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SCP-4780 Apollyon ? low confidence
SCP-4780
Expected annual
$4.5M
One-time setup
$17.1M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
30
Initial one-time response and research setup are estimated at ~$17.1M, driven by contingency reserve, R&D/SEM/micro-robot development and containment buildout; baseline annual operations are ~ $3.65M/year driven by staffing, ongoing research, long-term medical care and public-health monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.1M
Incident Contingency Reserve $10.5M
[#25] Recommended rapid-access reserve for escalations, large-scale evacuations or emergency construction (one-time allocation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.2M
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #13] High-resolution imaging/micromanipulation kits, SEM/micro-assembly lab capital, micro-robotic retrieval platform (custom development), custom micro-containment vessel, and initial multidisciplinary R&D program setup.
Facilities $1.3M
[#5, #15, #21] Electrical isolation/power system installations and dedicated containment suite buildout (installation, structural work, isolation interlocks, backup generator installation).
Equipment $332K
[#6, #17, #22, #29] Portable EM/Faraday shielding, initial IT/forensics air-gapped hardware, monitoring camera/sensor setup, and specialized tooling/remote-actuation hardware for safe shutdown.
Initial Medical Extraction $275K
[#11] Emergency extraction medical team, microsurgery/adaptive ICU stabilization and specialized procedures for an altered-size subject.
Legal And Public Affairs Initial $275K
[#24] Initial heavy-incident legal costs, cover-story creation, local government liaison and contractor compensation.
Public Health Initial Campaign $100K
[#27] Initial public-health screening/mitigation campaign if civilian exposure is suspected.
Initial Training $85K
[#19] Initial hands-on training blocks, simulator time and emergency drills for micro-recovery and memetic safety.
Redaction And Archival Initial $42K
[#28] One-time labor and legal costs to redact and archive corrupted/memetic entries.
Initial Personnel Clearances $30K
[#18] Initial background checks / clearances for the core team (~30 personnel initial estimate).
Hazardous Disposal Event $28K
[#23] Per-major-disposal event costs for contaminated materials, HEPA filters, carcasses and compliant hazardous disposal.
Emergency Srt Deployment $25K
[#1] Rapid-response SRT mobilization, overtime, hazardous-entry gear and travel for initial containment/retrieval.
Short Term Perimeter Security Week1 $10K
[#2] First-week elevated perimeter security, temporary housing/compensation and traffic control (initial elevated-security week).
Rodent Remediation Initial $4K
[#3] One-time emergency extermination/trapping and immediate rodent-proofing of facility to protect retrieval operations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#14, #26] Ongoing salaries and benefits: permanent research staff (senior researchers, engineers/technicians) plus containment technicians/supervisors for 24/7 coverage.
Long Term Medical Care $550K/yr
[#12] Ongoing long-term medical treatment, rehabilitation, prosthetics and specialist consultations if a subject is rescued.
Research And Monitoring $338K/yr
[#14, #17, #19] Non-salary research operations: materials/consumables for experiments, IT-forensics monitoring, memetic quarantine tooling and training refreshers.
Public Health And Community Mitigation $250K/yr
[#27] Annualized budget for community screening/treatment and epidemiological response as-needed.
Cover Story And Legal $64K/yr
[#24, #28] Ongoing public-affairs, legal retainer, FOIA/liaison handling and redaction/archival maintenance costs.
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#20] Secure/armored transport costs for recovered subjects/devices (estimated annual frequency of secure moves applied to per-move cost).
Facilities Maintenance $41K/yr
[#15, #22] Maintenance, fuel and routine upkeep for power containment/backup generators and monitoring system maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr
[#16] Specialized PPE, memetic filters, laboratory consumables and routine replacement of disposables and filters.
Personnel Clearance And Screening $18K/yr
[#18] Renewal costs for personnel background checks and periodic psychological/memetic screening across core staff.
Rodent Monitoring And Pest Control $7K/yr
[#4] Ongoing baiting, sensors, janitorial follow-ups and proofing to prevent re-infestation.
Program Level Mitigation Budget $0/yr
[#30] Placeholder for an international-scale mitigation program budget for Apollyon-class escalation; modeled separately in the 'program_scaleup' scenario and not included in baseline recurring.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing research, staffing, monitoring, and minor maintenance only.
no_incident routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $4.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$714K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring SRT, short-term elevated security, initial medical extraction and forensic response.
small_breach localized_exposure short_term_evacuations
🚨 Major Breach $10.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$6.9M vs baseline
Major containment failure or discovery requiring SEM/micro-robotics, expanded R&D, containment buildout and significant emergency spend.
large_scale_breach microscale_retrieval_needed anomalous_power_behavior
🚨 Program Scaleup $58.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$55.0M vs baseline
Transition to an international-level, indefinite mitigation/R&D program for an Apollyon-level threat.
apollyon_escalation international_mitigation
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#14] Senior researchers assigned to R&D and experiment design.
Engineer / Technician 8 [#14] Engineers and lab technicians supporting instruments, micro-robotics, and experiments.
Containment Technician 6 [#26] On-site containment technicians (2 per shift for 3-shift coverage).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#2, #26] Armed security for perimeter and response support.
Supervisor 2 [#26] Shift supervisors and containment leads.
Medical Officer 1 [#11, #12] On-call medical specialist for extraction and long-term care coordination.
Administrative Staff 3 [#18, #24, #28] Administrative and legal liaison staff for clearances, recordkeeping and public-affairs coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges and many high-uncertainty assumptions (scale of 'shrinking', powered/self-sustaining device, whether memetic factors dominate). Apollyon classification implies open-ended costs; scenario probabilities are expert judgment with low confidence.
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