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SCP-4699 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4699
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$2.1M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
7
Initial one-time containment, equipment and research setup costs are modest-to-large (~$2.05M one-time driven by contingency/decommissioning funds and research buildout); steady-state recurring costs are ~ $1.37M/yr driven by research staff wages, administrative overhead, consumables and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1M
Contingency Fund $1.0M
[#16] Insurance/contingency reserve for catastrophic escalation, relocation, or indemnities (discretionary planning fund).
Decommissioning Capability $500K
[#17] One-time decommissioning / neutralization capability (moderate contingency).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $328K
[#8, #15, #25] Non-visual experimental capability buildout (probes, fabrication), archive/provenance investigative push, and minimal one-time baseline items.
Equipment $100K
[#1, #3, #4, #10, #13, #19] Locker replacement/upgrade, telemetry-only sensor hardware, tamper/alarm/CCTV installation hardware, server hardware deployment, incident toolkit hardware, and IT security one-time setup.
Facilities $30K
[#2] Concrete pad / small vault reinforcement and minimal HVAC tie-ins to secure locker.
Redaction One Time $30K
[#11] Immediate redaction/cover actions and one-time legal/PR setup.
Transport And Transfer One Time $30K
[#22] Specialized crate / transfer readiness for as-needed movement offsite.
Memetic Onboarding $28K
[#7] One-time onboarding & protocol development for memetic containment specialists and legal counsel.
Psych Program Setup $8K
[#12] Initial psychological screening and training program setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $607K/yr
[#5, #6, #13] Core research-team payroll burden (incl. benefits), dedicated security staffing allocation, and on-call/standby incident staffing.
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#20] Site allocation fee and proportional facility overhead (HR, utilities allocation, payroll processing).
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#8, #15] Recurring experimental campaign budgets (per-experiment losses, analysis) and continued provenance/forensic research support.
Supplies And Consumables $117K/yr
[#9, #21] Consumable / sacrificial equipment budget and small-item lab supplies / specialty diagnostics.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#11] Ongoing cover/PR legal effort, controlled disclosures and FOIA response budget.
Memetic Oversight $70K/yr
[#7] Recurring oversight, audits and specialist memetic containment consultancy.
Loss Recovery Budget $50K/yr
[#18] Budget to replace lost instrumentation and re-run experiments / per-campaign recovery reserve.
Baseline Minimal Recurring $25K/yr
[#25] Minimal baseline recurring allocation if containment remains passive (locker maintenance, minimal monitoring and small security allocation).
Annual Audit $20K/yr
[#24] Annual internal/external audit, safety review and reporting.
Facilities Maintenance $17K/yr
[#3, #4, #10, #14] Sensor maintenance, tamper/alarm licensing & maintenance, server/storage upkeep, and attributable energy/utilities.
Psychological Mitigation $15K/yr
[#23] PR/psychological mitigation for site personnel and counseling for accidental informants.
Training And Counseling $12K/yr
[#12] Recurring staff training, counseling and vetting refreshers for assigned personnel.
It Security Licensing $10K/yr
[#19] Recurring licensing & access-auditing costs, SIEM and periodic audits.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with passive containment, regular monitoring, scheduled research tempo, and no major incidents.
no incident scheduled experiments routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Limited equipment loss or sensor failure, small-scale personnel incident or localized containment scare requiring replacement equipment, investigations and extra legal/PR work.
sensor or tether loss small accidental viewing/rumor limited equipment destruction
🚨 Major Breach $3.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline
Significant escalation requiring use of contingency funds/decommissioning, large-scale recovery/relocation, heavy legal/PR and MTF involvement.
catastrophic experimental failure forced decommissioning public exposure / large-scale personnel loss
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Senior Researcher 1 [#6] Principal investigator listed in article (Senior Researcher Rafael Rodrigo).
Research Scientist 1 [#6] Named Researcher (Sarah Jones) assigned to project.
Junior Researchers 2 [#6] Two named junior researchers (Olivia Holloway, Husayn Tabrizi).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] Two Level-2 guards covering locker on rotating shifts (proportionate security staffing).
Engineer / Maintenance (on-call rapid response) 1 [#13] Small on-call rapid-response engineering/containment capability incorporated into staffing estimates.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are medium confidence: many line items are well-scoped (salaries, standard equipment, legal overhead) but several large ranges and contingent costs (R&D loss rates, decommissioning, contingency fund utilization) introduce substantial uncertainty.
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