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SCP-4593 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4593
Expected annual
$698K
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$675K
Personnel
2.7
One-time capital (construction, vacuum chamber, detection suite, cylinders and initial legal/OPSEC) dominates up-front costs (~$2.0M including notional asset valuation); recurring annual costs are driven by dedicated security and core R&D/monitoring (~$675k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Asset Valuation $1.0M
[#22] High-value asset notional valuation (one-time internal valuation; non-liquid, accounting contingency).
Equipment $375K
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #7, #15] Vacuum-sealed chamber, vacuum system (one-time hardware), foundation-certified cylinders fabrication (budgeted), data acquisition/servers (one-time), UPS/generator (one-time), remote handling tooling (one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $225K
[#5] High-precision detection and monitoring suite (one-time lab/instrument buildout).
Facilities $200K
[#1] Dedicated vacuum-sealed containment vault construction/modification.
Initial Clearance And Training $60K
[#9] Initial clearance/background investigations and initial specialized handling training (one-time initial costs for access personnel).
Incident Response Initial $30K
[#17] Incident response & containment contingency initial equipment & rapid-deploy secondary containment.
Cover Story Setup $30K
[#20] Plausible cover & front-company setup (one-time creation of front documentation, shell setup).
Decommissioning Reserve $20K
[#18] Decommissioning/disposal/recovery plan reserve (one-time contingency fund for safe neutralization).
Legal Setup $20K
[#19] Secure records, chain-of-custody and initial legal setup/one-time consulting to establish retainer and classified handling procedures.
Secure Transport Setup $10K
[#16] Secure internal transport and logistics setup (armored trolleys, internal transfer protocols, heavy-lift prep).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $675K/yr
Staff Wages $295K/yr
[#8, #10] Dedicated security staff (2x Level-3 guards) and minimal custodial R&D staffing (0.5 FTE tech + 0.2 FTE scientist); salaries + benefits.
Per Study Research $100K/yr
[#11] Per-study research costs (pilot human-subject studies): recruitment, medical screening, scanning time and subject compensation; budgeted annual typical activity.
Cover Story And Legal $90K/yr
[#19, #20, #24] Legal retainer/record-keeping, ongoing cover maintenance (front company/OPSEC) and IRB/indemnity contingency/admin costs.
Research And Monitoring $70K/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #17, #23] Detection system calibration/service, data-logging maintenance, baseline medical readiness and monitoring, drills upkeep, and third-party audits/calibration.
Facilities Maintenance $69K/yr
[#3, #7, #21] Vacuum system electricity & maintenance, UPS/generator fuel and testing, and pro-rated Site-77 overhead/utilities.
Administrative Opportunity Cost $20K/yr
[#25] Administrative time for strategic review panels and allocation committees to manage scarce resource decisions.
Clearance And Training $10K/yr
[#9] Ongoing requalification, refresher non-disclosure and specialized handling training / background reinvestigations for access personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#14] Consumables and routine maintenance (pump oil, seals, gloves, spare sensors, small parts).
Cylinder Maintenance $6K/yr
[#13] Cylinder inspection, recertification and lifecycle maintenance (annualized budget for periodic NDT/leak checks and minor repairs).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#16] Secure internal transport recurring costs and escorts; budgeted for occasional on-site transfer events.
Remote Handling Maintenance $4K/yr
[#15] Maintenance and service for remote manipulators/robotic tooling.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $675K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance and small-scale research as budgeted.
routine operations scheduled maintenance small pilot studies
🚨 Minor Incident $825K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment incident (e.g., vacuum breach or cylinder valve failure) requiring emergency response, replacement spares, legal/investigation and short-term research pause.
vacuum chamber breach cylinder valve failure localized equipment damage
🚨 Major Breach $2.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or exposure cascade requiring major recovery, emergency relocation/decommissioning, large-scale legal/cover operations and expanded investigations.
catastrophic containment failure forced off-site recovery extensive legal/OPSEC response
👥 Personnel 2.7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#8] Two full-time Level-3 guards assigned to day-to-day vault security (as specified).
Research Technician 0.5 [#10] 0.5 FTE technician for inspections, sampling and maintenance.
Research Scientist 0.2 [#10] 0.2 FTE scientist for oversight, approved tests and chain-of-custody.
📋 Confidence Notes
Hardware and operational categories (vacuum chamber, pumps, monitoring, staff) are reasonably specified in the notes, but wide ranges on unit costs, unpredictable research activity, and the inclusion of a notional asset valuation introduce uncertainty in totals and scenario probabilities.
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