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SCP-4776 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4776
Expected annual
$191.9M
One-time setup
$1.3B
Annual recurring
$160.4M
Personnel
66
One-time setup and hardware (radar, on-orbit servicers, ASAT options, and catastrophic reserves) drive costs into the hundreds of millions to billions; recurring annual operations (MTF payroll, global surveillance, space ops, repairs, and black-budget replenishment) total on the order of low hundreds of millions per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3B
Catastrophic Failure Reserve $500.0M
[#30] Long-term catastrophic failure / opportunity-cost reserve (policy-level one-time fund; lower-bound chosen).
Equipment $390.6M
[#6, #8, #10, #17, #18, #21] Phased-array radar + optical ground stations, antimemetic-proof backup systems, pre-built on-orbit servicer hardware, interdiction equipment procurement, hardened communications, and secure transport cases (summed midpoints).
Anti Satellite Mission $300.0M
[#9] One-time conservative rendezvous/capture / ASAT mission cost (selected representative option within provided range).
Black Budget Reserve $50.0M
[#26] One-time off-books procurement reserve (midpoint discretionary fund).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $16.0M
[#7, #25] Antimemetic/thaumaturgy lab buildout and high-energy physics/directed-energy facility upgrades (midpoint estimates).
Facilities $7.1M
[#1, #15, #24, #28] One-time vault upgrades, training/simulation facility setup, remote/relocatable vault construction, and contingency exercise setup (midpoint estimates).
Large Cover Operation Reserve $5.2M
[#11] One-off large legal/diplomatic/cover operations reserve mentioned in notes (midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $160.4M/yr
Research And Monitoring $56.8M/yr
[#5, #6, #10, #14, #15, #19, #25, #27, #28] Persistent ISR & sensor tasking, space-based tracking operations, on-orbit servicer station-keeping/monitoring, forensics & intelligence analysis, ongoing training cycles, red-team/false-positive mitigation activities, directed-energy R&D, critical-site monitoring contracts, and scenario planning exercises (summed midpoints and operations costs).
Civilian Infrastructure Repair $50.0M/yr
[#12] Annual budget for emergency response, reconstruction and compensation after SCP-4776 strikes (moderate-year assumption).
Logistics And Transport $15.6M/yr
[#3, #4, #21] MTF training/equipment/vehicle sustainment, leased/maintained helicopters and cargo aircraft (including pilots & maintenance), and secure specialized transfer costs (summed midpoints).
Black Budget Replenishment $10.0M/yr
[#26] Recurring replenishment for covert procurement and off-books partnerships (representative annual top-up).
Staff Wages $9.5M/yr
[#2, #3, #7] Wages for memetics-qualified custodians (3 FTE), MTF Gamma-5 operator payroll (48 operators), and research program specialists (approx. midpoint staffing).
Cover Story And Legal $7.8M/yr
[#11, #20] Legal/diplomatic cover, clandestine PR, liaison officers and insurance/indemnity/hush-money pool (summed midpoints).
Supplies And Consumables $7.6M/yr
[#2, #7, #8, #13, #16, #17, #18, #21, #29] Psych evaluations & memetic consumables, research consumables, backup storage audits, cleanup/HAZMAT operations, emergency medical standby, interdiction consumables/replacements, comms ops, per-transfer custody costs, and staff resilience programs (summed midpoints).
Attrition Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#22] Personnel replacement reserve (10–30% of staffing budget; midpoint).
Public Preparedness $1.1M/yr
[#23] Public alerts, staged drills and cover narrative preparation (midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $175K/yr
[#1, #24] Vault maintenance, testing, utilities and upkeep for redundant vaults (midpoint estimates).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $160.4M/yr
53.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; recurring operational costs only.
no rune completions detected steady-state surveillance and upkeep routine training and minor deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $165.4M/yr
40.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Single or small number of localized SCP-4776-1 activations resulting in moderate damage, cleanup, and extra deployments.
single completed rune in urban area localized explosion, EOD/cleanup required one or two rapid-response deployments
🚨 Major Breach $610.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$450.0M vs baseline
Multiple strikes or a high-casualty event forcing on-orbit neutralization and large-scale reconstruction/cover operations.
simultaneous or high-impact rune formations requirement to execute ASAT / rendezvous-capture widespread infrastructure damage
🚨 Anti Sat Mission Deployment $510.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$350.0M vs baseline
Deliberate decision to neutralize SCP-4776 via a one-off anti-satellite mission to remove future threat.
policy decision to proactively neutralize object evidence of imminent or repeated strikes diplomatic cover allows kinetic/technical intervention
👥 Personnel 66 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 48 [#3] Four teams of 12 operators (MTF Gamma-5) maintained for rapid response; headcount matches payroll assumptions.
Research Scientist 15 [#7, #25] Antimemetic and directed-energy/thaumaturgic research specialists (midpoint of 10–20).
Memetics Specialist / Custodian 3 [#2] Special-access memetics-qualified custodians responsible for index-card handling and positional-data updates.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges for nearly every line item and multiple strategic paths (passive containment vs. active neutralization). Midpoint selections and policy choices (reserve sizes, ASAT option selected) produce moderate uncertainty; core recurring costs (MTF payroll, surveillance, repairs) are well-supported, but one-off choices and large reserves introduce variance.
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