SCP-4300 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4300
Expected annual
$208K
One-time setup
$242K
Annual recurring
$201K
Personnel
3
Estimated one-time setup is approximately $241,750 driven by site buildout, vehicles, and initial conservation/lab setup. Recurring annual costs are approximately $200,900, dominated by local security and archaeological cover staffing, community relations payments, and logistics/rapid-response readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $242K
Emergency Contingency Fund $50K
[#17] Reserve fund for extraordinary events (heavy-lift machinery, contractors, urgent conservation) maintained as an available one-time capital reserve.
Rapid Response Vehicle $45K
[#8] Purchase/fit of a regional rapid-response vehicle for containment team (regional vehicle purchase and equipment).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $39K
[#13, #14, #16] Initial PPE and field-sampling kits, archival conservation and translation work for journal fragments, and small laboratory equipment / cold storage for retained samples.
Facilities $34K
[#2, #19] One-time construction and dressing of the archaeological-dig cover (shade tents, replica stratigraphy, fencing props, storage shed) and small operations trailer/shelter purchase. Estimate reflects mid-range build quality and discrete installation in rural Yucatán.
Equipment $32K
[#3, #4, #5, #6] Physical perimeter hardware (fence, gates, locks), electronic surveillance and sensors (CCTV/thermal/motion/seismic) including installation, power infrastructure hardware (solar + batteries + small generator), and a modest communications booster terminal. Mid-range equipment purchases chosen to balance redundancy and covertness.
Site Vehicle Purchase $30K
[#20] Pickup/4x4 purchase for site logistics, staff transport and supply runs (chosen purchase over lease to ensure discretion and long-term ops).
Land Access And Easement $12K
[#1] One-time payment to landowner(s) and easement/registration costs to secure exclusive control of the crater area and access roads; discrete settlement to maintain cover.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $201K/yr
Staff Wages $80K/yr
[#7, #9] Local security contractor (minimal daytime guard coverage) and contracted archaeologist cover personnel (lead + one assistant). Includes salaries, benefits, uniforms, and routine training.
Logistics And Transport $36K/yr
[#8, #15, #20] Annualized ops for regional rapid-response (on-call readiness and fuel), routine monitoring visit travel/accommodation/per-diem, and vehicle running costs for site logistics.
Community Relations $25K/yr
[#11] Ongoing discreet payments, goodwill grants, and small community projects to reduce curiosity and rumor; mid-range local-sensitivity posture chosen.
Research And Monitoring $20K/yr
[#4, #14, #16, #21] Ongoing surveillance data/cloud storage fees, archival/digital-storage fees, small lab/equipment electricity and maintenance, and periodic scientific review/low-priority research allocations.
Cover Story And Legal $13K/yr
[#10, #22] Permits, legal counsel for maintaining archaeological cover and liaison with INAH, plus cultural-sensitivity / museum/education mitigation materials and small harmless displays to deflect attention.
Insurance And Administrative Overhead $12K/yr
[#18] Local insurance and institutional administrative overhead and auditing; explicit insurance estimate plus modest administrative overhead budgeted (within 10–20% guidance).
Visitor Detention And Processing $6K/yr
[#12] Annual costs for processing/detaining/questioning trespassers, short transports, temporary holding, and minor legal/cover stipends; spikes if incidents occur.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2, #3, #19] Annual maintenance and repairs for the archaeological-dig cover, perimeter hardware upkeep, and routine servicing for on-site shelter/trailer and basic site utilities.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#13] Consumable PPE replenishment, sampling consumables, and small field-safety supplies.
Power Infrastructure Maintenance $1K/yr
[#5] Fuel and routine maintenance for generator and servicing for the solar/battery system.
Land Access Renewal $1K/yr
[#1] Annual renewals/administration for land access/easement and discreet local fees.
Communications Services $650/yr
[#6] Cellular data or low-tier satellite service for telemetry/alerts (baseline chosen as cellular data option).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $201K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, cover maintenance, and standard staffing posture.
no_incident routine_visits standard_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $226K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Localized trespass, minor vandalism, small legal complaint or protest requiring rapid-response activation and limited PR/legal action.
trespass_attempt small_vandalism local_complaint
🚨 Major Breach $451K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring full emergency mobilization, heavy contracting, overhaul of cover, and extended legal/PR operations.
successful_breach public_exposure violent_incident
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Local Security Contractor (guard) 1 [#7] Minimal daytime guard coverage under the archaeological cover (remote nights). Costed within staff_wages.
Research Scientist / Lead Archaeologist (cover lead) 1 [#9] Lead local archaeologist contractor to run the dig cover and interface with authorities; retained consultant model.
Archaeology Assistant / Cover Staff 1 [#9] One assistant to support the lead archaeologist and present cover activities; local wage scale applied.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed regional analyst notes and realistic local market ranges for Yucatán, but many items are provided as ranges and depend heavily on posture (minimal vs full staffing), contractor margins, and chosen communications/power options, so confidence is medium.
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