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SCP-4714 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-4714
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
20
Initial capital expenditures are modest (~$1.06M) for vaults, vehicles, IT and initial forensic work; recurring annual costs are dominated by staffing, overhead, GPS telemetry and legal/cover operations (~$3.53M/yr). Main cost drivers are personnel, site overhead, GPS service, and family/cover expenditures.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#18] One-time contingency/reserve fund for emergency response, rapid reaction procurement and readiness stock.
Equipment $205K
[#7, #12, #13, #14, #23] GPS bracelets ($50,000), secure transport vehicle purchase/retrofit ($80,000), item containment packaging for dolls ($20,000), IT/asset-tracking setup ($25,000), initial cameras/field hardware ($30,000). Combined as equipment/hardware one-time purchases.
Facilities $200K
[#5] Safe-class lockbox / small vault retrofit within Site-19 with HVAC, fire suppression, tamper alarms and individual compartments. Midpoint estimate used.
Legal Pr One Time $100K
[#16] One-time setup of cover materials and initial retained attorney/PR work to craft recall/fake-campaign materials.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#10] Forensic/materials analysis initial detailed workup to determine anomalous components; single-event estimate used.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4] STF Lambda-24 monitoring/response (12 FTEs, $858,000/yr burdened), medical/amnestic personnel (4 FTEs, $320,000/yr), research staff (2 FTEs, $300,000/yr), admin/support (2 FTEs, $160,000/yr). Sum = $1,638,000/yr.
Site Overhead $655K/yr
[#19] Insurance-like overhead/site allocation (facility depreciation, HR, payroll, security systems) ~40% of direct personnel costs = $655,000/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr
[#15, #16] Family handling/compensation and cover story execution (~$300,000/yr) plus retained attorneys/PR monitoring retainer (~$150,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $231K/yr
[#8, #12] GPS telemetry/service subscription and backend costs (~$216,000/yr) plus secure vehicle operations (fuel, maintenance, insurance ~$15,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $165K/yr
[#9, #24] Ammunition/medical consumables & amnestic drugs (budgeted ~$150,000/yr) and misc forensic consumables/small equipment (~$15,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#11] Ongoing anomalous testing (controlled experiments, instrumentation time, lab consumables) estimated at $100,000/yr.
Contingency Replenish $100K/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment for rapid-response readiness (replenish contingency/reserve) ~ $100,000/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $70K/yr
[#6, #20] Safe storage annual maintenance & utilities (~$10,000/yr) plus utilities/comms/telemetry servers and cybersecurity (~$60,000/yr).
Training Certification And Drills $50K/yr
[#17] Annual training, certification and drills for STF & medical staff (~$50,000/yr).
Public Monitoring $25K/yr
[#23] Ongoing camera monitoring and integration costs / periodic patrols outreach (~$25,000/yr).
Replacement And Attrition $20K/yr
[#21] Replacement reserve for bracelets and containment packaging (~$10k–$20k + $5k packaging -> budgeted $20,000/yr).
Decontamination And Disposal $20K/yr
[#22] Decontamination, disposal and occasional neutralization events budgeted at ~$20,000/yr.
It And Software Licensing $5K/yr
[#14] Annual licensing/maintenance for inventory/chain-of-custody software and IT integration (~$5,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady incident rate and no large containment incidents; routine operations and expected replenishment.
routine_manifestations no large-scale breach regular staffing and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Elevated manifestation rate or small localized incident requiring overtime, extra amnestic events, temporary GPS overage and additional family handling.
surge in manifestations multiple family compensation events overtime and extra consumables
🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or high-visibility exposure requiring mass amnestic deployment, emergency relocation, major PR/legal campaign and contingency drawdown.
public exposure / viral leak mass demanifestations major containment breach
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (STF Lambda-24) 12 [#1] 12 FTEs for 24/7 monitoring and immediate response (three shifts, leave/backfill).
Medical Officer / Clinic Staff 4 [#2] Nurses/med-techs and on-call physician for sedation/amnesticization and vitals monitoring.
Research Scientist 2 [#3] Two mid/senior anomalous-object researchers conducting experiments and analysis.
Administrative Staff 2 [#4] Admin, database maintenance, procurement and liaison duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide explicit FTE counts, burdened salary figures, and line-item estimates for recurring and one-time items; mapping is direct and numerical. Remaining uncertainty is primarily incident-rate sensitivity (manifestation frequency) which is documented in the notes.
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