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SCP-4689 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4689
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$8.9M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
19
Total one-time setup and capital costs are approximately $8.89M, driven by remote compound construction, cover-story fabrication, temporal-site investigation, and a contingency reserve. Annual recurring operations are approximately $1.97M/yr, dominated by security, veterinary care, feeding, and monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.9M
Facilities $3.5M
[#2, #10] Remote-site reinforced compound ($3,000,000) plus mid-size quarantine/holding suite ($500,000).
Overhead One Time $1.2M
[#23] Institutional overhead applied at 15% of direct one-time/capital costs per analyst note.
Cover Story Fabrication $1.0M
[#16] Cover-up fabrication and public-disinformation (mid/high realism route; chosen ~$1,000,000).
Temporal Anomaly Investigation $1.0M
[#18] One-time specialist investigation, sensors and remediation equipment ($1,000,000 one-time).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#21] Rapid-response reserve recommended (~$1,000,000).
Capture And Field Op $300K
[#1] Initial aerial reconnaissance, sedation, traps, local contractors and medevac (chosen ~$300k midpoint used in summary).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $270K
[#11, #13] Cryobank setup and initial sequencing ($250,000) plus secure archive/hardware for monitoring ($20,000).
Legal And Settlements $200K
[#17] Compensation/settlements and legal fees (~$200k used).
Transport Crates And Airlift $150K
[#3] Custom heavy-duty crates, climate control, crane/airlift and chartered cargo aircraft.
Carcass Disposition $80K
[#15] Preservation/specimen prep (taxidermy/high-grade specimen prep estimate ~$80k chosen).
Audit And Ethics Review $75K
[#24] Audit and Ethics Committee review sessions (~$75k).
Euthanasia Operation $50K
[#14] Specialized vet team, euthanasia drugs/equipment, biohazard handling ($50k).
Decontamination One Time $50K
[#19] Initial deep clean and staff training, PPE and incineration contract (one-time ~$50k).
Staff Training One Time $30K
[#20] Initial staff training/certification costs (~$30k one-time).
International Logistics $25K
[#22] Permits, bioshipper services and customs (~$25k one-time).
Equipment $0
[]
Final Aggregate And Note $0
[#25] Aggregated midpoint and range summary; used for accounting and sensitivity commentary (no direct extra cost).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #20] Security guards ($480k/yr), keepers ($180k/yr), veterinary team ($330k/yr), hazard pay/mental-health services ($40k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $270K/yr
[#11, #13, #18] Cryobank maintenance/LN2 and freezer power ($10k/yr), archival/IT admin ($10k/yr), ongoing temporal-research monitoring if active ($250k/yr portion included here as recurring monitoring).
Overhead Recurring $257K/yr
[#23] Institutional overhead applied at 15% of direct recurring costs per analyst note.
Facilities Maintenance $215K/yr
[#8, #9, #19] Utilities/generator fuel/water treatment and repairs ($150k), enclosure refurbishment/fence maintenance ($50k), ongoing decontamination/waste handling ($15k).
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#7] Feeding and consumables for 16 large carnivores (~$200k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
[]
Research Program Breeding $0/yr
[#12] Conditional breeding/genetics program (analyst note estimated $200k–$500k/yr; set to $0 in baseline and modeled as a separate scenario).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
91.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; only baseline operations, monitoring, and maintenance active.
routine_husbandry scheduled_maintenance regular_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Localized escape, serious injury, or medical emergency requiring emergency capture, limited PR/legal response and overtime.
temporary_escape onsite_injury limited_public_sighting
🚨 Major Breach $5.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Full breach with public exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, major legal settlements, extensive repairs and comprehensive cover-up operations.
full_escape media_exposure large_scale_public_claims
🚨 Research Breeding Program Active $2.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Ethics/management decides to pursue captive breeding/genetic rescue; multi-year research and reproductive technology program becomes active.
Ethics_committee_approval breeding_trial_initiation
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] 3 shifts × 4 guards, accounts for the security salary portion (~$480k/yr).
Animal Care Technician / Keeper 4 [#5] Four keepers/techs for daily husbandry (~$180k/yr total).
Veterinary Team 3 [#6] 1 senior wildlife vet + 2 supporting vets/techs (~$330k/yr plus consumables).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and explicit midpoints for many items, enabling a medium-confidence budget. Residual uncertainty stems from conditional choices (breeding program, level of cover-up realism), local contracting premiums, and the low-probability/high-cost breach scenarios.
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