SCP-4221 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4221
Expected annual
$1.0M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$981K
Personnel
9
Initial containment capital is dominated by property acquisition and structural modifications, with an estimated upfront cost of about $3.1M; ongoing annual costs are driven primarily by staff wages, monitoring, and incident-readiness totaling roughly $981k/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Facilities $2.7M
[#1, #2, #3, #25] Includes purchase of adjacent houses (assumed 3 houses at ~$800k each), associated covert transaction/legal cover costs, interior/structural containment renovations, and a one-time neighborhood buyout reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#17] Initial research program setup, lab buildout, and specialist startup costs for investigation of SCP-4221 and SCP-4221-2.
Equipment $145K
[#6, #15, #16, #18, #24] Capital purchase of continuous surveillance hardware (cameras/NVR/UPS/sensors), vehicle purchase/outfitting, scientific/environmental instrumentation, initial secure servers/data hardware, and stored drones.
Cover Story Initial $30K
[#20] Initial PR/legal retainer and costs to establish/seed cover story and municipal liaison.
Vetting Setup $20K
[#21] One-time setup for personnel vetting infrastructure, false identity creation, and shell payroll setup.
Amnestic Initial Stock $10K
[#12] Initial amnestic pharmaceuticals, administration equipment, licensing/setup for amnestic capability.
Training Initial $10K
[#23] Initial training courses, PPE procurement, and setup of drills for on-site staff and cleaning crew.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $981K/yr
Staff Wages $485K/yr
[#8, #9, #14] Salaries for continuous monitoring personnel (3 FTE surveillance technicians), on-site caretakers/cover staff (2), and plainclothes/local security officers (4).
Incident Response And Mtf $150K/yr
[#13] Amortized readiness, local equipment/resupply, and periodic deployment costs attributable to MTF Beta-21 readiness and occasional responses.
Research And Monitoring $147K/yr
[#7, #16, #17, #18, #24] Ongoing video storage/IT support, calibration and consumables for instrumentation, recurring research program costs, data-security operations/audits, and drone maintenance/insurance.
Cover Story And Legal $85K/yr
[#20, #21, #22] Ongoing public cover-story management, legal liaison/amnestic coordination, vetting/payroll overhead, and insurance/contingency fund allocations.
Facilities Maintenance $49K/yr
[#4, #5] Annual property taxes and utilities (electricity, water, gas, internet) for controlled houses.
Supplies And Consumables $37K/yr
[#11, #12, #23, #19] Medical supplies and bandages, recurring amnestic consumables, training PPE replacement, and routine hazardous-material disposal.
Logistics And Transport $28K/yr
[#15, #10, #25] Vehicle running costs (fuel/insurance/maintenance), weekly cleaning crew visits (labor/transport/disposal), and routine neighborhood upkeep/landscaping.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $981K/yr
79.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and no major incidents.
no breaches standard weekly maintenance scheduled research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small-scale incident requiring short MTF response, limited medical/amnestic use, and cleanup.
small breach or aggressive episode limited MTF deployment additional amnesticization/cleanup
🚨 Major Deployment $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Significant escalation requiring multiple-day MTF operations, temporary property repairs, and larger legal/cover actions.
sustained aggressive behavior evidence of contamination or structural damage multiple civilian exposures
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or public exposure requiring large-scale remediation, litigation reserve draws, and potential relocation.
full breach public exposure/media/legal action extensive hazardous remediation
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Surveillance Technician 3 [#8] 24/7 video monitoring coverage (3 FTEs) to verify automated alerts and report changes.
Caretaker / Cover Staff 2 [#9] Resident staff maintaining cover story, daily checks, and trivial maintenance.
Plainclothes Security Officer 4 [#14] Local covert security presence to deter interference while keeping weapons out of view.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on explicit analyst ranges for each line item but require assumptions (number of houses purchased, staffing levels, and incident frequency). Anomalous behavior and escalation risk introduce uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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