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SCP-4200 Safe/Neutralised ~ medium confidence
SCP-4200
Expected annual
$999K
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$920K
Personnel
4
One-time setup and remediation drive costs (fence, surveys, containment vaults, legal/archival work) totaling several million; recurring annual costs are dominated by on-site staff, environmental monitoring, and legal/cover-story upkeep (~$0.9M/yr baseline).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#5, #13] Initial detailed radiological/environmental survey and baseline sampling (#5) plus secure containment vault/instrumentation and lab buildout for artifact handling and analysis (#13).
Remediation And Waste Disposition $500K
[#6] One-time remediation/disposal budget for limited/local contamination scenarios (packaging, licensed transport, disposal). Larger contamination would exceed this line item.
Decommissioning And Site Closure $500K
[#24] Contingent estimate for full future decommissioning/site restoration (highly variable; placeholder for planning).
Government Cooperation Payments $250K
[#17] One-time payments/liaison startup costs to secure government/federal cooperation for classified assistance and storage.
Amnestic Treatment $200K
[#15] One-time budget for amnestic treatment episodes for relatives/witnesses (per-person costs aggregated for a small cohort).
Records Expungement $200K
[#16] One-time costs to expunge/modify archival records, travel, archivist/lawyer fees, and payments to institutions for removal/redaction.
Insurance And Contingency Initial $200K
[#22] Initial insurance/contingency reserve for unexpected discoveries, accidents, theft, or expanded remediation needs.
Land Acquisition And Legal $150K
[#1] Land acquisition / long-term lease / federal easement costs and legal fees to register restricted access and establish special-use status (includes typical ~$50k legal fee component).
Specialist Consultancy Initial $100K
[#21] Initial retainer for radiochemists, nuclear engineers, archivists, and legal-defense reserve setup.
Facilities $80K
[#2, #3, #4] Perimeter fence construction, access gates/vehicle barriers, and initial high-visibility signage and site hardening (concrete footings, anti-climb measures, entrance pads).
Data Security Initial $75K
[#20] Secure backups, encrypted systems, redaction-tracking installation, and initial hosting/hardware costs.
Vehicles And Transport $70K
[#12] Purchase of 1–2 off-road capable vehicles (4x4) for maintenance, patrols, and sample transport.
Equipment $60K
[#8] Remote surveillance hardware (HD cameras, motion/thermal/tamper sensors, hardened enclosures) initial procurement and installation.
Emergency Response Readiness $40K
[#19] Initial HAZMAT kits, decontamination equipment, medical evacuation arrangements, and training set-up.
Power Infrastructure $40K
[#11] Solar array, battery bank, and backup generator procurement and installation for remote power needs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $920K/yr
Staff Wages $350K/yr
[#10, #14] Operational team salaries (site manager, environmental scientist, case officer, admin staff) plus periodic patrol contractor budget (baseline: low-intensity periodic patrols, not 24/7 guards).
Research And Monitoring $292K/yr
[#7, #13, #23] Long-term environmental monitoring (quarterly/biannual sampling and analyses), containment research staff/supplies for artifact handling, and periodic reinvestigation funds (annualized cost for 5–10 year re-surveys).
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #21] Ongoing legal/PR budget for handling inquiries, FOIA/legal defense, government liaison maintenance, public messaging, and community relations.
Insurance And Contingency Replenish $50K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment of contingency reserve/insurance premiums and miscellaneous unexpected costs.
Facilities Maintenance $28K/yr
[#4, #8, #11, #19] Ongoing signage replacement/maintenance, surveillance comms and hardware upkeep, solar/generator maintenance and occasional fuel, and recurring emergency-training/drills and small equipment refresh.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#12] Vehicle operating costs: fuel, insurance, regular maintenance, and sample transport.
Data Security And Backups $10K/yr
[#20] Annual maintenance, hosting, and audits for encrypted backups and redaction-tracking systems.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $920K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: periodic patrols, routine monitoring, and ongoing legal/PR upkeep.
no_major_incidents periodic_monitoring routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$470K vs baseline
Localized contamination discovery or localized exposure event requiring limited remediation, targeted amnestic treatments, and legal/PR response.
contamination_detected localized_remediation additional_amnestics
🚨 Manned Security Upgrade $1.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Decision to move from periodic patrols to continuous 24/7 armed guard coverage (option A), increasing annual security payroll/contract costs.
increased_threat_perception policy_change local_incidents
🚨 Major Breach $5.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
On-site catastrophe or containment breach during operations (fire, large remediation requirement, major legal exposure and reconstruction).
breach_or_on-site_explosion large_scale_remediation major_legal_exposure
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#14] Oversees site operations, liaison with Foundation/government, and budgetary responsibilities.
Environmental Scientist 1 [#5, #7, #14] Manages radiological and ecological surveys, sampling programs, and long-term monitoring.
Case Officer / Researcher 1 [#13, #14] Coordinates artifact handling, containment research, and interaction with specialist consultants.
Administrative Staff 1 [#14, #16] Records management, archival modifications tracking, scheduling, and liaison for FOIA/legal queries.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates combine well-described line items (fencing, surveys, staffing) with large contingent items (remediation, government payments, decommissioning) that are highly variable; scenario probabilities are expert judgments given 'Safe/Neutralised' status and the historical incident record.
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