SCP-4658 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4658
Expected annual
$218K
One-time setup
$149K
Annual recurring
$213K
Personnel
7
One-time capital outlay is modest (~$149k) driven primarily by optional deep analysis and initial research equipment; recurring annual costs (~$213k/yr) are driven by mandated weekly testing, research staffing, D-Class program costs, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $149K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $110K
[#14, #21] Initial chemical/material characterization (GC-MS, FTIR, microscopy) and allowance for a controlled, destructive internal analysis project (imaging, microscopy, hazardous mitigation) if authorized.
Equipment $24K
[#2, #4, #5, #6, #11, #12, #13, #16] Includes removable heat-resistant transport sleeve (#2), HVAC/dehumidifier and odor control hardware (#4), localized fire cabinet/Class B extinguisher installs and related equipment (#5), initial PPE issue for handlers (#6), high-res/IR/thermal cameras and integration (#11), procurement of legacy consoles and spare parts/test rig (#12), electrical isolation hardware/isolation transformers/surge protection (#13), and one-time hazardous-waste containers (#16).
Facilities $11K
[#1, #20] Containment locker modification (custom padding, tie-downs, seals, heat-resistant liner) and secure archival/evidence storage climate-control setup and mounting/fit-out.
Sop Development And Initial Training $4K
[#17] One-time SOP development, initial training and drills for researchers, security, and med techs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $213K/yr
Staff Wages $106K/yr
[#7, #14] Weekly testing staffing (researcher time, security escorts, admin overhead aggregated annually) plus partial research specialist salary (0.5 FTE equivalent included in wages).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#8] Marginal D-Class program costs (housing, security, medical) allocated to maintaining a small rotating test pool.
Incident Contingency Fund $30K/yr
[#19] Annual contingency reserve for lockdowns, overtime, professional cleanup, and unexpected site response costs.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#18] Operational security/legal retainer and cover-story/PR suppression budget for procurement anomalies and potential inquiries.
Medical And Incident Care $8K/yr
[#10] Medical monitoring, on-call ER readiness, incident treatment for burns/electrocution and return-to-quarantine checks.
Psychological Screening $6K/yr
[#9] Clinical psychological screenings and periodic rechecks for maintaining the D-Class testing pool.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#4, #5, #11, #13, #20, #22] HVAC filter replacements and electricity, extinguisher/cabinet inspections and small-scale training refreshers, surveillance storage/maintenance, isolation-transformer maintenance, archival storage upkeep, and periodic professional cleaning of containment locker/room.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#3, #6, #15] Weights, rubber bands, fasteners, inert stuffing, PPE consumables/replacements, and decontamination/laundry/disposal consumables.
Research And Monitoring $2K/yr
[#14] Ongoing consumables and minor outsourced tests for materials/electrical diagnostics beyond initial characterization.
Training And Sop Refresher $2K/yr
[#17] Periodic refresher training for handling unique hazards and emergency response drills.
Hazardous Waste Handling $1K/yr
[#16] Ongoing hazardous-waste storage, labeling, and disposal contracts for unknown wax and contaminated PPE.
Legacy Console Maintenance $650/yr
[#12] Maintenance, parts replacement, and upkeep for pre-2000 consoles and analog test bench used for behavior reproduction.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $213K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine weekly testing, maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_weekly_tests no_major_contamination scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $228K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Small containment incident or medical event requiring cleanup, overtime, and limited external medical care.
small_wax_spill single_staff_injury localized_contamination
🚨 Major Incident $363K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Large contamination, entanglement affecting multiple staff, or loss requiring extensive cleanup and possibly an authorized destructive analysis.
multi-person_entanglement large-scale_wax_contamination destructive_analysis_authorized
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#7, #14] Primary handler/researcher responsible for weekly testing and ongoing research (salary portion included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Two guards present for weekly tests/escorts (security labor included in staff_wages estimates).
Administrative Staff 1 [#7] Admin/time to log results, retain footage and handle procurement/admin overhead included in staff_wages.
Class-D Personnel 3 [#8, #9] Small rotating D-Class pool (3) used weekly; marginal housing/security/medical costs allocated in logistics_and_transport and screening costs in psychological_screening.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items for capital and recurring costs, allowing a medium-confidence estimate. Uncertainty remains around frequency/severity of incidents, exact D-Class pool sizing, and whether/when a destructive internal analysis will be authorized (large one-time variance).
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