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SCP-4202 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4202
Expected annual
$649K
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$632K
Personnel
2.38
One-time setup (containment cell, equipment, research setup, legal/reserve) is roughly $1.12M; the dominant ongoing cost driver is routine staffing and the potential for expensive medical care if individuals become SCP-4202-1.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $525K
[#1] Purpose-built containment room/vault to maintain 8 m separation (new construction or high-end retrofit).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $215K
[#15, #16] Initial research budget and specialized instrumentation procurement/contracted analyses (EEG, mass spec, XRD/SEM, imaging access).
Incident Contingency Reserve One Time $200K
[#19] Recommended dedicated incident contingency reserve (one-time seed).
Equipment $105K
[#2, #3, #7, #9, #11, #17] Containment pedestal/display case, CCTV hardware, transport case and vehicle purchase, emergency response kit, one-time patient medical equipment (central line + pumps per patient), gesture-detection/dev hardware.
Legal Setup $30K
[#18] One-time legal/policy drafting, consent documents, and compliance setup.
Life Support Planning And Legal $20K
[#14] One-time ethics/legal planning for long-term life-support vs end-of-life policy.
Training Setup $10K
[#6] Initial SOP/training program development and initial sessions/materials.
Recordkeeping Setup $10K
[#20] Encrypted logs, secure database setup and classification controls (initial).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $632K/yr
Staff Wages $255K/yr
[#5, #10] Two Level-2 containment specialists (coverage) plus a modest pro-rata allocation for on-call medical staffing.
Research And Monitoring $172K/yr
[#15, #16] Ongoing experiments/personnel and contracted instrumentation/services for characterization and monitoring.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#18] Legal retainer, compliance, and cover-story/incident response budgeting.
Insurance Liability $60K/yr
[#19] Institutional insurance/liability premium estimate (annual).
Opportunity Cost $40K/yr
[#22] Notional lost revenue / value of reserved exclusion zone space.
Psychological Services $10K/yr
[#23] Counseling and HR support for staff affected by incidents (baseline allocation).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#9, #13] Replenishment of emergency medical kits, baseline infection-control consumables (non-patient-specific).
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#1, #4] HVAC/power/UPS maintenance and general upkeep of containment room and cleanable surfaces.
Gesture Detection Maintenance $6K/yr
[#17] Ongoing maintenance/training for optional gesture-detection/AI alert systems (if deployed).
Routine Audits And Drills $5K/yr
[#21] Annual audits, drills, and compliance inspections to enforce no-clapping rules.
Training And Sop Refresh $4K/yr
[#6] Recurring refresher courses, signage, and periodic re-certification/audits.
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#7, #8] Vehicle fuel/ops and annualized route-clearance/security sweep costs (assumes rare moves; annualized).
Recordkeeping And Data Storage $3K/yr
[#20] Secure hosting, backups, and access auditing (annual).
Cctv And Monitoring Maintenance $2K/yr
[#3] CCTV/licensing/maintenance and UPS monitoring recurring costs.
Biohazard Disposal Per Incident $0/yr
[#24] Per-incident autopsy and disposal costs are handled as scenario-specific incident costs; baseline annualized = 0.
Tpn Per Patient $0/yr
[#12] Ongoing TPN cost is per-patient and highly variable; excluded from baseline and modeled in scenarios.
Infection Control Per Patient $0/yr
[#13] Line maintenance and infection-related consumables are per-patient; modeled in scenarios.
Additional Patient Cost Per Patient $0/yr
[#25] Per-additional-patient recurring costs (nursing, supplies, overhead) are scenario-driven and not included in baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $632K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with no activations; containment and research continue as planned.
no accidental claps routine operations periodic maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $844K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$212K vs baseline
Single accidental activation resulting in one SCP-4202-1 patient requiring long-term IV nutrition and increased medical oversight.
accidental double-clap within 6 m human error or procedural lapse
🚨 Major Incident $1.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$644K vs baseline
Multiple accidental activations and associated legal/insurance responses; multiple long-term SCP-4202-1 patients.
multiple activations simultaneous patient care needs legal/insurance/contingency draws
👥 Personnel 2.38 total
Role Count Notes
Level-2 Containment Specialist 2 [#5] Two FTEs recommended for primary handling/transport and coverage.
Nurse (fractional FTE) 0.3 [#10] Pro-rata nursing allocation for on-call/oversight per potential patient (included in staff_wages estimate).
Physician (fractional FTE) 0.08 [#10] Pro-rata physician allocation for on-call/oversight per potential patient (included in staff_wages estimate).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derive from analyst-provided ranges and standard institutional costs; medical recurring costs are highly variable depending on number/duration of SCP-4202-1 cases, so uncertainty is moderate.
← SCP-4201 ↑ All SCPs SCP-4203 →