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SCP-4526 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-4526
Expected annual
$4.0M
One-time setup
$457K
Annual recurring
$3.9M
Personnel
8
One-time capital outlays are modest (~$457k) for vault upgrades, cameras and servers; annual operating costs are substantial (~$3.9M/yr) driven primarily by staffing, legal/settlement exposure, contingency reserves and an ongoing research program. Per-manifestation settlement and remediation costs are the dominant variable cost and scale with manifestation volume.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $457K
Equipment $282K
[#7, #9, #10, #22] Includes tamper-evident scanner/software setup $12,000 (#7), secure on-site servers/encryption appliances $50,000 (#9), CCTV rollout for hearing rooms $200,000 (#10), and initial long-term archival migration $20,000 (#22).
Facilities $125K
[#5] Upgrade Standard Storage Room at Site-57: secure cabinets, badge access, tamper sensors, climate control and fire suppression. Midpoint estimate used.
Protocol Development And Rollout $50K
[#20] One-time SOP/training rollout cost for HR, judges and managers: materials, trainers, travel.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Scaling Assumptions $0
[#1] Non-cost sizing assumptions (Low/Med/High grievance volumes mapped to 2% manifestation rate). Included for auditability; no direct capital cost.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.9M/yr
Settlements And Judgments $1.0M/yr
[#15] Financial impact of favorable judgments; $50,000 per manifestation × 20 manifestations (medium) = $1,000,000/yr.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#24] Operational reserve for worst-case legal/regulatory exposure ≈ $1,000,000/yr.
Staff Wages $794K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #11, #12] Research Director $195,000/yr (#2), Researcher's Union Liaison $117,000/yr (#3), Administrative/case-tracking support 2 FTE ≈ $156,000/yr (#4), IT operations/sysadmin & SOC oversight ≈ $150,000/yr (#11), Security staffing (3 FTE + overtime) ≈ $176,000/yr (#12).
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#14, #23] Legal/labor counsel retainer and internal legal staffing ≈ $200,000/yr (#14) plus public relations / secrecy retainer and incident response ≈ $200,000/yr (#23).
Research And Monitoring $390K/yr
[#19, #21] Ongoing research program allocation to study SCP-4526 mechanism $350,000/yr (#19) plus internal audit & compliance reviews $40,000/yr (#21).
Internal Investigations $100K/yr
[#17] Internal investigations into filmed misconduct at $5,000/event × 20 events = $100,000/yr.
Forensic Media Analysis $50K/yr
[#8] Forensic analysis of media at $2,500/event × 20 manifestations (medium scenario) = $50,000/yr.
Opportunity Cost Study $50K/yr
[#25] Executive-level contingency planning / study budget to assess organizational impact ≈ $50,000/yr.
Employee Support And Counseling $25K/yr
[#18] Program increase $15,000/yr plus per-case counseling $500/event × 20 = $10,000 → total $25,000/yr.
Secure Digital Archiving $20K/yr
[#9] Recurring cloud/backup and encrypted backup costs for secure digital archives ≈ $20,000/yr.
Hr Processing $20K/yr
[#16] HR processing and administrative overhead at $1,000/event × 20 events = $20,000/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#6] Ongoing storage operations: electricity, HVAC servicing, sensor maintenance and inspections for evidence vault.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#13] Secure courier/transport per manifested item estimated $500/transfer with medium scenario (20 transfers) → $10,000/yr.
Training Refreshers $10K/yr
[#20] Annual refreshers and retraining across sites ≈ $10,000/yr.
Redundant Archival Storage $10K/yr
[#22] Ongoing long-term archival costs for redundant off-site storage ≈ $10,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#7, #26] Chain-of-custody consumables (seals, bags, tablets) consumables $2,500/yr (#7) plus small per-item evidence consumables ~$1,000/yr at medium manifestation volume (20 events) (#26).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.9M/yr
98.5% probability / year
Normal year using medium grievance volume (1,000 hearings → 20 manifestations). Recurring costs as estimated above; no exceptional incidents.
medium_grievance_volume no public exposure routine operations
🚨 High Manifestation Volume $14.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.8M vs baseline
Year with very high grievance volume (10,000 hearings → 200 manifestations), massively increasing per-event costs (forensics, settlements, HR, investigations, transport).
high_grievance_volume mass_manifestations large number of favorable judgments
🚨 Breach And Public Exposure $8.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Containment/cover failure or public leak leads to regulatory investigations, major litigation and PR response requiring large external legal/settlement expenditures.
public_leak regulatory_investigation high-profile litigation
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Research Director 1 [#2] Senior researcher responsible for documenting manifestations and coordination (salary included in staff_wages).
Foundation Researcher's Union Liaison 1 [#3] Full-time liaison to receive manifestation reports and interface with unions (salary included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff 2 [#4] Case-tracking and data entry support (2 FTE; costs included in staff_wages).
IT / Sysadmin 1 [#11] Full-time sysadmin + part-time SOC oversight approximated as 1 FTE for headcount mapping (cost included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / Guard 3 [#12] 3 FTE guards for storage room and evidence transports (costs included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and reasonable midpoints for per-event costs; however outcomes depend heavily on manifestation volume and settlement sizes (major uncertainties). Contingency and scenario probabilities are approximate.
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