SCP-4324 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4324
Expected annual
$5.1M
One-time setup
$4.4M
Annual recurring
$5.0M
Personnel
23
Initial capital/setup is approximately $4,357,500 driven primarily by an initial Class-A amnestic stockpile and retrofit/install costs; baseline annual operations are approximately $4,995,000/yr driven by MTF and on-site security salaries, legal/cover-story & contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.4M
Amnestic Stockpile $2.8M
[#11] Initial Class-A amnestic stockpile for ~1,000 doses (manufacture/acquisition, secure packaging, QA/testing).
Equipment $882K
[#2, #6, #18, #21, #22, #23] Vehicle/rapid-response van purchases and fittings (#2), museum-grade packing/crates and art-handling equipment (#6), covert sensor installation hardware (#18), containment/rapid-quarantine kit (#21), IT/cataloguing hardware initial setup (#22), and initial PPE/training equipment (#23).
Facilities $450K
[#4, #9, #28] One-time retrofitting/commissioning of Site-66 locker block and environmental controls (#4), field office/safehouse setup (#9), and decommissioning/archival/destruction contingency if neutralization chosen (#28).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $275K
[#15] Cognitive-hazard-safe research lab and monitoring equipment (double-glass viewing, EEG, psychometric toolkits, isolation cameras) setup and commissioning.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.0M/yr
Staff Wages $2.7M/yr
[#1, #5, #9, #17, #19] MTF Xi-12 operational salaries and allowances (#1), on-site Site-66 security staffing (#5), local field office staff portion (#9), translation/archival/historical researchers (#17), and cultural/religious liaison staff/consultants (#19).
Research And Monitoring $610K/yr
[#15, #16, #18, #27, #7] Annual operation of cognitive-safe research lab (#15), imaging/forensics/provenance analyses (#16), sensor network monitoring & maintenance (#18), multi-year long-term research program (annualized) (#27), and conservator/art-handling specialist contractor retainers (#7).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#8, #10, #24] Replica production and restoration cover-story budget (#8), annual retained legal/PR services and permits (#10), and annual art-handling/storage insurance & liability reserve (#24).
Contingency Reserve $400K/yr
[#26] Reserve for unexpected socio-political costs (protests, litigation, press leaks, relocation, accelerated mitigation).
Protocol Dulia Reserve $200K/yr
[#13] Annual reserve allocation for potential enactment of Protocol Dulia (mass-exposure / large-scale intervention).
Medical Followup $200K/yr
[#14] Ongoing medical and psychological follow-up, counseling, and monitoring for affected civilians and clergy.
Logistics And Transport $145K/yr
[#2, #3, #21] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and routine transport costs (#2), secure transport/airlift contingency reserve for urgent extractions (#3), and per-incident deployment logistics/crowd-control deployments (#21).
Facilities Maintenance $120K/yr
[#4, #25, #9] Annual HVAC/power & maintenance for locker block (#4), incremental energy & utilities for storage and labs (#25), and local office rent/utilities portion (#9).
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#12, #20, #23] Amnestic administration consumables and medical administration costs (#12), translation/replacement materials for congregations (#20), and refresher PPE/training consumables (#23).
It And Cybersecurity $50K/yr
[#22] IT, secure database maintenance, encrypted backups, and cybersecurity operations.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, periodic collections, storage maintenance, and limited research and liaison activity.
routine_manifestations scheduled collections no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Several concurrent manifestations requiring extra collections, conservator hours, limited amnestic administrations, and localized PR/legal response.
3–5 unexpected manifestations localized protests or discovery several amnestic administrations
🚨 Protocol Dulia Enactment $6.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Full enactment of Protocol Dulia (city/town-level emergency response): mass removals, mass amnestic administration, large-scale logistics and temporary lockdowns.
widespread exposure >72 hours rapid Torben-Kult formation mass casualty or public order risk
🚨 Political Exposure $6.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Protracted political/legal exposure: litigation, diplomatic negotiation with Church/state, large cover-story operations and possible relocations.
major leak to press litigation by local authorities or church public protests requiring relocation
👥 Personnel 23 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Agent / Xi-12 operator 12 [#1] Dedicated 12-person Mobile Task Force for collection and field operations (fully-burdened staffing included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / Site-66 guards 6 [#5] On-site armed/security coverage for locker block (6 guards per rotation; fully-burdened cost included in staff_wages).
Translation / Historical Researcher 2 [#17] German/Latin/regional dialect specialists and historians to support provenance and translation work (included in staff_wages).
Local Liaison / Field Officer 2 [#9] Local Foundation presence and liaison officers in Upper Franconia (portion of operating budget allocated to local staff; included in staff_wages).
Cultural / Religious Liaison 1 [#19] Ongoing engagement with Catholic Church leadership and consultant clerics (included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff 0 [] Administrative overhead is folded into existing site and local-office staffing; no additional dedicated hires budgeted here.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are medium confidence: many line-items are given as wide ranges (e.g., amnestic stockpile, replica production, Protocol enactment) and require assumptions about coverage and stockpile size; staffing and vehicle costs are better-defined.
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