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SCP-4425 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4425
Expected annual
$23.0M
One-time setup
$40.3M
Annual recurring
$22.5M
Personnel
23
Large initial integration and equipment costs driven by targeted public-scanning integration and specialized imaging/equipment; annual costs dominated by on-call medical/MTF staffing, targeted scanning operations, research, and legal/PR reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $40.3M
Screening Integration Startup $30.0M
[#7] Option B startup: integrating automated detection into radiology networks, contracts and initial targeted screening program startup (one-time integration and contracting).
Equipment $5.8M
[#2, #3, #8, #12, #14, #15, #16] Vehicle(s), portable CT/mobile-van retrofit, autoclave, Faraday/tools, RFID/labeling hardware, and one-time screening software development costs; includes long-term-storage enclosure hardware (#2).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.2M
[#11, #23] Research lab buildout (mass spec, cryo-EM, SEM, histology) and laboratory animal/ethics facility conversion for testing.
Facilities $925K
[#1, #5] Locker/containment upgrade and operating-room retrofit for neurosurgical extractions (structural/HVAC/Faraday modifications and containment space).
Surgical R And D $600K
[#5] One-time R&D to develop custom neurosurgical techniques and specialized cutting/handling tools beyond standard retrofit costs.
Mtf Training And Kit $525K
[#4] Training, recruitment and protective kit for a 12-person MTF (one-time training & equipment).
Personnel Security Setup $175K
[#17] One-time setup costs for clearance processing infrastructure and vetting onboarding.
Sop Development $30K
[#21] One-time SOP development, documentation and initial protocol writing for quarantine/response.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $6.8M/yr
[#7, #8, #11] Targeted scanning program operations (analytics and mobile screening), screening software licensing/hosting/maintenance, and ongoing forensic/biological research staff & consumables.
Staff Wages $5.2M/yr
[#3, #4, #6] MTF salaries/operations (12-person team), on-call neurosurgeon/anesthesiology/ICU retainer, and armed escort staffing (annual).
Contingency Premium $4.5M/yr
[#25] Opportunity/impracticality premium (set at 25% of calculated recurring baseline to cover escalation, unquantified costs, and mass-incident response).
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#9, #10, #24] Ongoing cover-story operations, legal/covert operations budget, and crisis PR / rapid litigation fund reserves.
Subject Care And Compensation $1.0M/yr
[#18] Medical care, rehabilitation, confidentiality payouts and long-term care reserves for detained subjects.
Intelligence Operations $1.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing intelligence/investigation costs to locate Person of Interest 429; recurring until resolved.
Personnel Security $500K/yr
[#17] Ongoing vetting, counterintelligence and background-check monitoring for involved personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $185K/yr
[#12, #13, #15] Biohazard disposal contracts, annual stock of PPE/consumables/implant-grade supplies and consumables for mitigation tools.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#3] Vehicle operating costs (fuel/maintenance) for secure transport and associated logistics.
Ethical Mortuary $100K/yr
[#19] Mortuary/autopsy costs and ethical/legal oversight committee budget.
Emergency Response And Drills $100K/yr
[#21] Annual drills, SOP updates, inter-agency liaison and hotline staffing.
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#1, #2, #16, #22] Monitoring/calibration, long-term-storage incubator maintenance and energy hosting/audit costs, and incremental site HVAC/energy to maintain can temperatures.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.5M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with targeted scanning, on-call surgical capability, ongoing research, and standard PR/legal reserves; no major incidents.
targeted_screening_operational no_major_incidents ongoing_research
🚨 Minor Incident $23.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$636K vs baseline
Single extractions or small public incidents requiring surgical extraction, per-case legal/PR suppression and limited compensation.
single_high_profile_extraction localized_leak limited_litigation/PR_response
🚨 Major Breach $37.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Large public exposure or multi-subject incident requiring intensive crisis PR, major litigation, expanded emergency medical response and large investigations.
widespread_media_exposure multiple_deaths_or_high_casualties major_litigation
🚨 Intensive Investigation $24.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Extended, resource-intensive manhunt or international investigation for PoI 429 requiring surge intelligence, covert ops and legal work.
expanded_international_search cross-jurisdictional_covert_ops
👥 Personnel 23 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] One dedicated 12-person MTF team trained for extraction and detention.
Medical Officer (Neurosurgeon / Anesthesiologist / ICU Nurse) 7 [#6] Retainer staffing: 2neurosurgeons, 1 anesthesiologist, 4 ICU nurses on-call.
Security Escort Team 4 [#3] Armed escort/security personnel for transport and field operations (staffing reflected in recurring escort costs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Numerous line-item ranges provided in analyst notes required mid-point or judgmental choices. Engineering, legal/PR, and intelligence costs are particularly uncertain; contingency premium used to cover unquantified escalation. Reasonable mapping of items to categories but many estimates are order-of-magnitude ranges.
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