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SCP-4514 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4514
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$1.5M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time capital/setup costs are modest except for an intentionally large contingency reserve, totaling approximately $1.47M; recurring annual costs are about $1.68M driven primarily by security and research personnel, medical readiness, and legal/cover-up funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M
Contingency Reserve Establishment $1.2M
[#23] Establish high-liquidity internal contingency reserve for large-scale incidents and worst-case escalations.
Equipment $98K
[#1, #5, #6, #24] Certified safe and installation, CCTV/intrusion system installation, access-control software initial install, and decommissioning/destruction tooling.
Facilities $55K
[#2] Site-level vault/room modifications, biometric locks, reinforced door, airlock access vestibule and lockdown features.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#11] Initial dedicated pathology/forensics equipment and facility upgrades (CT/MRI access, histology prep upgrades).
Redundant Containment Safe $18K
[#18] Alternate-site duplicate safe purchase and setup to provide redundant storage.
Inert Replicas $3K
[#8] Manufacture initial set (~5) of non-anomalous replicas for training and demonstration.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $902K/yr
[#3, #4, #12, #19] 24/7 armed guards (6 FTEs with benefits), 1 security supervisor, research personnel (1 senior researcher + 2 technicians), and 1 inventory/records clerk.
Cover Story And Legal $270K/yr
[#13, #15, #17] Administrative/O5 convening costs, standing cover-up/local influence fund, and legal/internal affairs contingency reserves.
Research And Monitoring $175K/yr
[#11] Ongoing pathology/forensic testing budget (imaging, histology, toxicology) and specialist fees.
Medical On Call $160K/yr
[#10] Maintain on-call trauma/anesthesiology capability and readiness allocation for authorized use/testing.
Amnestic Program $50K/yr
[#14] Inventory and program maintenance for amnestics and training for administration.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#9] Annual contingency fund for armored transport/escort and transfer logistics when movement is authorized.
Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr
[#7, #22] Handling PPE, decontamination supplies, per-test sterile disposables and sample storage consumables.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#20] Annual training, safety drills and instructor costs for security, medical, and research teams.
Misc Overhead $12K/yr
[#25] Travel for O5/experts, small tools, courier fees, documentation printing and other administrative recurring items.
Remains Storage Disposal Reserve $10K/yr
[#16] Annual allocation for secure mortuary storage, cremation/disposal readiness and associated obfuscation costs.
Contingency Fund Maintenance $10K/yr
[#23] Small annual maintenance/top-up and administrative cost to manage the contingency reserve.
Redundant Storage Oversight $5K/yr
[#18] Recurring oversight/inspection budget for alternate-site redundant containment.
Security System Maintenance $4K/yr
[#5] Annual monitoring and maintenance contract for CCTV/intrusion sensors and tamper alarms.
It Maintenance And Backups $4K/yr
[#6] IT maintenance for access-control software, secure logging, and backups.
Facilities Maintenance $750/yr
[#21] Energy, HVAC and apportioned facility overhead for CCTV/room climate control.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, training, and scheduled testing only.
no authorized use no breaches only scheduled testing
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$64K vs baseline
Small internal incident (single or limited injury/death) requiring medical response, targeted forensic work, and localized cover-up.
authorized experiment injury limited accidental exposure small internal witness set
🚨 Major Incident $2.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$745K vs baseline
Larger incident with multiple casualties or public exposure requiring extensive forensics, significant cover-up funds, legal defense, and extended response.
public discovery multi-casualty event multiple witnesses or media coverage
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $5.8M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$4.2M vs baseline
Severe, public breach or mass-casualty event triggering large-scale legal settlements, public relations, site upgrades and long-term remediation.
site-wide breach extensive public casualties major legal exposure
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] 24/7 armed guard coverage dedicated to armory (6 FTEs used in wage calculations).
Site Security Supervisor / Armory Custodian 1 [#4] Single full-time custodian/officer responsible for chain-of-custody and approvals.
Research Scientist 1 [#12] Senior researcher (salary included in research personnel total).
Lab Technician 2 [#12] Laboratory technicians to run controlled experiments and sample processing.
Inventory / Records Clerk 1 [#19] Clerk maintaining chain-of-custody logs, access requests and inventory audits.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges that allow reasonable midpoint estimates, but many items are range-based, per-incident, or dependent on organizational policy (e.g., contingency size, frequency of authorized use), so overall cost confidence is medium.
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