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SCP-4281 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4281
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$395K
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
8
Estimated one-time startup of $395,000 to secure host cooperation, install surveillance/equipment, and perform initial training/legal set-up; recurring annual costs approx. $1,153,500 driven primarily by 24/7 covert security staffing, research/memetic oversight, amnestic administration, and data handling/legal/rapid-response retainers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $395K
Host Buy In And Nda $150K
[#1] Legal settlement/goodwill payment to Holy Roller casino to secure exclusive access, NDA and cooperation (one-time buy-in).
Equipment $85K
[#4, #5] Low-profile under-gap cameras, directional microphones, lighting/IR and air-gapped server/hardware for secure capture and storage (one-time hardware setup).
Cover Identity And Training $80K
[#8] One-time development of casino-staff cover identities and initial training package for on-site personnel.
Legal Cover Contingency Fund $50K
[#15] One-time cover contingency fund for rapid settlements or unexpected legal costs tied to the locked bathroom.
Facilities $15K
[#3] Reinforcement of stall door/frame, tamper sensors, controlled electronic release, signage and secure restroom entrance.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#18] One-time archival classification/setup for long-term preservation of recordings and research notes.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $645K/yr
[#7, #11, #12] 24/7 on-site covert security (6 agents × fully-loaded ~$60k + cover stipends), research labor (~$150k/year), and information-security/memetic specialist (~$120k/year) aggregated as personnel wages.
Investigative Budget $100K/yr
[#19] Baseline budget for investigating claims of classified/GOI knowledge and validation work; scalable for deep investigations.
Rapid Response Retainer $75K/yr
[#13] On-call response team retainer and readiness maintenance for forced-entry or security incidents (travel/overtime readiness).
Host Reimbursements $60K/yr
[#2] Ongoing compensation to the casino for cooperation, liaison, and trivial operational disruption (monthly/annual reimbursements).
Amnestic Administration $60K/yr
[#9] Class-A amnestic supplies and administration (drug costs, medical staff, aftercare) for unauthorized trespassers.
Secure Data Storage And Redaction $46K/yr
[#5, #6] Ongoing maintenance for air-gapped storage, encrypted backups, integrity checks, and labor for redaction/transcription of recordings.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal/PR retainer for cover story support, liability management and quick-response counsel.
Research And Monitoring $25K/yr
[#11] Supplies and test incidentals for approved tests and occasional controlled interactions (separate from researcher wages).
Medical And Psych Support $25K/yr
[#10] Baseline and periodic medical checks, psychological monitoring, incident care contingency and health overhead for on-site personnel.
Insurance Premiums $20K/yr
[#16] Property, employee liability, and indemnity premium coverage to protect the casino and Foundation liability exposure.
Archive Fund $20K/yr
[#18] Ongoing long-term preservation fund for recordings, transcripts and periodic re-evaluation of containment protocols.
Logistics And Transport $18K/yr
[#17] Vehicles, fuel, secure courier services, and travel incidentals for transporting staff/media to/from Las Vegas.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#20] Consumables, uniforms for cover staff, small hardware replacements, signage reprints, custodial scheduling and petty operational expenses.
Cover Identity Training Maintenance $10K/yr
[#8] Ongoing refresher training and periodic reworking of cover identities and maintenance of staff cover plausibility.
Repair And Refurbishment Reserve $10K/yr
[#14] Annual reserve for repairs/refurbishment following vandalism or forced entry to stall and equipment replacement/cleaning.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents; all recurring budgets expended as planned.
steady operations no forcible entries no major investigative escalations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Single-site minor security incident (vandalism or attempted forced entry) causing repairs, additional amnestics and overtime.
attempted forced entry small-scale vandalism extra amnestic administrations
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant forced entry or exposure event requiring emergency response, legal settlements, and possible relocation/expanded containment actions.
successful large-scale breach public exposure / litigation emergency relocation or intensive remediation
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
SCP-4281-1 divulges significant classified/thaumaturgic information prompting extended interdepartmental investigation and expanded containment/research funding.
disclosure of GOI/thaumaturgic knowledge requirement for deep-dive investigations scaling containment/research effort
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] Six covert on-site personnel to staff 24/7 shifts (poses as casino staff); figure matches analyst staffing estimate for continuous coverage.
Research Scientist 1 [#11] One (or fractional FTE-equivalent) research lead for approved testing, analysis and coordination with specialists.
Information Security / Memetic Specialist 1 [#12] One FTE memetic/information-security specialist for review, redaction and memetic oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many costs are grounded in explicit line-item estimates (staffing, legal, amnestic, equipment) but several items have wide ranges (host buy-in, investigative escalations, breach costs). Public-hosted containment introduces variability tied to casino cooperation and legal exposure.
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