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SCP-4712 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4712
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$8.3M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
18
Initial setup and retrofitting are the largest one-time costs (~$8.29M), driven by property acquisition, structural reinforcement and Site-91 containment; recurring yearly operations run approximately $3.69M, driven by on-site staffing, MTF readiness, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.3M
Facilities $2.7M
[#1, #3, #6a] Property acquisition ($1,500,000), structural reinforcement and conversion ($1,200,000), and perimeter/entry concealment setup ($5,000).
Event Alpha Program Initial $2.0M
[#29] Conditional high-level Event-Alpha research program initial allocation (budgeted if O5 authorizes, $2,000,000).
Equipment $1.1M
[#4, #10a, #11, #12, #13, #14, #15, #21, #25] Vault door manufacture & installation ($400,000), generator purchase/install ($40,000), surveillance installation ($120,000), communications setup ($50,000), initial armament & safes ($120,000), heavy ordnance initial cache ($60,000), vehicle fleet & secure van purchase ($120,000), initial PPE/equipment kits ($60,000), initial sensor deployment ($90,000).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#30] Emergency/catastrophic response reserve fund ($1,000,000).
Contingency Neutralization Capability $500K
[#24] One-time contingency capability for emergency neutralization/seal (mid-range estimate chosen within $250k–$1M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $420K
[#18, #19, #20] Lab setup & containment upgrades ($250,000), BSL/freezer equipment ($120,000), autopsy/pathology backlog initial ($50,000).
Site91 Containment Cell $350K
[#17] Reinforced containment cell and specialized restraint/monitoring devices at Site-91 ($350,000).
Training Program Setup $150K
[#26] Initial training & doctrine development program setup ($150,000).
Legal And Administrative Setup $75K
[#2a] Initial legal/setup costs to secure condemnation order and cover story creation ($75,000).
Medical Program Setup $25K
[#16] Initial psych screening program setup and initial medical program establishment ($25,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #17] On-site security staffing (12 guards + benefits ≈ $720,000/yr) and Site-91 guard/research staffing (~$420,000/yr) combined as recurring wages ($1,140,000/yr).
Mtf Readiness $600K/yr
[#8] Budgeted Mobile Task Force readiness allocation for surge deployments and high-readiness posture (~$600,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $520K/yr
[#18, #19, #20] Recurring expedition & lab budget and research operations (~$450,000/yr), BSL/waste disposal overhead ($40,000/yr), autopsy/pathology ongoing costs ($30,000/yr).
Event Alpha Program Sustain $500K/yr
[#29] Conditional sustaining budget for Event-Alpha investigative program if O5 authorizes further research (~$500,000/yr; included here as conditional recurring cost).
Supplies And Consumables $204K/yr
[#9, #13, #14, #21] On-site living & operational costs including food/utilities (~$114,000/yr), annual armament/ammo replenishment ($40,000/yr), heavy ordnance replacement/testing ($20,000/yr), PPE replacement & consumables ($30,000/yr).
Psychological Risk Overhead $200K/yr
[#28] Additional hiring/training/admin overhead driven by 14-day exposure cycle and staff redundancy (~$200,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $162K/yr
[#2b, #6b, #23, #27] Annual liaison/cover maintenance ($15,000/yr), perimeter/front-company upkeep ($2,000/yr), amnestic/witness-management reserve ($100,000/yr), bookkeeping/front-company/property tax overhead (~$45,000/yr).
Medical And Psychiatric Program $120K/yr
[#16] Recurring medical and psychiatric care program for exposed staff: counseling, meds, amnestic stocks (~$120,000/yr).
Training And Doctrine $75K/yr
[#26] Refresher training, doctrine development and recurrent exercises (~$75,000/yr).
Monitoring And Recon $60K/yr
[#25] Long-term sensor maintenance, scheduled recon, and monitoring (~$60,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#5, #10b, #11, #12] Vault door hydraulic maintenance contract (~$15,000/yr), backup generator fuel & maintenance ($12,000/yr), surveillance maintenance & data storage ($12,000/yr), communications service/bandwidth ($6,000/yr).
Decontamination And Waste $40K/yr
[#22] Decontamination and hazardous waste disposal contingency (~$40,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#15] Vehicle operations, convoy costs and routine transport (Site-91 ⇄ London) (~$25,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major breach or large-scale Event-Alpha program escalation; routine maintenance, staffing, research, and monitoring costs only.
no breaches routine research activity no major public exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment incident or single MTF deployment (limited breach or external discovery) requiring targeted response, repairs, limited amnesticization and public witness handling.
single MTF deployment localized breach or discovery limited amnesticization
🚨 Major Breach $4.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant vault breach requiring multiple MTF deployments, use of contingency neutralization assets, large repairs, and extended medical/amnestic response.
vault breach multi-day MTF operations deployment of contingency neutralization
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $8.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Large-scale uncontrolled breach with mass anomaly flow requiring large mobilization, public containment/amnestic campaigns, use of contingency reserve and possible political fallout mitigation.
full vault failure mass anomalous egress public exposure requiring large amnestic campaigns
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#7, #17] 12 on-site guards for 24/7 coverage plus ~2 additional Site-91 security/MTF liaisons (salaries included in staff_wages estimate).
Research Scientist 4 [#17, #18] Site-91 research/containment staff involved in SCP-4712 and SCP-4712-A research; staffing costs folded into Site-91 recurring containment estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and location-sensitive (East London / Site-91 in UK/Yorkshire); many line items are conditional (Event-Alpha program, contingency neutralization) and per-deployment MTF costs are variable, so uncertainty remains moderate.
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