SCP-4320 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-4320
Expected annual
$1.8B
One-time setup
$22.5B
Annual recurring
$1.7B
Personnel
184
Initial capital buildout dominated by deep-space mission hardware, orbital/station construction, and major covert acquisitions (~$22.5B one-time). Annual operations dominated by deep-space crewed/robotic program operations, global surveillance of SCP-4320-2, and contingency/cover operations (~$1.74B/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.5B
Crewed Program Setup $6.0B
[#11] One-time setup for sustained crewed deep-space capability: habitats, heavy-lift, life support systems.
Contingency Reserve $5.2B
[#34] 30% contingency applied to total capital projects (inflation/overrun/reserve).
Orbital Station $3.5B
[#13] Dedicated forward/staging orbital station construction and outfitting.
Launch Campaign $3.0B
[#24] Heavy-lift launch procurement for initial probe/habitat/resupply campaign (10–30 launches campaign estimate).
Robotic Probe Program $1.9B
[#10] R&D, build and launch costs for an initial robotic probe campaign (approx. 3 missions assumed over decade).
Asset Acquisitions $1.1B
[#23] One-time strategic acquisitions / covert financing of private space companies and contractors.
Crisis Containment Fund $300.0M
[#22] One-time emergency/reserve fund for large incidents; initial capitalized amount.
Autonomous Robotics Program $275.0M
[#15] R&D and initial deployment of long-lived maintenance/repair robotics and rovers.
Power Generation $275.0M
[#18] Long-duration RTG/solar/reactor procurement and launch integration for stations/probes.
Planetary Defense Reserve $255.0M
[#31] One-time reserve for modeling, contingency planning and initial defense posture preparations.
Relay Network $175.0M
[#12] High-gain antennas / relay satellite mesh procurement.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $123.5M
[#2, #16] Whole-genome sequencing campaign and bioinformatics pipelines for ~20,000 samples + initial anomalous temporal/spatial research lab buildout and test rigs.
Diplomatic Buyouts $105.0M
[#8] One-time buyouts/agreements with agencies and private launch providers to restrict/shape off-world travel.
Drones Research $105.0M
[#30] Long-duration R&D and spare-part fabrication program to interface with maintenance drones on SCP-4320-1.
Coverup Contingency $100.0M
[#7] Procedure 4320-Apollo contingency reserve (one-time set-aside component of influence fund).
Containment Facilities $55.0M
[#17] Secure sample containment facilities with temporal/BSL-4 equivalents.
Training Facilities $27.5M
[#26] Specialized simulator and training facility setup for anomalous/spatial-temporal mission rehearsals.
Ppe And Recovery $10.5M
[#14] Development and procurement of specialized environmental suits, decontamination modules and recovery rigs.
Safehouse Refurbishment $10.0M
[#6] Refurbishment/initial setup of secure safehouses for relocation and recruit placement.
Secure It Infrastructure $6.0M
[#1] Air-gapped high-security servers, encrypted analyst workstations, backups and classification tooling (setup).
Archival Storage $5.5M
[#27] High-security archival and tamper-evident evidence storage buildout.
Goi Negotiation $5.2M
[#29] One-time costs for high-profile clandestine negotiations or swaps with Groups of Interest.
Recruitment Onboarding $5.0M
[#20] One-time recruiting/onboarding/signing bonus pool for targeted SCP-4320-2 hires (initial phase).
Mtf Vehicles Equipment $3.0M
[#5] Armored vans, helicopters, small surveillance aircraft, covert vehicles and related procurement.
Telemetry Censorship Tooling $3.0M
[#9] One-time tooling and infrastructure to intercept/modify telemetry/astronomical data.
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7B/yr
Crewed Program Ops $750.0M/yr
[#11] Annual operations cost for sustained crewed deep-space program (life support, resupply, mission ops).
Contingency Multiplier $401.3M/yr
[#34] 30% annual contingency/inflation/reserve applied to recurring program budget (midpoint of 20–40%).
Orbital Operations $200.0M/yr
[#13] Annual station operations, resupply cadence and personnel for forward staging station.
Surveillance And Monitoring $88.3M/yr
[#3] Global covert monitoring program for known SCP-4320-2 (~8,827 known) at ~$10k/person/yr average (tiered program).
Cover Story And Legal $55.0M/yr
[#7, #28] Annual legal retainers, influence/PR campaigns, front-org budgets and covert payments; combined Apollo program + cover programs.
Launch Ops $50.0M/yr
[#24] Ongoing launcher readiness, propellant procurement and cadence costs (per-year average).
Crisis Replenishment $30.0M/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment target for the crisis response/incident containment fund.
Robotics Support $27.5M/yr
[#15] Ongoing support, repairs and replacement for autonomous maintenance/robotic platforms.
Staff Wages $26.5M/yr
[#4, #19] Salaries for standing MTF (partial) and core research staff/analysts (MTF salaries and research specialists).
Safehouses And Relocation $17.5M/yr
[#6] Annual costs for relocation stipends, witness-protection style maintenance and long-term housing throughput.
Relay Operations $17.5M/yr
[#12] Ops and maintenance for high-gain antenna/relay mesh.
Power Operations $12.5M/yr
[#18] Operations and fueling/maintenance for long-term power systems (RTG/arrays/reactor upkeep).
Goi Coordination $10.5M/yr
[#29] Annual costs for clandestine negotiations/monitoring with Groups of Interest.
Recruitment Program Cost $10.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing recruitment/signing bonuses and integration costs for targeted SCP-4320-2 hires.
Telemetry Monitoring $6.0M/yr
[#9] Ongoing team and infrastructure costs to monitor/intercept/modify agency telemetry and academic data.
Diplomatic Relations $5.5M/yr
[#8] Ongoing relationship/maintenance costs with international agencies and launch providers.
Drones Program Support $5.0M/yr
[#30] Ongoing R&D and parts fabrication to maintain/interact with SCP-4320-1 maintenance drones.
Planetary Defense Ops $5.0M/yr
[#31] Ongoing modeling, simulations and coordination costs for planetary defense contingency planning.
Audit And Oversight $5.0M/yr
[#33] Annual auditing, oversight and long-term archival staffing to prevent leaks/mismanagement.
Containment Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#17] Maintenance and staff costs for secure sample containment/quarantine facilities.
Personnel Medical $3.0M/yr
[#25] Dedicated medical, psychological care, debriefing and rehabilitation teams' annual cost.
Training Ops $3.0M/yr
[#26] Annual operations for simulators and training regimen for MTF/astronauts in anomalous conditions.
D Class Support $1.8M/yr
[#21] Annual housing, security and turnover costs for long-term D-Class personnel (5 long-term currently).
Secure It Operations $1.2M/yr
[#1] Ongoing secure IT operations, monitoring, backups and analyst workstation maintenance.
Ppe Replacement $1.2M/yr
[#14] Replacement and consumables for specialized PPE and decon modules.
Gag Indemnities $1.2M/yr
[#32] Annual indemnity payments, legal fees and monitoring for secrecy agreements and contractors.
Mtf Vehicle Maintenance $750K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance and spare parts for MTF vehicles and aircraft.
Archival Maintenance $600K/yr
[#27] Annual storage maintenance and evidence handling costs.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7B/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with planned missions/maintenance and no major incidents.
no major breaches routine mission cadence steady recruitment and surveillance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8B/yr
12.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Localized exposure/leak requiring emergency redeployment, PR/legal response and rapid containment.
small public exposure limited breach at a site
🚨 Major Breach $2.2B/yr
6.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or large-scale exposure requiring wide crisis response, replenishment of contingency and emergency missions.
major public incident loss of personnel or assets multi-site breach
🚨 Exploration Acceleration $2.4B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$650.0M vs baseline
Decision or requirement to accelerate exploration (e.g., add an unexpected robotic mission or a crewed sortie) in-year.
new discovery requiring immediate follow-up strategic push for in-situ investigation
👥 Personnel 184 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 75 [#4] Standing Mobile Task Force (Pi-32) personnel for recruitment/apprehension and covert operations.
Research Scientist 50 [#19, #16] Astrophysicists, temporal physicists, xenoarchaeologists and computational modelers funded in recurring research salaries.
Site Staff 19 [Supplementary article figures] Foundation-employed site staff drawn from SCP-4320-2 cohort (site operations/support).
Class-D Personnel 5 [#21] Long-term D-Class maintained by the Foundation; mission D-Class are additional as-needed.
Engineer / Maintenance 20 [#12, #15, #18, #30] Engineers and technicians to build/operate probes, stations, power and robotics programs.
Medical Officer 5 [#25] Specialized medical and psychological staff for anomalous exposure, rehabilitation and mission care.
Administrative Staff 10 [#33, #7, #32] Project administration, legal liaisons, audit and cover operations support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoint assumptions from wide analyst ranges and a high number of uncertain, anomalous, and geopolitical cost drivers (deep-space missions, covert influence, and temporal-anomalous research). Many items (mission counts, acquisitions, contingency sizing) are policy-dependent and subject to large overruns; hence low confidence.
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