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SCP-4546 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4546
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$1.0M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
16
Initial one-time setup is roughly $1.04M driven by facility retrofit/construction, safety systems, and equipment; annual recurring costs are roughly $1.58M/yr driven primarily by security and cover-staff wages plus ongoing research, maintenance, and legal/cover expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0M
Facilities $510K
[#2, #3, #7] Construction/retrofit of Provisional Area-4546, structural explosion venting/blast walls and structural portions of acoustic vaulting and airlock.
Equipment $250K
[#1, #3, #4, #6, #7, #12, #15, #21] Purchase & installation of Safe-class locker and storage hardware, suppression system hardware, HVAC units, audio monitoring hardware, acoustic lining materials, PPE/tools, surveillance hardware, and communications hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#24] Initial memetic-countermeasure R&D startup (equipment, small-scale testing, memeticologist engagement) per contingency research item.
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#18] One-time retained contingency/emergency fund for fires, unexpected anomalous behavior, or forced public exposure (reserve).
Legal And Administrative Setup $30K
[#10] One-time legal fees and setup costs for fake company registration/licenses and initial legal cover paperwork.
Consultant And Initial Assessment $20K
[#13] Initial pyrotechnics/EOD consultation and assessment fee.
Initial Secure Transport $15K
[#14] One-time cost for initial secure hazardous-material transport/escort and discrete transfer.
Policy And Training Setup $12K
[#5] One-time setup for 200 m speech-exclusion program: drafting policy, signage, initial training.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#8, #9, #13, #16] Salaries and benefits for 24/7 security (guards + supervisor), cover-staff payroll (administrative/production actors), on-call EOD retainer included as recurring contractor expense, and baseline research staff salaries.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#16, #17, #24] Ongoing memetic R&D if active, psychological testing and counseling for exposed staff, and medical readiness/periodic health surveillance costs.
Cover Story And Legal $155K/yr
[#5, #10, #11, #20, #25] Ongoing speech-exclusion training/enforcement, company filings/renewals/bookkeeping, covert insurance/liability management, document/cover maintenance and staged logistics, and periodic audits/oversight.
Facilities Maintenance $58K/yr
[#3, #4, #6, #15, #21, #22] Maintenance/testing of explosion-safe suppression systems, HVAC servicing, audio-monitoring/cloud processing fees, surveillance maintenance and log storage, communications/IT support, and general utilities/site operating costs.
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#14, #19] Annual secure transport events and periodic controlled disposal/demilitarization contracts (per-item/as-needed disposal budget).
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#12, #23] Consumable PPE replacements, non-sparking tool replacements, batteries, locks, seals, cleaning supplies, and small equipment replacements.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized accidental ignition or small fire, requiring EOD response, cleanup, brief evacuation, and PR mitigation.
minor_fire accidental_ignition localized_auditory_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $2.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring mass evacuation, large-scale disposal, extended PR/legal response, and potential facility rebuild.
large_fire public_exposure mass_auditory_transmission
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Six rotating armed/unarmed guards assumed for 24/7 coverage (three-shift rotation).
Site Supervisor / Security Supervisor 1 [#8] Single on-site supervisor for shift coordination and security oversight.
Cover Staff (administrative/production/reception) 6 [#9, #20] Cover-company employees (administrative, production actors, receptionist) to maintain the firework manufacturer ruse.
Research Scientist 1 [#16] Principal investigator (Researcher Cardenas or equivalent) with authorized commentary privileges within 200 m.
Research Assistant / Support Staff 2 [#16] Support research staff for data collection, monitoring, and protocol administration.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoints of broad ranges provided in analyst notes; staffing levels, location-dependent construction costs, and frequency of transport/disposal events introduce variance, so confidence is moderate.
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