators and maintenance technicians for work-class ROVs/AUVs and inspection vehicles.
Diver / Dive Team 4 [#13, #12] Operational divers for salvage, sampling and close-in containment work; supported by hyperbaric staff.
Medical Officer 2 [#13, #29] Hyperbaric medics and clinicians for post-exposure care and ongoing neurological monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 5 [#16, #17, #18] Vessel/vehicle engineers, communications hardening and systems maintenance personnel.
Administrative Staff 3 [#32, #22] Program administration, liaison, compliance and contract management.
Data Scientist / Bioinformatics 2 [#1, #28, #19] Satellite/sonar data analysts, modeling and sequencing data processing staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most costs, allowing midpoint estimates; large uncertainty remains for frequency and scale of incidents (catastrophic scenarios) and choices between contracting vs. capital purchase, so overall confidence is medium.
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