SCP-4722 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4722
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$3.1M
Personnel
21
First-year setup costs concentrate on facilities conversions, paving/deterrent installations, and IT/equipment deployment (~$3.08M one-time). Ongoing annual costs are driven by staff wages, legal/PR retainers, research/monitoring infrastructure, and contingency/replacement (~$3.12M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Facilities $1.3M
[#3, #5, #7, #11] Regional office setup (UK & France), pathway deterrent installations, permanent re-routing/paving at priority sites, and conversion of controlled-experiment facility (structural/security work).
Equipment $555K
[#1, #8, #9, #19, #28] Initial web-crawler & model development; CCTV / remote-sensor installations; drone purchases; initial evidence storage hardware; initial cybersecurity hardening tools.
Containment Escalation Reserve $500K
[#29] One-time contingency reserve set aside for major escalation events (mass activations, large legal settlements, area closures).
Local Cover Site Contracting $300K
[#18] One-time cover contracting and permit/bribe-like payments to secure initial local approvals and plausible public-works cover at multiple sites.
Secure Detainment Ramp $150K
[#15] One-time ramp-up costs for secure detainment and interview capacity if PoI or subjects must be held (facility outfitting, legal setup).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $130K
[#10, #27, #11] Forensic and experimental instrumentation (high-speed cameras, spectrometers, wearables) and archive research setup; portion of experiment-range instrumentation not classified as structural.
Large Scale Mitigation Planning $125K
[#21] Scenario planning, exercises and planning costs for potential large-scale mitigation (one-time exercise/design work).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#2, #4, #13, #14, #30, #9] Ongoing payroll for monitoring analysts, rapid-response field operatives, clinicians/medical staff, long-term surveillance investigators, program director/admin staff, and drone operators.
Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing disinformation / PR retainer and legal retainers/FOIA/media handling (UK & France retainers and routine counsel).
Research And Monitoring $412K/yr
[#1, #8, #11, #12, #23, #27] Cloud compute/storage and model retraining for web-crawlers, CCTV connectivity/storage recurring, operation of controlled-experiment program, human-subject program overhead, translation/cultural support, and ongoing archive research.
Local Government Liaison $200K/yr
[#18] Annual liaison budgets and consulting fees to municipalities and cover operations per region.
Logistics And Transport $175K/yr
[#4, #20] Vehicle leases, travel/lodging, van hires and per-diem for field teams and investigators.
Facilities Maintenance $155K/yr
[#3, #15] Office leases/rent and maintenance; ongoing maintenance/legal/operational upkeep of secure interview/detainment capacity.
Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr
[#10, #19, #22, #24, #25] Lab consumables/calibration, evidence storage & handling recurring costs, public compensation/cover payments, training/drill consumables, and energy/utilities for sensors/offices.
Replacement And Contingency $125K/yr
[#26] Annual reserve for replacement/wear-and-tear of equipment (cameras, drones, vehicles) and minor contingencies (10–20% operational reserve).
Legal Incident Reserve $75K/yr
[#17] Annual budget reserved for incident-level legal defense and litigation beyond retainer coverage.
Temporary Closures $50K/yr
[#6] Budget for short-term 'maintenance' closures, contractor fees and permit/cover coordination for emergency closures.
Cybersecurity Maintenance $25K/yr
[#28] Ongoing data privacy, secure-communications subscriptions, log/audit and cybersecurity maintenance.
Drone Maintenance And Ops $20K/yr
[#9] Drone maintenance, operator certification renewals, and replacement spares.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.1M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Moderate ongoing operations with routine monitoring, research, and occasional small closures; no major incidents or PoI capture.
routine monitoring small-scale closures no major breach or legal escalations
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized spike in reports requiring multiple emergency closures, increased PR and travel, and short-term surveillance surge.
clustered local reports several emergency closures heightened PR/legal response
🚨 Major Breach $5.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Widespread manifestations or mass congregation forcing large-scale mitigation (extensive paving/re-routing, mass closures, major legal exposures).
widespread SCP activation mass public gatherings large legal/operational mobilization
🚨 Poi Capture $3.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Identification, capture and detainment of PoI-4722 requiring international operations, significant legal work and enhanced secure detainment.
confirmed PoI location international transit/arrest heightened legal/containment operations
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Analyst 4 [#2] Multilingual monitoring and analysis staff (English/French).
Senior Analyst 1 [#2] Triage leads, coordinator for field response.
Field Operative / Security Officer 6 [#4] Mobile rapid-response operatives (field agent, security, tech).
Program Director / Executive Staff 1 [#30] Program management and liaison with central administration.
Administrative Staff 2 [#30] Admin, accounting, HR support.
Medical Officer / Clinician 3 [#13] Psych/medical personnel providing counseling and follow-ups.
Drone Pilot / Operator 2 [#9] Operators and certification coverage for aerial reconnaissance.
Surveillance Investigator / Undercover Operative 2 [#14] Dedicated investigators and undercover operatives for PoI leads and long-term surveillance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and plausible mid-point assumptions (detailed line items 1–30). Uncertainty remains due to scaling of per-site costs, PoI unpredictability, and legal/contingent incident variability; therefore medium confidence.
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