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SCP-4580 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4580
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$5.9M
Annual recurring
$5.9M
Personnel
30
One-time startup capital (equipment, labs, vault, contingency) is approximately $5.9M driven by emergency contingency and capital kit; recurring annual costs are roughly $5.89M/yr dominated by MTF staffing, insurance/reserves, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.9M
Emergency Fund Reserve $2.5M
[#25] Large-scale contingency/emergency fund for extreme urban incidents (reserve to be drawn in catastrophic events).
Equipment $1.3M
[#3, #5, #8, #19, #24, #15, #13] Rapid-deployment vehicles/command trailer and outfitting, initial perimeter kit, surveillance kit, initial IT/secure-stack hardware, drones/generators, initial PPE, and evidence-vault climate/control hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $900K
[#9, #10, #21] Field laboratory and forensic analysis setup, initial linguistics/runic translation study contracts, and seed funding to start a longer-term research program.
Facilities $600K
[#7, #13] Land acquisition/condemnation option (optional) and vault construction/upgrades (structural work and climate-controlled footprint).
Amnestic Stockpile $500K
[#11] Stockpiling high-grade amnestic doses as contingency (initial procurement/manufacture and secure storage).
Training Setup $50K
[#16] Initial curriculum development and training program setup for non-violent engagement and rapid relocation drills.
Field Trade Inventory $20K
[#14] Initial consumable payments / valuables inventory for controlled interactions and experiments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.9M/yr
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#1] Dedicated MTF Theta-8 core team (24 operatives + 6 specialists) including salaries, benefits, equipment replacement budget and administrative overhead.
Insurance And Risk Reserve $600K/yr
[#23] Annual insurance/risk reserve to cover accidental exposures, operations generating public costs, and potential claims.
Research And Monitoring $585K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #21] Surveillance maintenance and subscriptions, per-sample lab testing and consumables, linguistics/runic ongoing work, and funded ongoing research program activities.
Cover Story And Legal $365K/yr
[#6, #17, #18] Public-safety/local-authority coordination and compensation, PR/cover-story operations, and baseline legal counsel/retainers.
Logistics And Transport $350K/yr
[#2, #4, #3] Temporary billets/per-diem/site relocation costs, air-charter reserve for urgent deployments, and vehicle operation/fuel/long-term transport support.
Attacker Conversion Contingency $200K/yr
[#22] Contingency reserve for investigative follow-ups, family compensation, and scaled containment after attacker-conversion events.
Supplies And Consumables $154K/yr
[#5, #11, #14, #15] Perimeter replenishment/rental, amnestic replenishment and administrations, ongoing field-trade accounting/security, and PPE restock/medical consumables.
Civilian Processing $100K/yr
[#12] Apprehension, detention, interrogation, forensic/legal processing and administrative follow-up on civilians who interact with SCP-4580.
Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr
[#13, #24] Vault/security maintenance, equipment upkeep (drones/generators) and site maintenance while deployed.
It Security And Secrets Containment $65K/yr
[#19] Recurring costs for secure IT stack, encrypted storage, subscriptions, and IT personnel for handling classified transcripts and audit trails.
Psychological Support $50K/yr
[#20] Ongoing mental-health services, counseling, and periodic psych evaluations for staff exposed to secret-disclosure events.
Training And Drills $45K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher training, drills for rapid relocation, protocol adherence and memetic/non-violent engagement practice.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.9M/yr
72.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled operations, no major incidents or urban-level events.
no migration into critical urban center routine relocations only no large-scale public incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $6.3M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized interaction or small SCP-4580-1 event requiring extra deployments, additional civilian processing and amnestic administrations.
small number of civilian interactions one additional relocation deployment increased amnestic & processing usage
🚨 Major Urban Incident $9.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.2M vs baseline
SCP-4580 migrates into an ultra-dense/high-value urban site requiring mass closures, emergency response, large compensation, and drawing emergency contingency/land actions.
migration into major urban center extended public closures/compensations land purchase or large emergency operations
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#1] Core operatives covering 24/7 presence (4 per shift × 3 shifts + spares).
Team Leader / MTF Commander 1 [#1] Team leader/senior specialist embedded in the Theta-8 team.
Medic 1 [#1] Dedicated medic for field deployments.
Communications Specialist 1 [#1] Comms and secure link operator for mobile deployments.
Linguist / Anthropologist 1 [#1, #10] Specialist for runic translation and anthropological liaison.
Logistician 1 [#1, #2] Logistics/support for relocations, billets and supply coordination.
Evidence Custodian 1 [#1, #13] Responsible for chain-of-custody, evidence handling and vault management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn directly from analyst ranges in the notes; many line items (land acquisition, emergency draw amounts, frequency of urban migrations) are highly location-dependent and carry uncertainty, but personnel and recurring monitoring costs are relatively well-defined.
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