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SCP-4790 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4790
Expected annual
$127.8M
One-time setup
$210.2M
Annual recurring
$122.8M
Personnel
165
One-time setup and retrieval operations dominate costs (~$206M one-time), while long-term detention care, staffing, and cover operations drive annual costs (~$123M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $210.2M
Covert Retrieval Ops $67.0M
[#4] Global covert retrieval, local safehouses, transport and black-ops to detain ~2,241 infected researchers (est. midpoint).
Facilities $30.0M
[#1] Construction/retrofit of secure memetic containment wing, quarantine wards, secure server rooms, forensic lab and tailored HVAC/visual/blast isolation.
Bribes Payoffs $30.0M
[#11] Budget for targeted payoffs/bribes/neutralization of key personnel at agencies, journals, observatories (10–50 people budgeted).
Contingency Insurance Fund $30.0M
[#21] Large one-time contingency/insurance reserve to fund emergency settlements, silence purchases, and crisis PR buys in case of public exposure.
Amnestic Per Person Total $12.3M
[#16] Amnestic/medical procedure per-person costs ($1k–$10k each) applied to ~2,241 affected researchers; includes clinic time, sedation and monitoring.
Contingency Legal Reserve $10.0M
[#10] One-time legal contingency/reserve for discovery/large suits and litigation preparedness.
Amnestic Production Setup $8.5M
[#3] One-time setup of Class-A amnestic and memetic-counteragent production lines, sterile pharma and cold/storage infrastructure.
Publication Campaign Initial $8.5M
[#8] Initial major campaign to modify archives, databases and publications (cyber/physical) to insert falsified analyses.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.0M
[#2] Dedicated memetic research laboratory buildout and certification, one-way observation/isolation chambers, stimulus control and testing suites.
Equipment $4.5M
[#12, #13, #20] Initial cybersecurity/server setup, replacement/forgery of physical media, and data-forensics/authenticity tooling and hardware.
Archive Replacement $2.8M
[#13] One-time replacement/forgery/destruction of physical backups (tapes, drives) at agencies and universities where feasible.
Data Forensics Initial $1.1M
[#20] Initial creation of backdated metadata, fake datasets and corroborating logs to support falsified conclusions.
Cybersecurity Initial Setup $600K
[#12] Initial secure servers, air-gapped archives and intrusion detection setup to protect tampered data.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $122.8M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $81.2M/yr
[#5, #3] Long-term detention housing/food/medical/monitoring for detainees (~$20k–$60k/person/yr for ~2,000 people) and amnestic/stock replenishment.
Cover Story And Legal $13.2M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #15, #20, #24] Ongoing publication/data tampering maintenance, propaganda/PR funding, legal & FOIA defense team recurring costs, rapid-response disinformation team, data-forensics maintenance and public scientific cover project grants.
Staff Wages $10.5M/yr
[#6, #7] Salaries and benefits for armed security staff, response teams, transport squads and specialized scientific staff (memeticists, cognitive psychologists, astrophysics covers).
Research And Monitoring $9.2M/yr
[#14, #18, #19, #25] Covert observatory monitoring, R&D into memetic countermeasures/diagnostics, red-team leak simulations, and periodic sunset/archival reviews.
Mental Health Program $5.5M/yr
[#17] Counseling, long-term monitoring and reintegration programs for detainees and staff at risk of cognitive aftereffects.
Logistics And Transport $1.6M/yr
[#23] Armored transport, guarded shipments, air freight for personnel and samples, and secure courier services.
Cybersecurity And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#12] Continuous intrusion detection, monitoring and integrity services to prevent discovery of tampering or reintroduction of original data.
Energy Utilities $550K/yr
[#22] Power and utilities for secure facilities, redundant servers and tailored HVAC for containment environments.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $122.8M/yr
95.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major public exposure or large incidents; ongoing detention, monitoring, R&D and cover operations continue.
no_major_leaks steady_detention_population routine_cover_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $147.8M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or whistleblower leading to targeted legal action, emergency PR buys and limited additional amnestics/retrievals.
whistleblower_publication limited_data_leak small-scale litigation
🚨 Major Breach $522.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$400.0M vs baseline
Large-scale public exposure or catastrophic containment failure requiring mass settlements, large emergency retrievals, and use of contingency funds.
national_media_exposure court-ordered_disclosures widespread_data_authentication
👥 Personnel 165 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 150 [#6] Armed 24/7 guards, response teams and transport squads; headcount derived from security portion of staff wage estimate (approx. $7.5M/yr).
Research Scientist 15 [#7] Senior memeticists, cognitive psychologists and astrophysics-cover specialists; headcount derived from scientific salary portion of staff wages (approx. $3M/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoints of wide analyst ranges and combine many situational, covert operational costs; large uncertainties remain around detainee counts, cooperation from external agencies, and the scale of bribery/legal payouts, so confidence is medium.
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