SCP-4652 — SCP-4652 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4652 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-4652

Expected annual

$2.3M

One-time setup

$8.7M

Annual recurring

$2.2M

Personnel

Initial one-time capital and contingency (facility construction, catastrophic reserve, and suppression systems) drive up-front costs into the multi‑million range; recurring costs are dominated by staff wages, medical readiness, research, and security/monitoring (~$2.2M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.7M

Catastrophic Reserve $5.0M

[#16] One-time recommended reserve/insurance to cover reconstruction, legal costs, and relocation in worst-case events.

Facilities $1.8M

[#4, #15] Construction of a specialized test bunker (blast-/plasma-resistant chamber) and structural reinforcement of adjacent areas.

Contingency One Time $1.1M

[#25] One-time contingency (15% applied to aggregated one-time line items per analyst recommendation).

Suppression System $200K

[#5] Inert-gas flooding, high-rate exhaust/venting, localized cryo/cooling and fire suppression installation integrated with HVAC.

Long Term Mitigation Initial $200K

[#23] Initial seed funding for neutralization/mitigation R&D (multi-year program start).

Remote Handling Research $150K

[#13] One-time R&D/project budget to develop remote/robotic handling to reduce human trials.

Equipment $65K

[#2, #6, #8, #3, #7] CCTV/tamper alarms & camera setup, heat/ballistic shields, specialized restraint rigs, one-time armored case, initial PPE/equipment.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $60K

[#14] Initial analytical/chemical lab effort, instrumentation time, and research startup consumables.

Secure Lock $20K

[#1] Biometric/tamper-sensor upgrade and heat-resistant inner sleeve for containment locker.

Operator Screening Training $20K

[#11] One-time screening/training costs for specialized operator pool (initial candidates).

Background Checks Initial $20K

[#21] Initial deep-background vetting cost for access candidates.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr

Staff Wages $600K/yr

[#10] Ongoing salaries for supervisors/Level-4 approval staff and allocated security guard wages (2 Level-4 equivalents + ~4 security guards pro-rated).

Research And Monitoring $330K/yr

[#14, #23, #12] Ongoing analytical research programs, long-term mitigation R&D annual spend, and periodic medical monitoring/lab costs.

Medical Readiness $300K/yr

[#9] On-call trauma/burn team staffing, medevac readiness, specialized supplies and readiness standby costs.

Contingency Recurring $287K/yr

[#25] Recurring contingency reserve (15% applied to aggregated recurring line items per analyst recommendation).

Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr

[#17] Legal retainers, PR/cover-story maintenance, incident response budget.

Operator Retainer Pool $120K/yr

[#11] Hazard pay/retainer for specialized operator pool (3–6 personnel, annualized).

Logistics And Transport $100K/yr

[#3] Recurring cost to outfit/maintain an on-site armored transfer capability and convoy planning/availability (annualized).

Administrative Overhead $100K/yr

[#24] Pro-rated Site-57 overhead (administration, utilities share, security HQ allocations).

Supplies And Consumables $54K/yr

[#7, #18, #22] PPE replacements, inert gases, expendable thermal tiles, filters, and hazmat/waste handling consumables and vendor contracts.

Surveillance Monitoring $45K/yr

[#2] 1 FTE operator (~$35k/yr) plus third-party monitoring/service (~$10k/yr).

Background Checks Program $40K/yr

[#21] Ongoing vetting, polygraph, and continuous-evaluation program costs.

Suppression Maintenance $30K/yr

[#5] Annual maintenance and service contracts for inert-gas, exhaust, cryo, and suppression systems.

Energy Hvac $30K/yr

[#19] Increased utility and HVAC/venting/power costs for containment and test chamber operations.

Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr

[#4, #15] Regular maintenance/pro-rated upkeep of test chamber and reinforced structures (excludes suppression maintenance).

Incident Training $15K/yr

[#20] Regular drills, training, and overtime costs for security, engineering, and medical response.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr

95.4% probability / year

Normal operational year with contained testing cadence and regular maintenance; no major incidents.

routine_testing scheduled_maintenance regular_research

🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$130K vs baseline

Localized misfire or testing accident causing limited equipment damage, medical treatment, and short downtime.

test_misfire limited_structural_damage staff_injury

🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Significant containment breach or misfire that damages the test chamber/adjacent facility and requires major repairs and extended operations disruption.

facility_breach major_equipment_loss multiple_casualties

🚨 Political Exposure $2.7M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$480K vs baseline

Theft or public use of an instance (as in the addendum) causing local media/police attention, investigations, and increased legal/PR costs.

unauthorized_leak public_incident criminal_use

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $14.2M/yr

0.1% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline

Extensive destructive event (high-power plasma discharge) destroying major facility infrastructure and causing casualties.

major_misfire structural_collapse mass_casualties

👥 Personnel 15 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist (Level-4)	2	[#10] Two senior/Level-4 personnel required for approvals and research oversight (salaries pro-rated into staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent	4	[#10] Dedicated guards allocated to guard locker and test area (pro-rated staffing allocation).
Surveillance Operator	1	[#2] 1 FTE monitoring CCTV and tamper alarms (separate recurring monitoring cost).
Medical Officer	2	[#9] On-call trauma/burn capability and medevac readiness (staffing/contract costs in medical_readiness).
Engineer / Maintenance	1	[#5, #4] Maintenance and systems engineering support for chamber, suppression, and HVAC systems.
Administrative Staff	1	[#24] Site administrative and overhead allocation (pro-rated).
MTF / Trained Operator (specialized pool)	4	[#11] Specialized operator pool (high alcohol tolerance/training) retained for testing; counts reflect pool size used to compute retainer/hazard pay.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasoned budget; however wide ranges on facility/spec choices, catastrophic risk sizing, and contingency assumptions leave material uncertainty.

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