SCP-4561 — SCP-4561 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4561 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-4561

Expected annual

$25.1M

One-time setup

$25.1M

Annual recurring

$24.6M

Personnel

Initial capital/setup is large (~$25.15M) driven by vessels, deep ROVs, shore lab buildout and a contingency reserve; ongoing annual costs are substantial (~$24.55M/yr) dominated by dedicated MTF staffing, salvage operations, legal/cover budgets, and logistics.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $25.1M

Contingency Escalation Reserve $10.0M

[#23] One-off contingency/reserve allocation for major emergencies, diplomatic payoffs, legal settlements, or large-scale containment changes.

Equipment $9.5M

[#3, #6, #8] Two patrol vessels (~$6,000,000), two work-class deep ROVs + winches/spares (~$3,000,000), initial sonar/AIS/beacon network (~$500,000).

Facilities $4.0M

[#12] Secure shoreside containment and analysis facility buildout (BSL-3, vaults, decon bays).

Amnestic Program Facility $1.0M

[#16] Amnestic manufacturing/procurement facility setup.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $650K

[#14] Initial contracted research program for metallurgy/archaeology/energy-source study and specialized testing.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $24.6M/yr

Salvage Recovery Operations $6.0M/yr

[#11] Per-Feeding salvage/recovery mobilizations; planning assumes ~$500,000 per salvage × ~12 events/yr = $6,000,000/yr.

Staff Wages $5.0M/yr

[#1] Dedicated MTF personnel (rotating ~50 personnel, hazard pay and allowances).

Cover Story And Legal $3.2M/yr

[#2, #17] On-call local liaison / legal/diplomatic retainer and covert media-control / cover-story budgets.

Logistics And Transport $1.9M/yr

[#4, #5] Patrol vessel operational costs (crewing, maintenance, fuel excluded here), and aerial support charter/contract readiness.

Opportunity And Indirect Costs $1.8M/yr

[#24] Reimbursements/compensation for shipping reroutes, port closures, fisheries/tourism mitigation and hush payments.

Temporary Exclusion Enforcement $1.5M/yr

[#10] Costs for dynamic 4 km^2 exclusion enforcement during Feeding events (coordination with local coast guards/navies, re-routing, on-scene patrols).

Lab Operations And Waste Disposal $1.0M/yr

[#13] Operating BSL-2/3 wet lab, hazardous waste removal, bioassays, contract incineration / disposal.

Research And Monitoring $850K/yr

[#9, #15] Sensor/network bandwidth and upkeep, ongoing research & cataloging (data storage, software, continuous analysis).

Fuel And Energy $850K/yr

[#22] Diesel for two patrol vessels, generators for shore lab, power for remote sensors.

Rov Operations And Maintenance $750K/yr

[#7] ROV/submersible pilots, technicians, parts, wet-test facility, mission consumables and mobilization.

Amnestic Program Operations $500K/yr

[#16] Operational cost of amnestic doses, mobile administration teams, relocation/identity replacement and monitoring.

Environmental Monitoring And Remediation $500K/yr

[#18] Monitoring ecological impacts of Feedings and remediation to avoid detection or preserve baiting options.

Training And Exercises $375K/yr

[#21] Regular MTF drills, diver/ROV practice, safety refresher, spare parts pool replacement.

Artifact Storage And Insurance $175K/yr

[#19] Long-term conservation, climate control, security, cataloguing, and insurance for recovered non-organic materials.

Salvage Valuation And Disposition $100K/yr

[#20] Appraisal, covert sale/disposition, and political cost of seeding/withholding recovered metals.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $24.6M/yr

94.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring, expected number of Feedings and scheduled salvage operations; no major diplomatic incidents or breaches.

scheduled_feedings routine_salvage normal_diplomatic_coordination

🚨 Minor Incident $29.6M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Increased feeding frequency or one-off international dispute requiring extra salvage ops, additional legal/cover payments, and modest contingency drawdown.

increased_feeding_frequency regional_diplomatic_tension additional_salvage_ops

🚨 Major Breach $49.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline

Significant containment failure / public exposure or SCP movement into busy shipping lanes requiring major emergency response, contingency use, and international settlements.

public_exposure breach_into_shipping_lanes multi-jurisdictional_crisis

👥 Personnel 50 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	30	Core rapid-reaction, command, and boarding teams drawn from rotating complement. [#1]
ROV Pilot / Technician	8	Pilots and technicians for work-class ROVs and systems. [#7]
Diver / Salvage Specialist	6	Heated diver operations, salvage specialists for recovery missions. [#11]
Medic	2	On-call medics for field operations and post-exposure care. [#1]
Operators / Deck Crew	4	Vessel crew, deckhands for launches, and ROV handling. [#3, #4]

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items with ranges and clear drivers, but event frequency (Feedings per year), local cooperation variability, and contingency needs are uncertain; cost ranges reflect those uncertainties.

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