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SCP-4751 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4751
Expected annual
$13.9M
One-time setup
$22.6M
Annual recurring
$12.9M
Personnel
36
Estimated one-time setup and contingency costs are approximately $22.63M, with baseline annual operating costs of about $12.94M driven primarily by staff wages, research/modeling, covert operations/PR, COMSEC/IT, and regional field/safe-house operations; large-scale public-health interventions or a major public leak would drive costs far higher.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.6M
Facilities $10.4M
[#17, #18] Safe-house setup (4 × $100k = $400k) and contingency full-containment facility construction estimate (~$10M).
Insurance Reserve $10.0M
[#19] Risk insurance / legal indemnity reserve (conservative mid-range set-aside).
Equipment $1.5M
[#1, #5, #8, #15, #21, #22] Social-media/monitoring system dev ($400k), secure evidence storage hardware ($150k), field team vehicle/kit setup ($480k), COMSEC infrastructure ($150k), pediatric kits ($50k), IT systems ($250k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $525K
[#6, #24] Forensic video/audio lab setup (~$275k) and initial research pilot ($250k).
Medical Stockpile $125K
[#9] One-time procurement of pharmacological and memetic amnestic stockpile (midpoint of $50k–$200k).
Training Curriculum $100K
[#20] Initial memetic-safety and trauma-informed curriculum development (~$100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.9M/yr
Staff Wages $4.2M/yr
[#2, #3, #7, #8, #12] Analyst team (10 FTE ≈ $1.0M), legal takedown unit (5 FTE ≈ $1.0M), forensic analysts (3 FTE ≈ $360k), field-team salaries (12 personnel ≈ $960k), epidemiology/modeling team (6 FTE ≈ $900k).
Misc Operational Overheads $1.5M/yr
[#27] Administrative overhead (HR, rent, utilities, accounting) estimated at ~10–15% of operations (~$1.5M/year).
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#12, #24] Epidemiology/statistics & modeling team data acquisition (~$100k) plus scientific research budget (~$1.0M/year baseline).
Psychiatric Aftercare $1.0M/yr
[#10] Longitudinal psychiatric care, child-specialist therapists and case management (budgeted ~$1.0M/year baseline).
Governmental Liaison Budget $1.0M/yr
[#13] Covert governmental liaison and diplomatic funds (baseline ~$1.0M/year).
Logistics And Transport $700K/yr
[#8, #16] Field response travel/operations (~$200k) and emergency travel/logistics fund (~$500k).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#3, #14] Legal/platform retainer (~$200k) and baseline public-relations/cover-story retainer (~$300k).
Covert Operations Budget $500K/yr
[#4] Covert takedowns, shadow-bans, paid counter-narratives and emergency content buyouts (baseline ~$500k/year).
Cultural And Language Expertise $500K/yr
[#23] Translators, cultural liaisons and local legal experts (contractor pool ~$500k/year).
Insurance Replenishment $500K/yr
[#19] Recurring replenishment for legal/settlement reserve (~$500k/year).
Facilities Maintenance $375K/yr
[#5, #17] Secure evidence storage maintenance/offsite vaulting (~$75k) and safe-house operations (~$300k/year).
Medical Administration Budget $300K/yr
[#9] Amnestic administration budget (baseline mid-range ~$300k/year).
It Security Monitoring $300K/yr
[#22] Insider-threat monitoring, background checks and IT security personnel (~$300k/year).
Cloud And Ml Services $200K/yr
[#1] Cloud/ML hosting, licensing and inference costs for monitoring platform (~$200k/year).
Training Programs $150K/yr
[#20] Ongoing memetic-safety and trauma-informed training (~$150k/year).
Comsec Maintenance $75K/yr
[#15] COMSEC subscriptions and hardware lifecycle maintenance (~$75k/year).
Pediatric Kit Replenishment $20K/yr
[#21] Replenishment of specialized pediatric emergency kits (~$20k/year).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Partnerships Covert Grants Child Safety $0/yr
[#11] Targeted NGO/grant funding to meet O5/Ethics metric (range $50M–$200M+/yr) — not committed in baseline (set to $0).
Long Term Public Health Intervention $0/yr
[#25] Full-scale public-health intervention to lower global metric (range $100M–$5B/year) — treated as an optional contingency (set to $0 baseline).
Emergency Public Disclosure Reserve $0/yr
[#26] Reserve for major public-leak remediation ($5M–$50M/event) — held as contingency (set to $0 baseline).
Contingency Full Containment Ops $0/yr
[#18] Recurring staffing/utilities for a full containment facility ($1M–$3M/yr) — only applicable if contingency facility is built (set to $0 baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.9M/yr
82.5% probability / year
Normal year with standard monitoring, field teams, legal/PR retainer and modest covert activity; no major public leak or global public-health commitment.
routine_monitoring localized_incidents no_major_leak
🚨 Minor Incident $14.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized viral content or small-scale exposure requiring surge field ops, emergency amnestic administrations, and targeted PR buys.
localized_public_leak sudden_increase_in_recordings
🚨 Major Leak $22.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Massive public leak or whistleblower release causing international spread, requiring large-scale amnestic operations, media buys, legal settlements and emergency grants.
mass_viral_distribution cross-jurisdictional_exposure whistleblower_release
🚨 Global Public Health Commitment $112.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
O5/Ethics decision to pursue global reductions in underage mortality attributable to neglect/mistreatment, requiring sustained large-scale grants and programmatic interventions.
O5_policy_change commitment_to_global_metric
👥 Personnel 36 total
Role Count Notes
Analyst / Monitoring Specialist 10 [#2] 10 FTE monitoring/triage analysts (memetic-safety trained).
Legal / Platform Liaison 5 [#3] 5 FTE lawyers/negotiators for takedowns and platform liaison.
Forensic Analyst 3 [#7] 3 FTE video/audio/imagen provenance specialists.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#8] Field-team operators (4 teams × 1 operator each counted here; total field personnel = 12 across roles).
Medical Officer 4 [#8, #9] Field medics / anesthesiologists involved in deployments and amnestic administration.
Field Liaison / Case Manager 4 [#8, #10, #17] Field liaisons to coordinate with hospitals/NGOs, and case managers for subject welfare.
Epidemiologist / Data Scientist 6 [#12, #24] 6 FTE epidemiology/statistics & modeling team for global rate measurement and reporting.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provided explicit line-item estimates for staff, systems, and recurring budgets (medium confidence). Major uncertainties remain around low-probability, high-impact items (large grants, major leaks, full-containment decisions) and regional scaling, so figures are approximate.
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