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SCP-4210 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4210
Expected annual
$13.1M
One-time setup
$11.8M
Annual recurring
$12.9M
Personnel
149
Initial acquisition and conversion of five anomalous houses requires roughly $11.8M one-time; ongoing operations run about $12.93M per year. Primary cost drivers are property purchases/land buffering up-front and 24/7 security staffing, contingency/reserve funds, and program overhead recurring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.8M
Facilities $8.9M
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #26] Property purchases for five houses and surrounding parcels (#1, #2), perimeter fence/cover works (#4), window/privacy modifications (#5), and contingency decommissioning/tear-down reserve for houses (#26).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#3, #17] Conversion of a building into guard barracks + research lab including basic lab equipment and structural work per site (#3), plus initial translation/forensic/historical research project startup costs (#17).
Equipment $975K
[#8, #11, #15, #16] One-time surveillance/install hardware (#8), purchase/convert vans for covert transport (#11), furnishings/props initial purchases (#15), and secure storage/containment box/vault equipment (#16).
Legal And Company Setup $100K
[#13] One-time setup of shell companies, initial legal work and permit filings to acquire properties covertly.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.9M/yr
Staff Wages $8.2M/yr
[#6, #9, #20] On-site security salaries and benefits for guards/supervisors (#6), research staff salaries (L3/research assistants/analysts/admin) (#9), and psychologist/time allocated to psychological evaluation center (#20).
Contingency Reserve $1.5M/yr
[#18] Annual contingency/operational reserve for forcible removals, mass amnestic deployments, remediation and after-action costs (#18).
Security Support $1.2M/yr
[#7] Armed rapid-response teams, tactical vehicles, training, equipment, and on-call pay per site aggregated across program (#7).
Program Overhead $880K/yr
[#27] Central program management, accounting, HR and procurement overhead charged against the program recurring budget (#27).
Supplies And Consumables $310K/yr
[#10, #15, #24, #28] Medical/Class A amnestics supply and clinical consumables (#10), small annual furnishings replacements (#15), forensics/biohazard cleanup contracts and supplies (#24), and miscellaneous PPE/tools/office supplies (#28).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#13, #14] Ongoing legal/PR fees, permits and shell-company management (#13) and cover-story/neighbor payments/hush budgets and hospitality for managing local perception (#14).
Facilities Maintenance $175K/yr
[#12, #23] Annual property taxes, utilities and routine maintenance (#12) and HVAC/pest control/structural upkeep (#23).
Research And Monitoring $140K/yr
[#8, #17, #25] Ongoing surveillance storage/maintenance (#8), continuing translation/forensic/historical research budget (#17), and long-term archival/software/analyst time for behavioral study (#25).
It And Comms $125K/yr
[#22] Secure communications (red/black), encryption infrastructure, intrusion detection, and periodic security audits (#22).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#11] Recurring fuel, maintenance, insurance and driver pay for covert transport vans (#11).
Specialized Training $50K/yr
[#19] Ongoing role-play and cover-identity training, speech/coaching, occupational certifications and uniform/PPE replacement (#19).
Records Management $50K/yr
[#21] Secure logs, evidence management, digital backups, chain-of-custody and retention/subscription services (#21).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.9M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major breaches or exposures; routine staffing, maintenance, research and contingency funding in place.
no major breach routine operations scheduled training/exercises
🚨 Minor Incident $13.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized breach or recruitment event requiring targeted removals, additional amnestics, remediation and short-term overtime/deployment.
localized breach neighbor recruitment small remediation
🚨 Major Deployment $14.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Mass removal/forcible intervention at one or more sites requiring full MTF deployment, extended remediation, legal response and property rehabilitation.
mass removal extended remediation MTF deployment
🚨 Political Exposure $17.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Public leak or legal action causing media attention, lawsuits, expensive PR/legal containment and potential payouts or asset losses.
media leak civil litigation local government scrutiny
👥 Personnel 149 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 110 [#6] 22 security personnel per site (4 per shift × 4 shifts + supervisors/reserves) across 5 sites.
Research Scientist 5 [#9] One on-site Level 3 researcher per site.
Research Assistant 10 [#9] Two research assistants per site for observation and experiments.
Data Analyst 5 [#9, #25] Per-site analysts or centralized analysts for behavioral coding and ML-supported analysis.
Administrative Staff 6 [#9, #27] Site-level administrative support (5) plus one central program admin/procurement coordinator.
Medical Officer / Psychologist 2 [#20] Psychologists/medical staff covering psych evals and amnestic administration.
Driver / Transport Operator 5 [#11] One covert transport driver per site for detainee transfers and logistics.
Engineer / Maintenance 5 [#12, #23] One maintenance/engineer contact per site for HVAC, structural work and environmental sensors.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#27] Central program manager / executive oversight for the five-site program.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates, reducing uncertainty for budgeting; remaining uncertainties stem from geographic variance in property prices, frequency/severity of breaches and the anomalous behavior's unpredictability which can materially alter contingency spending.
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